Top 150

1) Steph Curry (PG/SG) – No two players are better equipped to handle a drop in their counting stats than Steph Curry and Kevin Durant. The league’s newest dynamic duo both derive a huge amount of their value from the efficiency categories and should continue to dominate the FG% and FT% categories despite the incoming decrease in shot attempts. Steph could have a significantly worse season than his second MVP campaign and still finish atop the fantasy rankings. The difference in value between Curry and the Chris Paul, who finished sixth-overall in 2015-2016, was the same as difference between Paul and Evan Fournier, who finished 68th-overall. Durant’s presence will lead to a decrease in Steph’s scoring (30.1 PPG) and his impossibly high threes (5.1 3PG), but there’s no reason why the rest of his line won’t look similar to what it looked like last season. Steph is an outstanding fit for the punt FT% build as he is elite in all of the categories that the big men that you will be targeting later in the draft are deficient in.

2) James Harden (SG/SF) – Harden’s upside is higher than ever now that Mike D’Antoni is in town. D’Antoni is most famous for his time in Phoenix, but he also worked his magic in New York, somehow turning Raymond Felton into an early-round asset before the portly point guard was traded to the Nuggets. Harden is the best building block for those looking to punt FG% (43.9 FG%), but the shooting guard can also force an owner to punt turnovers as well (4.6 TOPG). Harden has his warts, but I have him ranked second for a reason. He is a monster everywhere else (29.0 PPG, 2.9 3PG, 6.1 RPG, 7.5 APG, 1.7 SPG, 0.6 BPG, 86.0 FT% on 10.2 FTA).

3) Russell Westbrook (PG) – Westbrook will not finish in front of Kevin Durant and Kawhi Leonard in the rankings. This list assumes that you’re playing H2H and therefore can using punting strategies to minimize Westbrook’s weaknesses. If you’re playing Roto, don’t consider Westbrook until the middle of the first round. If you are lucky enough to be able to draft Westbrook and are playing H2H, punt FG% and then sit back and enjoy the fireworks. In 2014-2015, a season in which Durant only played 27 games, Russell averaged an absurd 28.1 PPG, 7.3 RPG, and 8.6 APG. Those monster numbers came on poor shooting (42.6 FG%) and with a league-worst 4.4 turnovers per game, but the positives vastly outweigh the negatives with Westbrook. There is some injury-related risk here. Westbrook may end up posting the highest usage rate of all time and it’s possible that the additional responsibility will cause his body to break down.

4) Kevin Durant (SF/PF) – Durant’s move to Oakland is bad for the league but good for fantasy. The move brings both Curry and Durant down a notch and makes it easier for those picking later in the draft to compete with the Curry and Durant owners. Like Curry, KD will see a dip in shot attempts and, in turn, his scoring (28.2 PPG). He’s also likely to see his assists decrease (5.0 APG) as he’ll be splitting playmaking duties with both Curry and Draymond Green. The incoming drop in dimes makes Durant a strong contender for the punt assists build. The one concern related to Curry and Durant that I do have is that they are strong candidates for rest during the fantasy playoffs. The Warriors’ quest for 73 wins may have cost them a championship and it’s very likely that Coach Kerr plays it safe down the stretch. However, the Warriors do have an above-average playoff schedule so owners shouldn’t worry too much about potential late-season shenanigans when drafting either stud.

5) Kawhi Leonard (SG/SF) – The differences between Roto and H2H are generally overblown. Kawhi is a monster in both formats. Only Steph Curry and Kevin Durant were more valuable than Kawhi last season and with those two stars now on the same team, Leonard has a real shot at finishing atop the fantasy rankings this year. Kawhi possesses the cleanest line in fantasy. The only category that he doesn’t provided above-average production in is assists (2.6 APG). This makes Leonard one of the best options for the punt assist build, but the league’s best defensive player fits well into most strategies thanks to his elite efficiency (50.6 FG%, 87.4 FT%, 1.5 TOPG), elite defensive stats (1.8 SPG, 1.0 BPG), and well-above-average scoring (21.2 PPG) and shooting from deep (1.8 3PG).

6) Karl-Anthony Towns (C) – Fantasy players are going to be all over Towns this season and rightfully so. The big man had one of the most impressive rookie seasons of all-time and has a game that was made for fantasy. Like Kawhi, Towns possesses one of the most well-rounded lines in fantasy. His only weaknesses is his lack of steals (0.7 SPG) and I hesitate to call that a weakness given how many big men struggle with that category. With Tom Thibodeau behind the bench, expect Towns’ minutes to rise (32.0 MPG). Thibodeau tends to give his starters heavy run and Towns should have no problem adjusting to the heavier minutes. He was able to play in all 82 games as a rookie and showed no signs of wearing down as the season went on. KAT’s all-around game fits well into any build, but he is best suited for teams punting assists and/or points.

7) Anthony Davis (PF/C) – Davis could finish first overall on a per game basis and no one would be surprised. At this point, the most surprising thing that Davis could do is play 75 games. Since entering the league in 2012, the fragile big man has yet to play in more than 68 games in any season. The Pelicans likely ineptitude doesn’t help matters. With Ryan Anderson and Eric Gordon in Houston and Tyreke Evans and Jrue Holiday likely to miss significant chunks of the season, it’s highly unlikely that the Pelicans will be playing for anything when the fantasy playoffs roll around. If you do decide to gamble on Davis, he is best paired with the punt assists build (1.9 APG).

8) Chris Paul (PG) – Paul hasn’t finished lower than sixth-overall on a per game basis since 2006-2007 and is a completely reasonable option for anyone who missed out on a top-5 pick. The point guard provides elite impact not only in and assists (10.0 APG) and steals (2.0 SPG), but also at the line (89.3 FT% on 4.4 FTA). What makes Paul really standout from his first-round brethren is his low turnover rate (2.6 TOPG). High assists almost always mean high turnovers but that’s not the case with Paul. Teams focused on winning assists every week often struggle to win turnovers or are forced to punt the category. Paul allows you to be competitive in both. The Clippers’ lead guard is one of the best first-round options for the punt points build as his gaudy point guard stats come with impressive efficiency.

9) LeBron James (SF/PF) – The King is no longer a contender for the top spot in fantasy, but is a fine consolation prize for those stuck picking at the end of the first round. James continues to be an excellent fit for the punt FT% build due to his struggles at the line (73.1 FT%) and his outstanding assists (6.7 APG) and FG% (52.0 FG%). When punting FT%, you’ll be aiming to win both categories each week and LeBron is one of the few players who provides elite production in both categories. Paring LeBron with either Hassan Whiteside or DeAndre Jordan and punting FT% is one of my favorite options for those picking late.

10) Hassan Whiteside (C) – The league’s best shot blocker followed up his breakout 2014-2015 campaign with a top-7 finish in 2015-2016. Only Steph Curry was more valuable in the punt FT% build last season which makes Whiteside a no-brainer pick at the end of the first round. He’s best paired with a point guard like Kyle Lowry or John Wall as those two cover Whiteside’s glaring weaknesses (0.4 APG, 0.6 SPG). While he is best deployed using a punt FT% strategy, the big man can work outside of the build. Whiteside improved from the line as last season went on and managed to shoot 73.4% from the line over the last three months of the season.

11) Paul George (SF/PF) – George’s first full season since his devastating leg injury could not have gone better. George posted top-15 per game numbers, but even more importantly, managed to suit up 81 times during the regular season and play 34.8 MPG. The swingman is another great candidate for the punt FG% build as his poor shooting (41.8 FG%) is his most glaring flaw. George provides strong value almost everywhere else, especially in points (23.1 PPG), threes (2.6 3PG), and steals (1.9 SPG). The addition of Jeff Teague, a more natural point guard than departing George Hill, makes it unlikely that George matches the 4.1 APG that he averaged last season. However, Teague’s presence should help get George’s turnovers under control (3.3 TOPG).

12) DeMarcus Cousins (PF/C) – Cousins is a monster when he is on the court, but like Anthony Davis, that is an increasingly rare occurrence. Over the past three seasons, Cousins has missed an average of 17 games, with many of those missed games coming at the end of the fantasy schedule. When he does suit up, Cousins is a dream fit for the punt FG% build (45.1 FG%). Blocks and rebounds are easily the two most difficult categories to find when punting FG% and Cousins delivers both in spades (11.5 RPG, 1.4 BPG). His excellent out-of-position steals (1.6 SPG) and newfound threes (1.1 3PG) will help you dominant two categories that the punt FG% build will be looking to win each week.

13) Paul Millsap (PF/C) – One of the league’s most underrated players finally received the recognition that he’s always deserved. It only took a DPOY-level season and a top-10 fantasy finish. Millsap has only finished outside of the top-25 once in the last six years and has finished in the first round twice over that span. Dwight Howard’s presence should only impact Millsap’s rebounding as Dwight is a better rebounder than Al Horford. A repeat of his top-10 finish is unlikely as the 1.9 BPG he averaged in 2015-2016 is well above his career average, but a top-15 finish is very possible. Millsap comes with a floor higher than many of the players who will likely be available after the first round.

14) LaMarcus Aldridge (PF/C) – After a very slow start to his first year in San Antonio, Aldridge was one of the most valuable players in fantasy over the second half of the season. Aldridge was a top-10 option over the last three months of 2015-2016 and offers one of the cleanest lines in fantasy. Over those three months, the big man averaged a very impressive 20.1 PPG, 8.1 RPG, and 1.3 BPG while providing elite percentages (53.9 FG%, 90.2 FT%) impact. Aldridge has finished in the top-15 on a per game basis, five of the past six seasons.

15) DeAndre Jordan (C) – There are very few options as safe as Jordan available at the beginning of the second round. Jordan is, of course, a mainstay of the punt FT% build and offers unmatched durability to go along with his excellent big man stats (13.8 RPG, 2.3 BPG, 70.3 FG%). Jordan has not missed a game due to injury since 2010-2011. The five games he missed last season were due to rest and a quick bout with pneumonia. Jordan is a better fit for the punt FT% build than fellow bricklayer Andre Drummond as Jordan’s FG% and blocks are much more valuable and more difficult to find that Drummond’s additional points and steals. Only Steph Curry was more valuable than Jordan in the punt points and FT% build last season.

16) Al Horford (PF/C) – Horford is perhaps the least exciting early-round option, but that doesn’t mean he’s not a very strong pick even early in the second round. In his last four healthy seasons, Horford hasn’t finished lower than 17th on a per game basis. Of course, he has never finished higher than 13th over that span, but consistency in the early rounds is extremely important. Having a first or second round pick bust usually leads to a very long season. The move to Boston shouldn’t have a major impact on Horford. Coach Stevens likes to play around with his lineups, but Horford, being the team’s best player, should be immune to any lineup changes. You won’t win any leagues by taking Horford in the second round, but you won’t lose any leagues either.

17) Kyle Lowry (PG) – If Lowry was more durable, I would gladly take the Raptors’ lead guard in the first round. Lowry gives you everything you could ask for in a first-round pick. He provides elite production in multiple categories (2.8 3PG, 2.1 SPG) while producing strong across-the-board numbers (21.2 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 6.4 APG). The problem is that he tends to fade as the season goes on and has a habit of picking up minor injuries that affect his production. Lowry’s decline wasn’t as obvious in 2015-2016 as it was the year before, but it was still very real. Over the last three months of the season, Lowry was only a top-25 option, in large part due to an elbow injury that bothered him throughout most of the second half of the season and into the playoffs. There’s a very good chance that Lowry, once again, finishes as fantasy’s fourth-ranked point guard, but it could be a bumpy ride.

