Small Forwards

1) James Harden (SG/SF) – Harden’s upside is higher than ever now that Mike D’Antoni is in town. D’Antoni is most famous for his time in Phoenix, but he also worked his magic in New York, somehow turning Raymond Felton into an early-round asset before the portly point guard was traded to the Nuggets. Harden is the best building block for those looking to punt FG% (43.9 FG%), but the shooting guard can also force an owner to punt turnovers as well (4.6 TOPG). Harden has his warts, but I have him ranked second for a reason. He is a monster everywhere else (29.0 PPG, 2.9 3PG, 6.1 RPG, 7.5 APG, 1.7 SPG, 0.6 BPG, 86.0 FT% on 10.2 FTA).

2) Kevin Durant (SF/PF) – Durant’s move to Oakland is bad for the league but good for fantasy. The move brings both Curry and Durant down a notch and makes it easier for those picking later in the draft to compete with the Curry and Durant owners. Like Curry, KD will see a dip in shot attempts and, in turn, his scoring (28.2 PPG). He’s also likely to see his assists decrease (5.0 APG) as he’ll be splitting playmaking duties with both Curry and Draymond Green. The incoming drop in dimes makes Durant a strong contender for the punt assists build. The one concern related to Curry and Durant that I do have is that they are strong candidates for rest during the fantasy playoffs. The Warriors’ quest for 73 wins may have cost them a championship and it’s very likely that Coach Kerr plays it safe down the stretch. However, the Warriors do have an above-average playoff schedule so owners shouldn’t worry too much about potential late-season shenanigans when drafting either stud.

3) Kawhi Leonard (SG/SF) – The differences between Roto and H2H are generally overblown. Kawhi is a monster in both formats. Only Steph Curry and Kevin Durant were more valuable than Kawhi last season and with those two stars now on the same team, Leonard has a real shot at finishing atop the fantasy rankings this year. Kawhi possesses the cleanest line in fantasy. The only category that he doesn’t provided above-average production in is assists (2.6 APG). This makes Leonard one of the best options for the punt assist build, but the league’s best defensive player fits well into most strategies thanks to his elite efficiency (50.6 FG%, 87.4 FT%, 1.5 TOPG), elite defensive stats (1.8 SPG, 1.0 BPG), and well-above-average scoring (21.2 PPG) and shooting from deep (1.8 3PG).

4) LeBron James (SF/PF) – The King is no longer a contender for the top spot in fantasy, but is a fine consolation prize for those stuck picking at the end of the first round. James continues to be an excellent fit for the punt FT% build due to his struggles at the line (73.1 FT%) and his outstanding assists (6.7 APG) and FG% (52.0 FG%). When punting FT%, you’ll be aiming to win both categories each week and LeBron is one of the few players who provides elite production in both categories. Paring LeBron with either Hassan Whiteside or DeAndre Jordan and punting FT% is one of my favorite options for those picking late.

5) Paul George (SF/PF) – George’s first full season since his devastating leg injury could not have gone better. George posted top-15 per game numbers, but even more importantly, managed to suit up 81 times during the regular season and play 34.8 MPG. The swingman is another great candidate for the punt FG% build as his poor shooting (41.8 FG%) is his most glaring flaw. George provides strong value almost everywhere else, especially in points (23.1 PPG), threes (2.6 3PG), and steals (1.9 SPG). The addition of Jeff Teague, a more natural point guard than departing George Hill, makes it unlikely that George matches the 4.1 APG that he averaged last season. However, Teague’s presence should help get George’s turnovers under control (3.3 TOPG).

6) Giannis Antetokounmpo (PG/SG/SF) – I’m not sure what to do with the Greek Freak. On one hand, his late-season run absolutely justifies this ranking. Antetokounmpo was a top-15 player over the last two months of the season and averaged an outstanding 18.8 PPG, 8.7 RPG, 7.2 APG, 1.4 SPG, and 1.9 BPG over that period of time. However, the Bucks were well out of playoff contention at that point, Michael Carter-Williams was sidelined with an injury, and Giannis’ time as a point forward didn’t lead to many Bucks wins. Before his switch to point guard, Antetokounmpo was only a top-50 option. He’s a high-risk, high-reward pick and whether or not you think Giannis is worth an early second-round pick comes down to how much you trust Coach Kidd to keep Giannis at point guard all season long.

7) Draymond Green (SF/PF) – I hope you enjoyed Draymond’s stunning 7.4 APG last season, because it’s extremely unlikely that he comes anywhere close to that number in 2016-2017. Kevin Durant finished in the top-10 in usage last season and much of Draymond’s offensively responsibility will shift to