18) Damian Lillard (PG) – Lillard’s 2014-2015 defensive improvement proved to be a mirage as the Blazer went back to being one of the league’s worse defenders in 2015-2016 and as a result, his fantasy value suffered (0.9 SPG). No player receives a larger bump by disregarding FG% than Lillard (41.9 FG%). Pairing Lillard with a big man like DeMarcus Cousins and punting FG% is one of the better options available to those picking late in the first round. The point guard is an excellent source of points (25.1 PPG), threes (3.1 3PG), assists (6.8 APG), and FT% impact (89.2 FT% on 6.2 FTA) and his lack of steals is negated by Cousins’ thievery (1.6 SPG). I wouldn’t worry too much about Evan Turner. His presence will likely lead to a small drop in Lillard’s assists, but it could also help bring down Lillard’s turnovers (3.2 TOPG).

19) Giannis Antetokounmpo (PG/SG/SF) – I’m not sure what to do with the Greek Freak. On one hand, his late-season run absolutely justifies this ranking. Antetokounmpo was a top-15 player over the last two months of the season and averaged an outstanding 18.8 PPG, 8.7 RPG, 7.2 APG, 1.4 SPG, and 1.9 BPG over that period of time. However, the Bucks were well out of playoff contention at that point, Michael Carter-Williams was sidelined with an injury, and Giannis’ time as a point forward didn’t lead to many Bucks wins. Before his switch to point guard, Antetokounmpo was only a top-50 option. He’s a high-risk, high-reward pick and whether or not you think Giannis is worth an early second-round pick comes down to how much you trust Coach Kidd to keep Giannis at point guard all season long.

20) Andre Drummond (PF/C) – Drummond’s fantasy value continues to be dragged down by the Pistons’ attempts to develop his offensive game. He continues to struggle to score efficiently (52.0 FG%) and his disappointing results from the field leave him a level below Hassan Whiteside and DeAndre Jordan when it comes to punt FT% anchors. However, Drummond is a fine consolation prize for those missing out on the more efficient big men due to his league-leading rebounding (14.5 RPG), excellent out-of-position steals (1.5 SPG), and solid blocks (1.4 BPG). If you do decide to punt FT%, target Whiteside and Jordan before Drummond. Having an elite FG% anchor is extremely important when punting FT% as many of the guards that you will need to target later will struggle from the field.

21) John Wall (PG) – Wall’s ceiling continues to be limited by his efficiency woes (42.4 FG%, 79.1 FT%, 4.1 TOPG), but the point guard remains a lock to return top-30 value and close to ten assists per night. He’s a very useful H2H option, and fits very well into both the punt FG% and punt FT% strategies. His counting stats are elite, especially now that he’s added a somewhat consistent threeball to his game (1.5 3PG). Wall’s assists are his biggest draw (10.3 APG), but his above-average rebounding for a point guard (4.9 RPG) and elite defensive stats (1.9 SPG, 0.8 BPG) are also extremely useful.

22) Draymond Green (SF/PF) – I hope you enjoyed Draymond’s stunning 7.4 APG last season, because it’s extremely unlikely that he comes anywhere close to that number in 2016-2017. Kevin Durant finished in the top-10 in usage last season and much of Draymond’s offensively responsibility will shift to Durant. That’s not to say he won’t be an elite source of out-of-position dimes, a talent that makes Green an excellent fit for the punt FT% build, but five assists per night is a more reasonable expectation. The drop in assists should come with a dip in turnovers (3.2 APG), and as always, Draymond is a lock to average well over one three, one steal, and one block per night.

23) Jimmy Butler (SG/SF) – Butler was one of free agency’s biggest losers as the additions of Dwyane Wade and Rajon Rondo all but guarantee that Jimmy won’t repeat last season’s top-15 finish. Wade is one of the most ball-dominant players in the league and Rondo is useless without the ball in his hands. Teams will dare the Bulls to beat them from the perimeter, something that Jimmy is not particularly good at (1.0 3PG on 31.2 3P%). Expect an increase in threes, but a decrease in most of his other counting stats.

24) Kemba Walker (PG) – The diminutive point guard has quietly become one of fantasy’s most deadly weapons. Walker finished in the top-20 last season and has provided at least second-round value in the punt FG% build in each of the past four seasons. Kemba has turned one of his greatest weakness into a strength and hit 2.2 3PG last season. He is also a sneaky source of defensive stats and averaged a very useful 1.6 SPG and 0.5 BPG in 2015-2016. Last season, the only point guards more valuable than Kemba were Steph Curry, Chris Paul, Russell Westbrook, and Kyle Lowry.

25) Klay Thompson (SG/SF) – Klay will likely take the biggest hit of the Warriors’ four all-stars. The sharpshooter derives most of his value from his scoring (22.1 PPG) and his three-point proficiency (3.5 3PG). With Kevin Durant and his massive usage now in Oakland, it’s likely that both his scoring and threes see a small drop. His efficiency keeps his floor high (47.0 FG%, 87.3%), but Klay doesn’t do enough elsewhere (3.8 RPG, 2.1 APG, 0.8 SPG) to compensate for the upcoming drop in shot attempts.

26) Kristaps Porzingis (PF/C) – Karl-Anthony Towns was 2015-2016’s most hyped rookie, but Porzingis wasn’t far behind and deservedly so. The Knick is a dream fit for the punt FG% build due to his elite blocks (1.9 BPG) and solid rebounding (7.3 RPG) and fits well into almost any build thanks to his big man stats and his out-of-position threes (1.1 3PG). The addition of Derrick Rose should help Porzingis as the former Bull will demand much more defensive attention than the departing Jose Calderon. Kristaps was a top-30 per minute player last season and has a top-15 ceiling.

27) Kyrie Irving (PG/SG) – Kyrie’s heroic finals performance masked what was a very forgettable season up until that point. Irving missed 29 games, mostly at the beginning of the season, and for the first time in his career, failed to post top-50 per game numbers. Expect the point guard to bounce back in 2016-2017. Irving has already proven that he can post early-round numbers playing beside LeBron and is only a year removed from a top-12 finish. Kyrie fits well into just about any build as he provides across the board production (19.6 PPG, 1.6 3PG, 4.7 APG, 1.1 SPG) on solid efficiency (44.8 FG%, 88.5 FT%).

28) Serge Ibaka (PF/C) – The move to Orlando should breathe life into Ibaka’s quickly deteriorating fantasy value. Playing beside Nikola Vucevic should allow Ibaka to spend more time defending the rim and less time chasing stretch fours around the perimeter. Expect an increase in his blocks (1.9 BPG) as well as his scoring (12.6 PPG) now that he will no longer be playing beside Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant. It’s unlikely that we see Ibaka return to his top-15 ways as the value gained by his love of the three-ball (0.8 3PG) has been more than cancelled out by the corresponding drop in efficiency (47.9 FG%). Ibaka looks like a very strong pick starting in the third round and is a perfect fit for the punt FG% build. His blocks are extremely valuable in that build and his lack of dimes (0.8 APG) and swipes (0.5 SPG) can easily be offset by all the guards who receive boosts when FG% is ignored.

29) Brook Lopez (C) – The Nets’ big man looks like he’s finally over the foot issues that threatened his career. Lopez is by no means an ironman, but has now played in at least 72 games two seasons in a row. His newfound health has allowed Lopez to be a second-round asset the past two seasons and the center is a great bet to repeat his 2015-2016 averages of 20.6 PPG, 7.9 RPG, and 1.7 BPG. Brook is also extremely efficient (51.1 FG%, 78.7 FT%) and his previous issues with dimes and steals aren’t as debilitating as they used to be (2.0 APG, 0.8 SPG). The biggest issue with Lopez is the team he is on. The Nets are going to be horrendous and he’ll be a shutdown candidate during the fantasy playoffs.

30) Blake Griffin (PF/C)  – Last season was a disaster for Blake. He failed to crack the top-40 on a per game basis and missed over half the season after breaking his hand on an equipment manager’s face. He has missed significant time two seasons in a row, but remains a safe bet to produce early-round value when he is on the court. Despite his improvement from the line (72.7 FT%), Griffin is an excellent fit for the punt FT% build. Blake provides the scoring (21.4 PPG) and out-of-position assists (4.9 APG) that are required to successfully pull off the build.

31) Nikola Jokic (C) – The hype surrounding Jokic is getting out of control, but there’s no denying that the talented big man has early-round potential. Jokic finished in the top-70 last season despite only playing 21.7 MPG and was a top-10 per minute player. With King Joff in Oklahoma City and the fragile Jusuf Nurkic backing up Jokic, the Nuggets’ starting center should see close to 28 MPG. He should average a double-double (16.5 PP36, 11.6 RP36) and will be a sneaky source of out-of-position assists (3.9 AP36). Jokic is also an excellent source of percentages impact (51.1 FG%, 81.1 FT%) and is an above-average thief (1.6 SP36). The big man’s one weakness is his below-average shot blocking ability (1.0 BP36) which makes the Serbian a prime candidate for the punt blocks build.

 

32) Victor Oladipo (PG/SG) – Oladipo is the biggest beneficiary of Durant’s departure. Westbrook’s presence does cap Oladipo’s upside, but the shooting guard will still be worth consideration starting in the third round. Over the last three months of the 2015-2016 season, Oladipo was phenomenal, averaging an incredible 18.7 PPG, 1.4 3PG, 3.9 APG, and 1.9 SPG. Those numbers were good enough to rank Oladipo in the top-15 over that span. The shooting guard has first-round upside, but it would take an injury to his backcourt mate for that potential to be realized.

33) Derrick Favors (PF/C) – Favors has slowly, but steadily, risen up the fantasy rankings and managed to be a top-30 asset in 2015-2016. Favors offensive game has grown considerably over the past two seasons and the power forward should benefit from the addition of George Hill. Favors is an excellent source of big man stats (8.1 RPG, 1.5 BPG, 51.5 FG%) and has improved enough at the line (70.9 FT%) that he is useful outside of the punt FT% build.

34) Carmelo Anthony (SF/PF) – The Knicks’ star is now 32 and is starting to show his age. Carmelo’s numbers have declined the past two seasons and the swingman only provided third-round value in 2015-2016. He’s been battling chronic knee pain for the past two years which is not something that is likely to get better with age. Melo is still a very good source of points (21.8 PPG), threes (1.5 3PG), and rebounds (7.7 RPG), but it’s hard to invest a high pick in a player who always seems to be struggling with injuries.

35) Trevor Ariza (SG/SF) – Ariza has turned himself into one of safest mid-round picks by posting top-40 value three years in a row. Over that span he has never averaged less than 2.3 3PM or 1.6 SPG. Ariza has also been an ironman of late and has only missed one game over the past two seasons. With Mike D’Antoni now manning the Rockets sideline, Ariza, like all of teammates, has a higher ceiling than usual this season. The Rockets played at the seventh fastest pace last season and it would surprise no one if they lead the league in that category in 2016-2017.

36) Eric Bledsoe (PG/SG) – Bledsoe has shown that he has early-round talent. He finished 24th-overall on a per game basis in 2015-2016 and provides strong production in points (20.4 PPG), threes (1.5 3PG), assists (6.1 APG), and steals (2.0 SPG). The problem is that he just can’t stay healthy long enough for those contributions to be relevant. The Suns’ point guard has missed nearly half the season two of the past three years and has spent most of the summer recovering from a torn left meniscus. Bledsoe has second-round upside, but his floor is much lower than most of the point guards available in the same range.

37) Nikola Vucevic (PF/C) – The concerns surrounding the Magic’s signing of Bismack Biyombo have gotten out of hand and have allowed Vucevic to become a value pick for those drafting early. As long as Vucevic is on the Magic’s roster, he is going to start. A starting lineup of Elfrid Payton, Evan Fournier, Aaron Gordon, Serge Ibaka, and Bismack Biyombo would be the worst offensive starting lineup in the league. There’s no reason why Vucevic can’t return top-40 value for the fifth year in a row. He’ll still see north of 30 MPG and will continue to be one of the best fits for the punt blocks build (1.1 BPG) due to his proficiency on the boards (8.8 RPG) and efficient scoring (51.0 FG%).

38) Gorgui Dieng (PF/C) – Dieng has an extremely fantasy-friendly game, but as usual, his role is up in the air. The Wolves have been shopping for a power forward and have never fully embraced Dieng as their long-term solution at the four. However, as of now, Dieng is looking like the likely starter at power forward and that would mean big things. Thibodeau relies heavily on starters and if Dieng can hold onto the starting job, he should see an uptick in playing time (27.1 MPG). That means that Dieng, who is coming off of back-to-back, top-55 seasons, has a chance to crack the top-35 in 2016-2017. Gorgui is an very good source of defensive stats (1.1 SPG, 1.2 BPG) and is one of the league’s most efficient big men (53.3 FG%, 82.7 FT%). Those pristine percentages make him one of the best mid-round options for the punt points build.

39) Pau Gasol (PF/C) – Gasol is replacing the retiring Tim Duncan and figures to see both his minutes and production drop now that he is in San Antonio. Pau was a top-20 option in Chicago, but likely won’t see more than 28 MPG in his first season in the silver and black. Coach Popovich will want to keep Gasol fresh for the playoffs and he’s likely the odd man out when the Spurs decide to go small. A top-50 per game finish feels very doable, but owners targeting the Spaniard need to accept that that top-50 production will likely come with some ill-timed DNP-OLDs.

40) Kevin Love (PF/C) – There’s been no signs that the Cavaliers intend to increase the former perennial first-round pick’s role and that leaves Love as a solid, yet uninspiring, mid-round pick. Love’s upside isn’t very high due to his role, but the big man will continue to be an excellent source of out-of-position threes (2.1 3PG) and free-throw impact (82.2 FT%). Love is another big man who fits the punt blocks build well (0.5 BPG) as he brings the rebounds (9.9 RPG) that you need to pull off the strategy successfully.

41) C.J. McCollum (PG/SG) – One of last season’s biggest breakout stars is poised to repeat his top-45 2015-2016 finish. Evan Turner will take some touches away from McCollum, but C.J. is a strong enough off-the-ball player that his scoring (20.8 PPG) and threes (2.5 3PG) shouldn’t suffer too much. Turner’s presence should lead to a decrease in McCollum’s dimes though (4.3 APG). McCollum’s FT% is also worth monitoring. The shooting guard hit 82.7% of his free throws in 2015-2016, but never managed to crack 70% from the line in his first two seasons in the NBA. That is a significant improvement and some regression wouldn’t be surprising.

42) Jae Crowder (SF/PF) – Crowder was another one of 2015-2016’s biggest surprises and posted top-35 numbers that included 1.7 3PG and 1.7 SPG. Crowder was not asked to create much last season so Al Horford’s presence shouldn’t have a major impact on the swingman’s production. Crowder is built in the same mold as Khris Middleton and Trevor Ariza and is best deployed as part of the punt assists build (1.8 APG).

43) Rudy Gobert (C) – Gobert was one of 2015-2016’s biggest disappointments and didn’t come close to justifying his second-round ADP. The big man missed 21 games and was only a top-70 player when he did suit up. However, Gobert has shown the ability to post early-round numbers and any player who has early-round potential deserves to be taken in the middle rounds. The presence of George Hill should help Gobert’s FG% bounce back. The big man only shot 55.9% from the field in 2015-2016, which was significantly lower than the 60.4% connect rate that he posted in 2014-2015. Gobert is an excellent option for those who decide to punt FT% (56.9 FT%) and went guard heavy in the early rounds.

44) Jonas Valanciunas (C) – Dwane Casey has talked about increasing Valanciunas’ role all offseason and that has caused the big man’s ADP to spike in early drafts. As a Raptors fan, I’ll believe it when I see it. This isn’t the first time Casey has promised Big V an increased role. Valanciunas, if he was to see 30 MPG, could post top-30 value, as he is a very strong per minute player, but his inability to average even an assist or half a steal a game (0.7 APG, 0.4 SPG) keeps his ceiling outside of the first two rounds. The Lithuanian does produce quite a bit in the traditional big man categories. He is extremely efficient from the field (56.5 FG%), excellent on the boards (12.7 RP36), and is a solid rim protector (1.3 BPG). As a bonus, Val is one of the few centers that is competent from the line (76.1 FT%).

45) Isaiah Thomas (PG) – The undersized lead guard has produced top-40 numbers in two of the past three seasons and should continue to be the engine that drives the Celtics’ offense. There’s been some talk of Marcus Smart having a larger role this season, but with Evan Turner now in Portland, Smart’s role can increase without Thomas’ suffering. Thomas should once again flirt with two threes per night (2.0 3PG) and is a great source of points (22.2 PPG) and assists (6.2 APG). Isaiah is one of the best options for those who passed on the early-round point guards.

46) Nicolas Batum (SG/SF) – Batum produces one of the league’s most unique lines and his out-of-position assists (5.8 APG) make him an excellent option for those unwilling to pay the premium that comes with most point guards. Batum’s FG% (42.7 FG%) and blocks (0.6 BPG) have been trending down which limits his upside, but the swingman’s appeal comes from his ability to fit into almost any build. His struggles from the field make him a natural fit for the punt FG% build and he’s also a great pick for the punt FT% build due to his dimes.

47) Ryan Anderson (PF/C) – Anderson and the Rockets are a match made in heaven. Anderson fits perfectly with what Mike D’Antoni likes to do and feels like a lock to hit at least 2.5 3PM. Anderson has reached that mark three times in his career and each time it resulted in a top-50 finish, including a top-10 finish in 2011-2012. The sharpshooter is an especially good fit punt blocks (0.4 BPG) and punt FG% (42.8%) scenarios.

48) Goran Dragic (PG/SG) – It’s easy to forget that Dragic is only two years removed from a top-30 finish. Dwyane Wade, and his massive usage, destroyed Dragic’s value, but now that Wade is back home in Chicago, we should see the former Sun return to his top-50 ways. Chris Bosh’s future is still up in the air, and if he was to miss significant time, which at this point looks likely, Dragic will be the first option for the Heat. Expect across-the-board improvement for Dragic in 2015-2016. The last time Dragic spent a full season as the central point of an offense he averaged 20.3 PPG, 1.6 3PG, 5.9 APG, and 1.4 SPG while shooting 50.5% from the field.

49) Dirk Nowitzki (PF/C) – The legend continues to defy Father Time and produced yet another top-30 season in 2015-2016. With the Mavericks, once again, looking like a borderline playoff team, Dirk’s minutes should stay north of 30 MPG (31.5 MPG). Coach Carlisle would like to play Nowitzki less, but he simply doesn’t have a choice given the quality of the big German’s teammates. Dirk provides excellent out-of-position threes (1.7 3PG) and FT% impact (89.3 FT% on 3.7 FTA), but his shooting from the field has dropped as his game has become more perimeter oriented (44.8 FG%). Dirk is a solid fit for the punt blocks build (0.7 BPG) and a good, but not great fit, for the punt FG% build. Ideally, you want your punt FG% big men to contribute more than just decent boards (6.5 RPG) and below-average blocks.

50) Marc Gasol (C) – The big Spaniard is still recovering from a season-ending foot injury, but should be ready for the start of training camp. Gasol is ranked surprisingly low in Yahoo’s rankings and projects to be excellent value for anyone who scoops him up in the middle rounds. Gasol’s value tends to bounce around a lot. He was a top-20 player in 2014-2015 but only a top-45 option in 2015-2016. Despite the inconsistency, the Grizzlies’ center’s ceiling makes him an excellent pick at his current price, especially for those looking to punt FG%. Gasol’s FG% has been trending downward (46.3 FG%) and he brings the rebounds (7.0 RPG) and blocks (1.3 BPG) that the build requires without hurting you from the line (82.9 FT%).

51) Marcin Gortat (C) – Gortat is one of the league’s steadiest players and has posted top-50 value three seasons in a row. The signing of Ian Mahinmi isn’t ideal, as Gortat and Mahinmi probably can’t play beside each other, but Gortat could still post top-50 value even if his minutes slightly decrease. Gortat fits into almost any punting strategy. He is extremely efficient (56.7 FG%), is one of the league’s better rebounders (9.9 RPG), is a solid rim protector (1.3 BPG), and doesn’t kill you from the line (70.5 FT% on 2.8 FTA).

52) Ricky Rubio (PG) – Rubio is now surrounded by the most offensively gifted supporting cast that he’s ever had. The Spaniard has a very good chance to exceed his previous career high of 8.8 APG. Rubio’s shooting woes are not going anywhere (37.4 FG%), but those bricks come on low enough volume that he is useful outside of the punt FG% build. Rubio is best deployed in the punt FG% build or the punt points build (10.1 PPG). Without points, the point guard was a top-20 option in 2015-2016. As always, Rubio will be one of the league leaders in steals (2.1 SPG).

53) Chandler Parsons (SF/PF) – Parsons received one of this offseason’s most ridiculous deals, but the versatile forward is a very good fit for a team in desperate need of shooting and playmaking. Parsons’ final 2015-2016 ranking of 80th-overall is deceptive as the small forward was actually an early-round asset over the last three months of the season. Over that span, the former Maverick averaged a very impressive 18.1 PPG on 51.3% shooting, 2.5 3PG, 5.7 RPG, and 3.2 APG. That shooting is unsustainable so don’t expect early-round production from Parsons, but a top-45 finish is possible.

54) Rudy Gay (SF/PF) – The Kings have been tossing around the idea of trading Gay and it’s possible that the swingman has played his last game in a Kings’ jersey. Usually, that level of uncertainty would tank a player’s value, but Gay has proven that he has the ability to provide at least mid-round in any situation. Rudy has been a top-60 option in Memphis, Toronto, and Sacramento. Gay is one of the best sources of points (17.2 PPG) available in the middle rounds and also provides above-average production in the defensive categories (1.4 SPG, 0.7 BPG).

55) Mike Conley (PG) – Conley’s value has decreased as he has taken on a larger role on offense. Conley scores more (15.3 PPG) and hands out more dimes (6.1 APG) then he did when he was returning early-round value, but the additional offensive responsibility has come at the expense of Conley’s efficiency (42.2 FG%) and defensive impact. Conley’s bread and butter used to be his steals. In both 2011-2012 and 2012-2013, Conley averaged 2.2 SPG. Last season, he barely provided above-average production in that category and only managed to average 1.2 swipes per night. One thing that has improved as Conley has aged is his ability to take care of the ball. He was the only point guard in the league who averaged less than two turnovers per night while handing out at least six assists per game.

56) Danilo Gallinari (SF) – Gallo just can’t stay healthy. The Nugget has missed at least 23 games in three of the past four seasons and his brittleness continues to more than offset his top-50 per game production. What makes Gallinari especially useful when he is on the court, is his FT% impact. The Italian hit 86.8% of the 8.2 free throws that he took each night in 2015-2016. The only players who had a larger positive impact on that category last season were James Harden and Kevin Durant. Gallo also provides very useful scoring numbers (19.5 PPG) and production from deep (1.6 3PG), but is a major drag on owners’ FG% (41.0 FG%).

57) Tobias Harris (SF/PF) – Harris hasn’t quite lived up to the sky-high expectations that came with his 2012-2013 late-season breakout, but the Piston has made himself into a dependable mid-round option. Tobias is an efficient scorer (14.7 PPG on 46.9 FG%), a solid rebounder considering who he is playing beside (6.7 RPG), and is a decent source of threes (1.1 3PG) from the power forward position. The Pistons signed Jon Leuer and drafted Henry Ellenson, but neither is a threat to Harris’ minutes.

58) DeMar DeRozan (SG/SF) – You know what you’re going to get with DeRozan. Lots of points (23.5 PPG) on middling efficiency (44.7 FG%), great numbers at the line (85.0 FT% on 8.4 FTA), and disappointing results from deep (0.6 3PG). Unless DeMar miraculously develops a three-ball, he will remain a high-floor, low-ceiling player. DeMar is a must-grab in the middle rounds for those punting threes.

59) Gordon Hayward (SG/SF) – Hayward is a poor man’s Paul George, who provides solid, but not elite, scoring (19.7 PPG), threes (1.8 3PG), and assists (3.7 APG) while shooting poorly from the field (43.3 FG%). The swingman could see a small dip in his scoring due to the return of Alec Burks and George Hill, but Hayward’s floor remains high due to the heavy minutes that he sees (36.2 MPG).

60) Aaron Gordon (SF/PF) – Serge Ibaka’s arrival and the signing of Bismack Biyombo signals that the Magic are ready to move forward with Aaron Gordon at the three. The Magic don’t really have a go-to option on offense so Gordon’s usage could spike in his third NBA season. Gordon will be on every sleeper list and rightfully so. The high flyer gives you a little bit of everything and has the potential to join the one three/one steal/one block club this season. His only clear weakness is his free-throw shooting (66.8 FT%) which, mercifully, doesn’t come with a high draw rate (3.7 FTA36). Draft Gordon aggressively as you’re likely to have plenty of competition.

61) Thaddeus Young (SF/PF) – The Pacers are planning on picking up the pace and that should keep Thad’s value in the middle rounds as he adjusts to his new teammates. Young has been a top-40 option in three of the past four seasons and currently has little competition for minutes at the four. He produces a unique line and is an excellent fit for the punt blocks build (0.5 BPG) and for anyone in need of elite, out-of-position steals (1.5 SPG). As always, Thad’s FT% will be a mystery. Over the past five seasons, Young has shot as high as 77.1% from the line and as low as 57.4%.

62) Otto Porter (SF) – Porter was one of last season’s most obvious breakout candidates and lived up to hype by producing top-60 numbers in his third year in the league. Porter provides across-the-board production that includes 1.3 3PG, 5.2 RPG, 1.4 SPG, and an impressively low 0.9 TOPG. I don’t like to ignore turnovers in H2H leagues. Usually, the majority of the league does, and even being bad in that category, instead of completely punting the category, can be a huge advantage in the fantasy playoffs.

63) Myles Turner (PF/C) – Turner is one of my favorite potential breakout players and looked like a star in the making during the Pacers’ playoff run. The talented young big man was a top-90 player over the last three months of the season despite only playing 26.4 MPG. Over that stretch he averaged 12.1 PPG, 6.4 RPG, and 1.7 BPG on 49.7 FG%. Those already very useful numbers, look like Turner’s floor. A top-50 finish is very possible. Al Jefferson is a shell of his former self and will be not a threat to Turner’s minutes.

64) Evan Fournier (SG/SF) – Yahoo must think that Fournier passed away over the summer, because I can’t think of any other reason why they would rank last season’s 68th most valuable player outside of the top-200. Now that Victor Oladipo is in Oklahoma City, Fournier has a real chance to lead the Magic in scoring. The problem with Fournier is that he does almost nothing outside of putting the ball in the basket (15.4 PPG). He doesn’t pass the ball (2.7 APG), doesn’t hit the boards (2.8 RPG), and blocks about as many shots as you and I do (0.0 BPG). His huge role keeps his floor relatively high, but the holes in Fournier’s line limit his ceiling to the middle rounds.

65) D’Angelo Russell (PG) – Russell had a disappointing rookie year both on and off the court. The young point guard’s outstanding potential hasn’t disappeared though and Kobe Bryant’s retirement should be a boon to his value. Russell will likely continue to struggle with his efficiency (41.0 FG%, 73.7 FT%), but with Kobe’s massive usage no longer holding him back, expect a spike in his counting stats (13.2 PPG, 1.6 3PG, 3.3 APG, 1.2 SPG). Two threes a night to go along with five dimes is a reasonable expectation for the sophomore.

66) Nikola Mirotic (SF/PF) – Mirotic is the biggest winner of the Bulls’ busy offseason. The additions of Dwyane Wade and Rajon Rondo leaves the Bulls woefully short on perimeter shooting and essentially forces Coach Hoiberg to start Mirotic at the four and play him heavy minutes. Mirotic was maddeningly inconsistent in 2015-2016, often flashing his early-round potential for a week, and following that week with two weeks of looking like a cut candidate. Despite the awful stretches that seemed to dominate Mirotic’s season, the big man still managed to provide top-90 value on the year because his game is incredibly fantasy friendly. Mirotic was a top-30 per minute player over the last two months of the season and averaged 14.1 PPG, 2.8 3PG, 4.7 RPG, 0.9 SPG, and 0.8 BPG over that span. He is an excellent fit for the punt FG% build (40.7 FG%) due to his poor shooting and his potential on the defensive end.

67) George Hill (PG/SG) – Hill is a perfect fit for the defensive-minded Jazz and is a massive upgrade on the combination of Trey Burke and Shelvin Mack that manned the position in 2015-2016. Hill should be able to improve on his top-80 2015-2016 finish now that he is no longer sharing a backcourt with Monta Ellis. He can play both guard spots so the return of Dante Exum should not worry those targeting Hill. The former Pacer has finished within the top-50 two of the past four seasons and could easily achieve that mark in 2016-2017.

68) Marvin Williams (SF/PF) – Like Fournier, Williams is ranked outside of the top-200 on Yahoo. That will likely change by the time the season starts, but for now, owners can enjoy a huge discount on a veteran coming off the best season of his career. Williams finished within the top-50 last season and was even better down the stretch. Over the last three months of the season, Marvin was a top-40 player and averaged 2.1 3PG, 6.3 RPG, and 0.8 BPG and shot 47.9% from the field. Williams is an excellent fit for the punt points build and was a top-30 player in that build in 2015-2016.

69) Nerlens Noel (PF/C) – Noel is an extremely hard player to rank. The 76ers are reportedly trying to move one of Noel and Jahlil Okafor to free up playing time for top pick Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid. Noel is the more likely of the two to be moved and his value will be very dependent on where he lands. If it’s a favorable landing spot, Noel could very easily be a top-25 player. He’s shown that type of upside before. A favorable landing spot should be defined as a spot where he can spend most of his time at center. Noel’s offensive game is still in its infancy, and if he is forced to spend significant time at the four, his FG% is likely to take a serious hit (52.1 FG%). Regardless of where he lands, Noel will be one of the league’s best sources of defensive stats (1.8 SPG, 1.5 BPG).

70) Greg Monroe (PF/C) – The Bucks were defensively challenged in 2015-2016 and much of the blame should go to Monroe. The Bucks’ brass seems to agree and has been trying to move the big man all summer. This ranking reflects the uncertainty surrounding Monroe as he was much better than this in 2015-2016. Last season, Monroe was a top-45 player who scored efficiently (15.3 PPG on 52.2 FG%) and hit the boards hard (8.8 RPG). Monroe’s usually above-average steals disappeared (0.9 SPG), but owners should expect a bounce back in that category as last season was the first time in the former Piston’s career where he didn’t average at least 1.1 SPG.

71) Robert Covington (SF/PF) – Covington is currently the favorite to start at small forward for what should be an improved 76ers team. Coach Brown played around with Covington’s minutes last season, but despite that, the swingman was still able to finish within the top-70 for the second season in a row. Covington is one of the league’s best sources of threes (2.5 3PG) and steals (1.6 3PG) and is a sneaky source of boards as well (6.3 RPG). Make sure you heavy plenty of FG% anchors on you team if you draft Covington. Only a handful of players had a larger negative impact on FG% than Covington did in 2015-2016 (38.5 FG%).

72) Robin Lopez (C) – Lopez’s lone year with the Knicks was forgettable, but the steady big man did finish the year extremely strong. Over the last two months of the season, Lopez provided owners with top-60 value that included 9.2 RPG and 2.0 BPG to go along with his always stellar percentages (55.4 FG%, 78.5 FT%). With so many playmakers on the Bulls’ roster, expect Lopez’ FG% to rise which makes a top-60 finish very possible. He is an excellent fit for the punt assist build (1.4 APG) and is one of my favorite 2016-2017 mid-round sleepers.

73) Enes Kanter (C) – Kanter is in line for the biggest workload of his career as the Thunder will look to the big man to take many of the shots that used to go to Kevin Durant. An increased role could mean very big things for a player who was a top-20 per minute player in 2015-2016. Kanter is a very tricky player to build around though. He provides absolutely nothing on the defensive end (0.3 SPG, 0.4 BPG) and is a black hole on offense (0.4 APG).

74) Clint Capela (PF/C) – With Dwight Howard now in Atlanta, Capela will have a huge role in what should be an explosive Rockets offense. Capela is a punt FT%-only player (37.9 FT%), but he projects to be a heck of a punt FT%-only player. The big man was a top-20 per minute player in the punt FT% build last season and is one of the best mid-round options for those who went guard heavy early. Capela’s 2015-2016 per minute numbers give us an idea of what to expect this coming season. The Rocket produced 12.1 RP36 and 2.3 BP36 while shooting 58.2% from the field. Those are impressive numbers and any player who can average a double-double with two blocks a night is going to be a very deadly H2H weapon.

75) Jabari Parker (SF/PF) – The former second-overall pick has completely recovered from his rookie season ACL tear and should improve on his 2015-2016 top-115 finish. Parker got stronger as the year went on and managed to average 18.9 PPG, 6.1 RPG, and 1.1 SPG over the last two months of the season. Jabari’s inability to hit from the outside limits his upside (0.1 3PG), but the Buck is one of the few players available after the early rounds who can produce gaudy scoring numbers while having a positive impact on your FG%.

76) J.J. Redick (SG) – The sharpshooter is similar to Enes Kanter in that he excels in five categories and gives you absolutely nothing in the other four. Redick provides above-average production in points (16.3 PPG), threes (2.7 3PG), FG% (48.0 FG%), FT% (88.8 FT%), and turnovers (1.0 TOPG). He also does everything possible to sabotage your assists (1.4 APG), boards (1.9 RPG), and defensive stats (0.6 SPG, 0.1 BPG). Redick has been a top-70 player in each of his three seasons in Los Angeles and is best utilized in the punt assists build.

77) Dwight Howard (PF/C) – Howard is replacing Al Horford and remains a mid-round option for those punting FT%. The move to Atlanta should be accompanied by usage boost and that should lead to an increase in his shot attempts and scoring (13.7 PPG). Despite having his worst season since his rookie year, Howard was still a top-20 option in the punt FT% build in 2015-2016. He’s no longer an elite option without FT%, but with so many of the ideal punt FT% big men slated to go early in drafts, Dwight is a good option for those going guard heavy early.

78) Avery Bradley (PG/SG) – Bradley’s proficiency from deep (1.9 3PG) is especially impressive when you consider that he came into league without any semblance of a jumper. The defensive stalwart has turned himself into a solid, mid-round option and is coming off a top-65 finish in 2015-2016. Bradley is another one of the “3-and-D” wing options that the middle rounds of drafts tend to be filled with. He scores more than most of his “3-and-D” peers (15.2 PPG), but struggles to match them on the boards (2.9 RPG).

79) Zach LaVine (PG/SG) – Tom Thibodeau loves to play his starters as many minutes as they can handle and that bodes well for Wolves’ starting shooting guard. LaVine was a top-75 player over the last three months of the season and is one of the few players who can be deadly from deep (2.4 3PG over the final two months) without killing your FG% (47.9 FG% over the final two months). Kris Dunn will split his time between both guard spots, so it’s unlikely that the lottery pick will have a major impact on LaVine’s minutes.

80) Dennis Schroder (PG) – Jeff Teague’s departure means Schroder’s minutes are about to go north of 30 a night and a top-70 finish is very doable for the young point guard. Schroder is an exciting player, but owners will need to keep their expectations in check. Schroder has not been a strong per-minute player in the past and his usage spike will be accompanied by a high-turnover rate (4.1 TOP36). He will be a much stronger play in 8-cat and a very nice option for those punting FG% (42.1%). Don’t worry too much about Jarrett Jack. Jack was serviceable last season for the Nets, but the track record of point guards who tear their ACLs in their thirties is not good. He’ll be strictly a backup for the Hawks and will have no value in standard leagues.

81) Wes Matthews (SG/SF) – Matthews tore his Achilles late in the 2014-2015 season so it was hardly a surprise that his 2015-2016 campaign was his worst in years. Now over a year removed from his injury, the three-point bomber is a solid bet for a bounce back season. Matthews showed signs of improvement as the 2015-2016 season went on. He was a top-85 player over the last month of the season and was able to play 36.7 MPG over that span without his body breaking down. Before his Achilles injury, Wes had managed five straight seasons of top-60 production and that is a fair estimate of his ceiling. Matthews is a lock to provide over two threes per night (2.4 3PG) and should see his FG% rebound. His 2015-2016 mark (38.8 FG%) was, by far, the lowest of his career.

82) Jeff Teague (PG) – Teague was an inconsistent player with the Hawks, often following months of looking like an early-round player, with months of barely looking like a top-100 option. He’ll be an especially risky pick now that he’ll be forced to share the ball with notorious usage-hog Monta Ellis and Paul George. Teague does have a lot of weapons on offense, but his inconsistency makes him one of the least attractive point guards currently being drafted in the middle rounds.

83) Jordan Clarkson (PG/SG) – Clarkson fell victim to the Kobe Bryant retirement tour in 2015-2016 and only managed to provide top-115 value to his disappointed owners. The 2016-2017 campaign shouldn’t be quite as ugly for the shooting guard as the Mamba’s departure makes Clarkson one of the Lakers’ go-to options. Clarkson is a strong, late-round target for those punting assists. He has point guard eligibility and very little of his value is tied up in dimes (2.4 APG). Clarkson gives you everything else you’d hope for from a guard in his range (15.5 PPG, 1.4 3PG, 1.1 SPG) and should be a top-100 option this season. I have him ranked outside of the top-100 because his upside is limited by the presence of D’Angelo Russell and Brandon Ingram.

84) DeMarre Carroll (SF/PF) – Carroll’s first year with the Raptors was ruined by a knee injury that hindered his play all the way through to the Eastern Conference Finals. The swingman should be fully healthy when the season starts and will continue to have a massive role for Dwane Casey’s squad. The Raptors don’t move the ball like the Hawks do, so don’t expect a top-50 finish from Carroll, but he should be able to produce at least top-90 numbers if he can stay healthy. He is a “3-and-D” specialist (1.8 3PG, 1.7 SPG) who best fits into the punt points (11.0 PPG) and punt assist (1.0 APG) builds.

85) Danny Green (SG/SF) – The normally reliable sharpshooter was a disaster in 2015-2016, managing to only make 1.5 3PM and only hit 37.6% of his shot attempts. It can’t get any worse. Green’s role, a role that allowed him to post top-25 value in 2014-2015, remains unchanged, which makes him one of the best late-round options available. The end of the draft is all about chasing upside and few players currently available in the final rounds has as much as Green. The Spur is an outstanding fit for the punt points build and is always an excellent source of out-of-position blocks (0.8 BPG).

86) Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (SG/SF) – Expect big things on the defensive end from one of the few fantasy-relevant players on the Nets. Hollis-Jefferson’s rookie year was ruined by an ankle injury, but in the 29 games that he did manage to suit up for, the former Wildcat showed that he has early-round potential. You won’t find a better source of defensive stats late in the draft. Hollis-Jefferson posted some monster per minute defensive numbers in his rookie year (2.3 SP36, 0.9 BPG) and should see close to 30 MPG for the depleted Nets. He will also be an excellent source of out-of-position boards (9.0 RPG). If you’re punting points, target him very aggressively (9.8 PP36). He has top-30 potential in that build.

87) Darren Collison (PG) – The point guard pleaded guilty to a misdemeanor domestic violence charge over the summer, but the league came down on him surprisingly lightly. Collison is only suspended for the first eight games of the regular season. He should start once he returns to the lineup. The Kings signed Ty Lawson, but it’s unlikely that he plays well enough to unseat Collison. The last time Collison was the undisputed starter for the Kings, he posted top-50 numbers. Collison is one of the league’s most efficient point guards (48.6 FG%, 85.8 FT%) and could be a difference maker down the stretch for managers who think they can handle the early-season hit.

88) Gary Harris (SG) – Harris, very quietly, had an excellent sophomore season for the Nuggets and was one of the better waiver wire pickups of 2015-2016. The shooting guard was a top-65 player over the last two months of the season and averaged a very useful 14.3 PPG, 1.5 3PG, and 1.4 SPG over that time frame. It’s hard to see Harris repeating that performance now that the Nuggets are healthy and rookie Jamal Murray is on the roster. However, Harris will start for the Nuggets and is a reasonable target for those who missed out on Trevor Ariza and Jae Crowder earlier in the draft.

89) Reggie Jackson (PG/SG) – Jackson is a good example of why the punt assists build is such an effective strategy. In order to draft Jackson this season, you’ll likely have to use a top-50 pick on him. Using a top-50 pick on a player who has never produced better than top-90 numbers, because he averages a handful of assists (6.2 APG), is never a good idea. You don’t get extra points for winning assists and managers need to avoid falling into the trap of overpaying for dimes. Jackson is close to undraftable at his current fourth-round ADP, but if you do manage to grab the point guard at a more reasonable price, expect above-average scoring (18.8 PPG) on below-average efficiency (43.4 FG%), solid threes (1.5 3PG), and disappointing swipes (0.7 SPG).

90) Monta Ellis (PG/SG) – Monta no longer have it all. Ellis is coming off his worst regular season since his rookie year and appears to be declining. Monta averaged 18.9 PPG on 44.5% shooting in 2014-2015, but only managed 13.8 PPG on 42.7% shooting in 2015-2016. The Pacers’ acquisition of Jeff Teague doesn’t help matters. Teague will have the ball in his hands more often than George Hill did, which makes a bounce back season for Ellis unlikely. Despite his declining numbers, Monta remains a good fit the punt assists build and is one of the best sources of steals in the league (1.8 SPG).

91) Andrew Wiggins (SG/SF) – Wiggins’ game just doesn’t translate to fantasy value. The only category that Wiggins provided above-average production in last season was points (20.7 PPG). He doesn’t hit the boards (3.6 RPG), doesn’t pass 2.0 (APG), and gets most of his points inside of the arc (0.7 SPG). Despite playing 35.1 MPG last season, Wiggins only managed to be a top-115 player. Karl-Anthony Towns and Zach LaVine should have larger roles this season so it’s unlikely that we see a Wiggins take a major leap. He’s a solid points league option, but is best left alone in category leagues at his current mid-round price.

92) Kent Bazemore (SG/SF) – After an extremely strong start to the 2015-2016 campaign, Bazemore faded badly down the stretch, and was only a top-150 option over the last three months of the season. Despite the late-season struggles, Bazemore remains a solid target at the end of the middle rounds due to his upside and the likelihood that he is handed a larger role in the offense now that Al Horford is in Boston. Regardless of what happens on the offensive end, Bazemore will be a consistent source of defensive stats. He provides above-average steals (1.3 SPG) and is a sneaky source of out-of-position blocks (0.5 BPG).

93) Patrick Beverley (PG/SG) – If you’re are punting assists, and haven’t yet filled your point guard spot, Beverley should be near the top of your late-round wish list. James Harden is the Rockets’ de facto point guard and most of Beverley’s value comes from his ability to hit from deep (1.7 3PG) and his defensive prowess (1.3 SPG, 0.4 BPG). He doesn’t look to score (9.9 PPG), but that isn’t necessarily a bad thing. His lack of attempts limit the damage that his poor shooting from the floor (43.4 FG%) and line (68.2 FT%) can do. Beverley has been a top-100 player three seasons in a row and has top-75 potential now that Mike D’Antoni is running the show.

94) Jeremy Lin (PG/SG) – Lin has always been a poor per minute player and barely cracked the top-200 on a per minute basis in his lone season in Charlotte. In 2012-2013, his only season as an undisputed starter, Lin was able to provide top-90 per game value thanks to averages of 14.1 PPG and 6.1 APG. Those numbers look achievable, but Lin should not be considered before the seventh or eighth round of your draft due to his efficiency issues (41.2 FG%) and pedestrian supporting stats (1.0 3PG, 0.8 SPG).

95) Steven Adams (C) – Adams was one of the playoff’s biggest breakout stars, but it’s unlikely that a breakout regular season would translate to mid-round value. The quirky big man’s game isn’t particularly fantasy friendly. He struggles from the line (58.2 FT%), is an afterthought on offense (8.0 PPG), provides no dimes (0.8 APG) or swipes (0.5 SPG), and is a decent, but not dominant shot blocker (1.1 BPG). Even if you are punting FT%, Adams is a poor option at his current fifth-round price. Last season, Adams was barely a top-150 per minute player when FT% was ignored.

96) Jusuf Nurkic (C) – If Nurkic can stay healthy, and his improvement from the line proves to be real (85.7 FT% in three preseason games), a top-50 finish is possible. Nurkic has always produced outstanding defensive numbers whenever he’s been on the court (1.6 SP36, 2.9 BP36). He can also provide owners with top-notch popcorn numbers (17.3 PP36, 11.5 RP36) and his FG% should improve now that he has slimmed down (41.7 FG%). He is a better target in 8-category leagues as he has always had problems taking care of the ball (3.6 TOP36).

97) Jared Sullinger (PF/C) – With all the silly deals being thrown at role players this offseason, the Raptors did very well to bring in Sullinger on a $6 million deal. The former Celtic is the heavy favorite to start at the four for the Raptors and should be very motivated as he is only on a one-year deal. Sullinger has apparently lost quite a bit of weight and should see around 30 MPG if his body can hold up. A top-75 finish is very possible. In 2014-2015, Sullinger was a top-50 per minute player thanks to his ability to contribute across the board. The big man is an especially good fit for those punting FG% (43.5%). Expect his FT% to bounce back as last year’s mark of 64.0% was well below his career average of 72.7%.

98) Luol Deng (SF/PF) – Deng is probably going to have a very good year for the Lakers. He was a top-80 player in his final year with the Heat and averaged a useful 12.3 PPG, 1.2 3PG, 6.0 RPG, and 1.0 SPG. He’s one of the few veterans on the roster and has been brought in to start. The problem is that we don’t know what is going to happen to Deng’s minutes when the Lakers are 15 games out of the playoffs and the fantasy playoffs are about to begin. Last season, the Lakers aggressively rested their veterans. Lou Williams was arguably the Lakers’ best player in 2015-2016 and was racking up DNP-CDs down the stretch. It’s very easy to picture Deng succumbing to the same fate in 2016-2017.

99) Markieff Morris (PF/C) – So far, the Wizards’ trade deadline acquisition of Morris has been a flop. The Wizards failed to make the playoffs despite giving up what turned out to be a lottery pick for Markieff. Despite the slow start to his career in Washington, he remains an intriguing fantasy option due to his past success and his ability to produce across-the-board. Markieff was a top-70 player in 2014-2015 and averaged a very impressive 15.3 PPG, 0.7 3PG, 6.2 RPG, 1.2 SPG, and 0.5 BPG. Those aren’t realistic numbers given that his role in Washington is smaller than what it was in Phoenix, but Morris does have more upside than most players in this range. He was a top-120 player during his time in Washington and should be able to crack the top-100 now that he is more familiar with his teammates and the Wizards’ system.

100) J.R. Smith (SG/SF)  – The gunner still hasn’t re-signed with the Cavaliers, but there are no indications that J.R. will be playing anywhere else when the season starts. Smith has finished within the top-100 six years in a row and it’s very likely that he makes it seven. Smith has a very high floor due to his elite threes (2.6 3PG). I always target Smith aggressively when punting FT% as his threes, steals (1.1 SPG), and scoring upside (12.4 PPG) tend to fit very well with a team that is usually heavy on bigs and point guards at this point in the draft. Targeting J.R. also makes it easier to draft turnover-prone players such as John Wall and Eric Bledsoe earlier in the draft (0.8 TOPG).

101) Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (SG) – Coach Van Gundy trusts KCP more than anyone else on the Pistons and it shows in the minutes that the shooting guard plays. Only James Harden, Jimmy Butler, and Kyle Lowry averaged more minutes per game than Caldwell-Pope did last year (36.7 MPG). KCP is a poor per minute player, but his huge role allows him to be a very good source of threes (1.5 3PG) and steals (1.4 SPG). His lack of per minute production limits his upside so don’t target the Piston until the later rounds.

102) Rajon Rondo (PG) – As you may have noticed, I do not have high hopes for the Bulls’ offense this season. It’s hard to fathom that a NBA front office could get together and decide that pairing three ball-dominant players who struggle to play off the ball and can’t shoot was a good idea. Rondo looked like his old self in his lone season in Sacramento, but his new teammates make another top-50 finish extremely unlikely. Wade completely destroyed Goran Dragic’s value in Miami and I expect his presence to have a similar effect on Rondo. Add in Jimmy Butler and it’s very likely that we’ll see a noticeable drop in Rondo’s league-leading assists (11.6 APG). It’s also likely that we’ll see a drop in his FG% (45.4 FG%) as teams will pack the paint against the Bulls and dare the guards to beat them from the perimeter. As always, Rondo will be one of the league’s best sources of assists and steals (2.0 SPG) and contribute little elsewhere.

103) Al-Farouq Aminu (SF/PF) – Aminu’s line ended up looking much different than most predicted in his first season in Portland. Aminu suddenly became an excellent source of threes (1.5 3PG), but failed to produce the defensive stats (0.9 SPG, 0.6 BPG) that fueled his breakout season in Dallas. The versatile swingman did get better as the year went on. Aminu was a top-50 player over the last month of the season and averaged 12.6 PPG, 2.2 3PG, 6.4 RPG, 1.0 SPG, and 0.8 BPG over that span. His struggles with efficiency, and his counting stat upside, make him a strong fit for both the punt FG% (41.6 FG%) build and the punt FT% (73.7 FT%) build.

104) Cody Zeller (PF/C) – The Hornets’ starting center provides owners with a clean line that has been short on counting stats in the past. That could change this year. Zeller should see his minutes rise (24.3 MPG) and in turn, his rebounding (6.2 RPG), steals (0.8 SPG), and blocks (0.9 BPG). Bump those numbers up slightly and you have an excellent late-round target for the punt points build (12.9 PPG). Zeller is one of the few big men available late in the draft who is a positive both from the floor (52.9 FG%) and at the line (75.4 FT%).

105) Kyle Korver (SG/SF) – I’m not ready to give up on Korver because it’s unclear if his disastrous 2015-2016 season was due to his slow recovery from ankle and elbow injuries or due to his advanced age. We’ll find out soon. Before Korver’s top-125 2015-2016 finish, the sharpshooter had posted three consecutive seasons of top-40 production. That type of potential isn’t common in the late-rounds and it makes Korver one of the best late-round targets for any build. He’s best matched with the punt points build due to his low scoring (9.2 PPG) and usually stellar percentages (48.7 FG%, 89.8 FT% in 2014-2015).

106) Rodney Hood (SG/SF) – Playing beside a NBA-level point guard should help Hood improve on his already stellar points (14.5 PPG) and triples (2.0 3PG) numbers. George Hill’s presence should help boost Hood’s below-average efficiency (42.0 FG%) as well. His ceiling is somewhat limited due to the lack of variety in his line (3.4 RPG, 2.7 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.2 BPG), but the Jazz’s sharpshooter still has top-80 potential.

107) Bradley Beal (SG) – The Wizards decided to give Beal the max this summer even though the shooting guard has played in an average of 59 games over the past two season and has said that he may have to be on a minutes limit for the rest of his career. I’m sure this will end well. Beal continues to be one of fantasy’s most overrated players. The injury prone guard has never finished better than 82nd-overall and was barely a top-100 player in the 55 games that he played in last season. Mediocre per game production and a habit of missing huge chunks of the season is never a good combination. When Beal is on the floor, expect above-average scoring (17.4 PPG) and threes (1.9 3PG) and not much else. The shooting guard provides little on the defensive end (1.0 SPG, 0.2 BPG) and scores on below-average efficiency (44.9 FG%, 76.7 FT%). Beal isn’t someone you target in drafts. He’s someone you scoop up at a discount after he falls.

108) Harrison Barnes (SF/PF) – Usually, I get excited when a role player is stepping into a much larger role, but that’s not the case with Barnes. In Golden State, he struggled to create his own shot and his efficiency was fairly pedestrian despite having nearly zero defensive attention paid to him. Here are his per 36 numbers and as well as the per 36 numbers of a mystery player:

Barnes: 13.6 PP36, 1.4 3P36, 5.7 RP36, 2.1 AP36, 0.7 SP36, 0.2 BP36, 46.6 FG%, 76.1 FT%, 1.0 TOP36

Player 2: 13.8 PP36, 1.4 3P36, 4.1 RP36, 2.2 AP36, 0.4 SP36, 0.2 BP36, 44.3 FG%, 84.0 FT%, 1.2 TOP36

Pretty similar numbers. Unfortunately, player 2 is Arron Afflalo. Barnes just isn’t very good. Expect his points to rise as he’ll be taking on a larger role in the offense, but I’m not sure that we’ll see more than minimal improvement in any other category. To make matters worse, his FG% is likely to dip due to the increase in volume and his turnover rate will likely spike now that he’ll be asked to create his own offense more often. Barnes, despite the incoming usage bump, is not a lock to be a top-100 player this season.

109) Elfrid Payton (PG) – The Orlando point guard is a mixed bag. He doesn’t score (10.7 PPG), doesn’t hit threes (0.4 3PG), and will drag down your FG% (43.6 FG%). However, assists are almost impossible to find at this point in the draft and Payton should be a very good source of them (6.4 APG) now that Victor Oladipo is in Oklahoma City. Payton was a top-100 player down the stretch of the 2014-2015 season and could approach those numbers now that he’ll have the ball in his hands more often.

110) Zach Randolph (PF/C) – The big man is coming to the end of road, but should have enough gas left in the tank to provide owners with at least one more useful fantasy season. Zach was a top-100 player last year and as usual, most of his value came from his scoring (15.3 PPG) and rebounding (7.8 RPG). He is a solid fit for the punt blocks build (0.2 BPG) due to his rebounding and his ability to score at a reasonably efficient clip (47.5 FG%, 79.6 FT%).

111) Brandon Knight (PG/SG) – The combo guard was a top-75 per game player last season, but the emergence of Devin Booker and the return of Eric Bledsoe, destroys any chance of a repeat performance. Knight has always been a poor per minute player and that top-75 finish was only made possible by an unsustainable 36.0 MPG average. Expect two threes per night, a handful of assists, and around 16 PPG from Knight this season.

112) Jrue Holiday (PG) – If you play in a league that has an IR spot, Jrue is a reasonable pick starting in about the eighth or ninth round. If you don’t, then he’s best treated as a late-round flier. The point guard is out for an indefinite period of time to start the season due to his wife falling ill. His return date is very much up in the air and it’s possible that he misses half the season. When he does return, it’s likely that Holiday provides at least top-65 value. Jrue has been a top-65 per game player three years in a row and is coming off a season in which he averaged 16.8 PPG, 1.3 3PG, 6.0 APG, and 1.4 SPG.

113) Eric Gordon (SG)  Gordon will come off the bench for Rockets and will, once again, be a trap for managers who failed to do their homework. The shooting guard is a good fit for D’Antoni’s offense and is a solid bet to break 2.0 3PM and be a top-90 per game player. Unfortunately, his per game numbers don’t really matter. Gordon hasn’t played in more than 64 games in any season since 2008-2009.

114) Devin Booker (SG) – Booker’s late-season breakout didn’t translate to more than late-round fantasy value. Despite playing 35.3 MPG over the last three months of the season, the rookie was only a top-175 option over that time frame. Over those three months, Booker posted some impressive popcorn stats (18.5 PPG, 1.7 3PG) that were more than offset by his inability to contribute anything on the defensive end (0.6 SPG, 0.4 BPG) and his poor shooting from the floor (40.3 FG%). The nature of Booker’s line, and the return of Eric Bledsoe and Brandon Knight, make it unlikely that the sophomore becomes more than a top-100 player. He will be most effective in points leagues where his shortcomings aren’t nearly as detrimental.

115) Deron Williams (PG) – Williams’ days as an early-round, albeit overrated, fantasy option are long gone. The Maverick’s game is deteriorating quickly and Williams is now no more than a late-round option for those desperate for assists. Deron barely posted top-100 per game numbers last season and has played in an average of 66 games over the past three seasons. Williams only provides above-average production in dimes (5.8 APG), from deep (1.5 3PG), and from the line (86.9 FT% on 3.2 FTA). The injury-prone point guard will drag down your boards (2.9 RPG), steals (0.9 SPG), and FG% (41.4 FG%).

116) Mason Plumlee (PF/C) – The Blazers’ big man would be an excellent fantasy weapon if he could ever manage to consistently see 30 MPG. Despite a breakout playoff performance, it appears unlikely that Plumlee will see more than a modest bump in minutes this season (25.4 MPG). Ed Davis remains on the roster and the Blazers’ signed former Warrior Festus Ezeli in free agency. Plumlee’s upside is limited by his teammates, but his well-rounded line makes him one of the best late-round targets for those punting FT% (64.2 FT% on 4.1 FTA). Mason is an above-average source of assists from the center position (2.4 APG) and offers very useful big man numbers (7.7 RPG, 1.0 BPG, 51.6 FG%).

117) Tyreke Evans (PG/SG) – Evans is not expected to be ready for the start of the season, which makes him a very risk pick for those playing in leagues without an IR spot. When he does return, he should have a significant role and post close to top-80 numbers. Expect extremely strong counting stats from Tyreke (15.2 PPG, 1.3 3PG, 5.2 RPG, 6.6. APG, 1.3 SPG) and to go along with disappointing efficiency numbers (43.5 FG%, 79.6 FT%, 2.9 TOPG). Tyreke is someone I would look to move near the trade deadline. The Pelicans are likely to be well out of the playoff race by the time the fantasy playoffs roll around and Tyreke, and his bad knees, will be a shutdown candidate.

118) Terrence Jones (SF/PF) – Jones gets a shot at redemption as he joins a Pelicans frontline that is incredibly thin behind injury-prone superstar Anthony Davis. Jones was one of the worst players in the league last season, but has almost always delivered the goods when given extended minutes. That should happen in New Orleans and that makes Jones a no-brainer late-round pick. Jones burnt a lot of owners last season, but like Nikola Mirotic, his upside cannot be ignored. The big man was a top-70 player in 2014-2015 and averaged 11.7 PPG on 52.8 FG%, 0.4 3PG, 6.7 RPG, and 1.8 BPG. Give him another chance.

119) Andrew Bogut (C) – Bogut is an outstanding per minute player and is an excellent fit beside Dirk Nowitzki. The Aussie will likely finish within the top-100, but won’t have more than low-end value in H2H leagues due to his low minutes and low ceiling. Bogut is a nice late-round option for those punting points (5.4 PPG). The center is a very good source of traditional big man stats (7.0 RPG, 1.6 BPG, 62.7 FG%) and doesn’t get to the line enough for his free-throw shooting woes to matter (48.0 FT% on 0.7 FTA). As always, Bogut will be a lock to miss 12-15 games.

120) Ben Simmons (SF/PF) – It’s hard to make any predictions about the Sixers’ rotation while both Nerlens Noel and Jahlil Okafor remain on the roster. One of the two will likely be gone by opening night, with Noel being the big man most likely to be moved. Regardless of who is on the roster on opening night, expect Simmons to be the focal point of the Sixers’ offense. The first-overall pick is an excellent passer for a big man, and the Sixers’ signing of combo guard Jerryd Bayless to start at point sends a strong message that the offense will be run through the rookie. Simmons’ popcorn stats are likely to be very good. In his only year at LSU, the big man averaged an impressive 19.2 PPG, 11.8 RPG, 4.8 APG, 2.0 SPG, and 0.8 BPG. The issue with Simmons, as it is with most rookies, is his efficiency. He shot efficiently from the field in college (56.0 FG%), but with the Sixers lacking scoring threats who can take away defensive attention, the rookie’s FG% will likely be mediocre. Simmons’ free-throw shooting is a much bigger issue. At LSU, the newest Sixer shot 67.0% from the line. That’s not terrible, but what is worrisome is the volume that is likely to accompany the mediocre shooting. Simmons got to the line 9.0 times a night in his freshman year and his ability to draw fouls all but guarantees that he’ll be a serious drag on FT% in his rookie campaign. Simmons is worth a mid-round pick and those punting FT% should aggressively target the rookie. He is an excellent fit for the build, not only due to his poor free-throw shooting, but also due to his outstanding out-of-position dimes and steals, two categories that you’ll be aiming to win consistently when punting FT%.

121) Dwyane Wade (PG/SG) – Stay far away from Wade at his current seventh-round price. The Heat legend barely cracked the top-100 last season despite sporting a top-5 usage rate. Now that he is playing beside Rajon Rondo and Jimmy Butler, his scoring (19.0 PPG), and other counting stats, are a lock to decrease. Wade is no longer a difference-maker on the defensive end (1.1 SPG, 0.6 BPG), and it does not appear that a Jason Kidd-like, late-career shooting renaissance is on its way (0.2 3PG). Wade is a great bet to be one of fantasy’s most overdrafted players.

122) Jahlil Okafor (C) – Okafor, like teammate Nerlens Noel, is an extremely hard player to rank as long as both remain on the Sixers’ roster. Owners targeting Okafor should hope that he is moved before the season begins. It’s extremely unlikely that the former Blue Devil and Joel Embiid can play extended minutes beside each other. That means that a drop in playing time (30.0 MPG) is very possible. From a fantasy perspective, Okafor’s rookie season played out as expected. He produced strong numbers in the traditional big man categories (7.0 RPG, 1.2 BPG, 50.8 FG%) and in the scoring column (17.5 PPG), but failed to make an impact elsewhere. The uncertainty surrounding Okafor’s situation, as well as his FT% (68.6 FT%), lack of assists (1.2 APG), lack of steals (0.4 SPG), and above-average turnover rate (2.3 TOPG), make a breakout sophomore campaign unlikely.

123) Marcus Smart (PG) – Smart is a difficult player to target outside of the punt FG% (34.8 FG%) build. Smart only shot 8.7 times per night in 2015-2016, but still managed to have the third largest negative impact on the category, trailing only Emmanuel Mudiay and the corpse of Kobe Bryant. Even in the punt FG% build, he is only a decent late-round target. Without FG%, Smart was a top-90 player in 2015-2016. A top-70 finish in that build is possible this season, just don’t expect much production outside of threes (1.0 3PG), assists (3.0 APG), and steals (1.5 SPG).

124) Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (SF) – MKG has turned himself into an excellent player, but his improvement hasn’t translated to fantasy value. Kidd-Gilchrist missed all but seven games of the 2015-2016 schedule so it’s unclear if he has made any progress with his three-ball. In 2014-2015, the defensive stalwart was only a top-160 player due to his inability to hit from deep (0.0 3PG) and his surprising lack of steals (0.5 SPG). Those weakness makes MKG no more than a late-round options from those searching for above-average boards (7.6 RPG) and blocks (0.7 BPG) from the small forward position.

125) Tim Frazier (PG) – Jrue Holiday is expected to miss a large chunk of the regular season which makes Frazier a great bet to be this season’s Mo Williams. Mo was able to provide borderline top-50 numbers while Kyrie Irving recovered his knee injury, and while Frazier won’t quite reach those heights, top-100 production that comes with plenty of dimes is very possible. Over the final month of the 2015-2016 season, a month in which Holiday only played in 5 games, Frazier was a top-90 option and averaged a very useful 7.5 APG and 1.4 SPG. You could do worse with your last pick in the draft.

126) Buddy Hield (SG) – Next to Ben Simmons, Hield is arguably the most NBA-ready prospect in this year’s draft class and should be worth a look late. While I normally stay far away from rookie wings on draft night, Hield’s three-point prowess is hard to ignore. Buddy averaged an incredible 4.0 3PG on 45.7 3P% during his senior season at Oklahoma and his three-point shooting should allow him to hold late-round value. His landing spot could not have been better. Eric Gordon is in Houston and his departure leaves Buddy with as many minutes as he can handle. He’s a better target in points leagues than he is in category leagues as the majority of his value will come from his threes and scoring (25.0 PPG). Hield doesn’t project to be much of a creator (2.0 APG) or a force on the defensive end (1.1 SPG, 0.5 BPG).

127) Joakim Noah (PF/C) – Noah is worth a late-round flier on the off chance that the move to New York revitalizes his career, but it’s hard to get too excited about the former All-Star given how terrible he has looked the past two years. Noah’s game, and body, has fallen off a cliff. The former All-Star somehow managed to only shoot 38.3% from the field in 2015-2016. That is a spectacularly awful number, especially when you consider that 74% of Noah’s shots were within three feet of the basket. He should still be a decent source of boards (8.8 RPG) and out-of-position dimes (3.8 APG) and is best deployed in the punt points build (4.3 PPG).

128) Timofey Mozgov (C) – The Lakers’ signing of Mozgov was one of the more puzzling signings of the offseason. The veteran looked like a shell of his former self in 2015-2016 and is joining a rebuilding team. It was an ugly signing for the Lakers, but it does make Mozgov a viable late-round pick. The Lakers’ backup center is Tarick Black, so it goes without saying that the big Russian should see major minutes, possibly upwards of 28 MPG. Mozgov’s game is somewhat fantasy friendly as the big man is respectable from the line (71.6 FT%), a decent rim protector (1.6 BP36), and makes the most of his scoring opportunities (56.5 FG%).

129) Willie Cauley-Stein (PF/C) – The sophomore could post some very useful big man numbers in 2016-2017 if new coach Dave Joerger allows it. Joerger is still undecided on whether Cauley-Stein will start for the Kings this coming season and has spent the summer talking up his teams’ depth at power forward. WCS doesn’t need many minutes to be roster-worthy though. Over the last three months of his rookie season, the big man was a top-110 option in standard leagues despite only playing 23.5 MPG. Even if he only sees a slight increase in minutes, Cauley-Stein should be a very good source of boards (9.0 RP36), defensive stats (1.2 SP36, 1.7 BP36), and FG% impact (56.3 FG%).

130) Kenneth Faried (PF/C) – Faried’s development has stalled and it has caused the Nuggets to begin to look elsewhere for their long-term solution at the four. His fantasy value has also hit an impasse as the power forward can’t seem to become anything more than a top-100 player. Faried’s upside is limited, but the Nugget is also extremely consistent. In his five year career, Faried has never finished worse than 92nd-overall and never better than 81st-overall. Expect close to a double-double (12.6 PPG, 8.7 RPG), top notch FG% impact (55.8 FG%), and around a block per night (0.9 BPG) from Faried in 2016-2017.

131) Jerryd Bayless (PG/SG) – The journeyman has always been useful when given extended minutes and should start alongside the Sixers’ young studs. Bayless looks like he’ll be worth a late-round pick, just don’t expect many dimes from the combo guard. Ben Simmons will run the Sixers’ offense and Bayless will be used more as a spot up shooter than as a creator. Bayless has turned himself into a weapon from deep (1.9 3PG) and is a great target late for those punting assists and looking to fill their point guard spot.

132) Josh Richardson (SG/SF) – Richardson had some value as a three-point specialist in his rookie year and posted top-100 value over the last two months of the season. Over that span, he hit a very useful 1.7 3PM and was a sneaky source of out-of-position blocks (0.7 BPG). A top-100 finish is very possible as he should see plenty of minutes at both the two and the three. Richardson is not a lock to be ready for opening night due to a sprained right MCL, so owners interested in the swingman need to be prepared to be down a man for the first week or two of the season.

133) Alex Len (PF/C) – The Suns unleashed Len down the stretch of the 2015-2016 and the results were both horrendous and intriguing. We learned that Len is not ready to be a focal point of an NBA offense. The center was force fed touches and it led to some of the ugliest shooting numbers you will ever see from a big man. Len shot 39.1% over the last two months of the season and due to the volume (12.1 FGA) that accompanied the terrible shooting, was nearly impossible to roster if you weren’t punting FG%. He also struggled to take care of the ball (2.7 TOPG) and Len’s previously excellent block rate (2.5 BP36 in 2014-2015) completely disappeared (1.2 BP36 in 2015-2016). What makes Len intriguing his ability hit the boards (11.7 RP36) and that previously high block rate. It’s unclear if Len or Tyson Chandler will start at center for the Suns, but regardless of where Len starts the game, he should be worthy of a roster spot to owners punting FG%.

134) Wilson Chandler (SG/SF) – Chandler, one of the league’s most injury-prone players, missed the entire 2015-2016 campaign after undergoing hip surgery last November. He returns to a Nuggets team that is suddenly extremely deep on the wing. Chandler should see time at both the three and the four, but the uncertainty surrounding his role, and his inability to stay healthy, leaves Chandler as no more than a late-round flier. If the swingman is able to carve out a 28 MPG role, he could provide top-100 numbers. Chandler was a top-85 player in 2014-2015 and averaged 13.9 PPG, 1.8 3PG, and 6.1 RPG.

135) Kelly Olynyk (C) – Olynyk has mid-round potential, but will, once again, be stuck in the Celtics’ frontcourt platoon. Olynyk will back up both Al Horford and Amir Johnson and likely won’t see much more than 20 MPG. He may also miss some time to start the season due to offseason shoulder surgery. The big man, when given extended run, has the ability to contribute in almost every category. He hits from deep (2.2 3P36), is a strong per minute scorer (17.7 PPG), and can chip in on the defensive end (1.3 SPG, 0.9 BPG). The Celtic is a nice late-round option for those punting blocks or chasing upside.

136) Brandon Ingram (SF) – Ingram, despite his uncertain role and the poor track record of rookie wings, is worth a gamble in the later rounds. Ingram is an elite talent whose game projects to be extremely fantasy friendly. The Blue Devil can do it all and already has an NBA-level jumper (2.2 3PG). He will also, eventually, be one of the best sources of defensive stats from the wing position. At Duke, he averaged a very intriguing 1.1 SPG and 1.4 BPG. His efficiency, which was mediocre in college (44.2 FG%, 68.2 FT%), makes anything more than a top-100 finish in his rookie year unlikely, but he should be useful to those punting either FG% or FT%.

137) Kris Dunn (PG) – Dunn looked like a no-brainer mid-round selection until the Wolves scooped him up with the fifth pick of the draft. The Wolves were rumored to be shopping Ricky Rubio, but now seem content with holding onto the still only 25-year-old point guard. Rubio’s continued presence stops Dunn from a solid, mid-round option and makes the rookie no more than a late-round flier. However, he does have quite a bit of upside as his game is fantasy friendly and he should see minutes in the high twenties right out of the gate. Dunn will likely be an elite source of steals (2.5 SPG) and is a good bet to chip in four or five assists every time he takes the floor. Dunn’s jumper is serviceable, but don’t expect more than one triple per night in his rookie year. Like most rookie lead guards, expect Dunn to have issues with efficiency and to struggle with turnovers (3.5 TOPG).

138) Bismack Biyombo (PF/C) – There’s been some talk of Biyombo starting for the Magic, but I find that hard to believe with Nikola Vucevic still on the roster. Biyombo’s very strong playoff run masked how forgettable his regular season was. Bismack was barely a top-175 per minute player during the regular season and is a huge drag on a team’s FT% (62.8%), assists (0.6 APG), and steals (0.4 SPG). The now extremely wealthy center has more holes in his line than most big men and is a mediocre option at the end of the draft as long as Vucevic remains in a Magic jersey. If Vucevic is moved, I still wouldn’t touch Bismack before the later rounds and only those punting FT% should target him aggressively.

139) Will Barton (SG/SF) – Barton was a worthy contender for the Sixth Man of the Year Award in 2015-2016, but faded badly after a red-hot start to the season. Barton was only a top-150 option over the last three months of the season and the return of Wilson Chandler, and the drafting of Jamal Murray, leaves Barton’s role up in the air. Barton has shown that he can be effective in limited minutes, but it would take an injury or two to allow the swingman to replicate his top-85 2015-2016 finish. Most of Barton’s value comes from his scoring (14.4 PPG) and his ability to hit from deep (1.4 3PG).

140) Taj Gibson (PF/C) – Gibson has badly outplayed Nikola Mirotic this preseason, and while he’s no lock to start, the veteran has earned a significant role for the Bulls. The big man doesn’t need many minutes to be productive. Last season, he was a top-100 player despite only playing 26.5 MPG. Gibson’s contributions are limited to the big man categories (6.9 RPG, 1.1 BPG, 52.5 FG%), but he does have some nice upside this season, especially in the FG% category, now that he’ll be surrounded by so many talented passers.

141) Ish Smith (PG) – Reggie Jackson will likely be out until at least the middle of December and Smith should take full advantage of the starter’s absence. Ish has always been an overrated fantasy asset, but is now surrounded by much more talent than when he was in Philadelphia. Last season, after the trade to the Sixers, Ish averaged 14.7 PPG, 0.9 3PG, 7.0 APG, and 1.3 SPG. Those are some very useful counting numbers and his new teammates should help boost his awful FG% (40.5 FG%). Expect Smith to continue to struggle at the line (66.9 FT%) and to turn over the ball at a steady clip (2.6 TOPG).

142) Tyson Chandler (C) – Chandler is stuck in a timeshare on a team that wishes they could move his bloated contract. The big man doesn’t fit well with the Suns’ youth movement and will likely be a candidate for late-season rest if he remains on the Suns’ roster. Chandler’s contributions will come primarily on the boards (8.7 RPG) and from the floor (58.3 FG%). Don’t expect more than a block a game, at best (0.7 BPG), from the 33-year-old veteran.

143) Tyler Johnson (PG/SG) – Johnson was an intriguing late-round pick before the Josh Richardson injury. Now that Richardson is unlikely to be ready for the start of the season, Johnson is firmly in the standard league conversation. Johnson is hard to get a read on as an injury limited his sophomore campaign. However, the Heat paid the third-year player too much to just sit on the bench. He should see minutes at both guard spots and has shown the ability to score efficiently (48.8%) and create a little bit (3.3 AP36). Don’t expect more than average numbers from deep (1.1 3P36) and on the defensive end (1.0 SP36).

144) Julius Randle (PF) – Randle failed to impress in what was essentially the power forward’s rookie season. The only category the Laker only provided above-average production in was rebounds (10.2 RPG). Those impressive boards were easy to ignore as Randle dragged down his owner’s defensive stats (0.7 SPG, 0.4 BPG) and percentages (42.9 FG%, 71.5 FT%). The Lakers now having a proper head coach does give me some hope that Randle will be worthy of a roster spot. The Lakers’ offense is likely to run much smoother now that Luke Walton is behind the bench and Kobe Bryant is on the couch. Expect Randle’s FG% to improve, but as long as he continues to contribute nothing on the defensive end, his ceiling remains outside of the top-100.

145) Emmanuel Mudiay (PG) – Mudiay had a historically terrible rookie year and didn’t come close to being worth a standard league roster spot. The point guard failed to produce top-300 value in 9-category leagues due to the numerous holes in his line. Mudiay was the least efficient player in the league (36.4 FG%, 67.0 FT%), was a turnover machine, and was a below-average source of points (12.8 PPG). I rank Mudiay here because of his counting stat upside. Mudiay has the ability to contribute across the board, especially in assists (5.5 APG) and on the defensive end (1.0 SPG, 0.5 BPG). If you do choose to gamble on Mudiay late, make sure you are punting at least one of the percentages.

146) Joel Embiid (C) – Expect big things from Embiid, at least on a per minute basis. It’s easy to forget that Embiid was once seen as one of the best prospects of the past decade before a back injury caused him to slip in the draft and multiple foot injuries cost him the first two years of his rookie contract. His injury history makes it unlikely that the Sixers fully unleash Embiid and the extremely talented big man may not play in back-to-back sets to start the season. His minutes will likely be limited all year, but even in something like 22 MPG, the center should be a useful source of boards, blocks, and FG%.

147) Matt Barnes (SG/SF) – Barnes is an interesting late-round target as the 36-year-old played under the Kings’ new coach Dave Joerger in Memphis and has finished within, or close to, the top-100 four years in a row. Barnes is a threat from deep (1.6 3PG) and is an very good rebounder from the wing (5.5 RPG). Expect Barnes’ efficiency (38.1 FG%) to improve now that he is surrounded by more offensively talented teammates. If Rudy Gay is moved, grabbing Barnes late will likely result in a profit.

148) Justise Winslow (SF/PF) – Winslow is extremely raw on the offensive end, but will see enough minutes for the depleted Heat to be fantasy relevant. Right now, Winslow’s game is not fantasy friendly. He has yet to show a consistent three-ball (0.5 3P36) and hasn’t figured out how to score (8.1 PP36). Both those numbers should rise in his sophomore campaign, but the swingman will also be held back by his poor percentages (42.3 FG%, 68.4 FT%). Winslow should see plenty of time at the four this season and will be one of the league’s better rebounding wings (6.5 RP36). He’ll also be a decent source of defensive stats (1.1 SP36, 0.4 BP36).

149) Derrick Rose (PG) – It’s hard to understate how bad Derrick Rose was last year. The Bulls’ offense was absolutely horrendous when Rose was on the court. How bad are we talking? When Rose was on the court, the Bulls had a worse offense than the historically terrible 76ers. Despite that, it wasn’t an awful trade for the Knicks. The former MVP only has one year left on his contract, so the Knicks can just let him walk if he continues his downward spiral. From a fantasy standpoint, Rose is only a final-round flier. Rose couldn’t even crack the top-200 in 2015-2016, provides nothing outside of points (16.4 PPG) and mediocre dimes (4.7 APG), and, as always, will be a good bet to miss large chunks of the season. The Knick will also drag down your FG% (42.7 FG%), steals (0.7 SPG), and threes (0.7 3PG).

150) Mirza Teletovic (SF/PF) – Teletovic is an intriguing option late in the draft, especially now that Khris Middleton is expected to miss six months. The former Sun was a top-50 per minute player in Phoenix and should, at worst, have a large role off the bench given the Bucks’ need for shooting. Teletovic is an excellent three-point specialist (2.3 3PG) and could start for the Bucks now that Middleton is done for the foreseeable future. The sharpshooter was a top-100 player over the last two months of 2015-2016 despite only playing 27.2 MPG.

Next 12

151) Ed Davis

152) Tristan Thompson

153) Lou Williams

154) E’Twaun Moore

155) Seth Curry

156) T.J. Warren

157) Terrence Ross

158) Marquese Chriss 

159) Nemanja Bjelica 

160) Brandon Jennings

161) Ty Lawson

162) Dwight Powell 

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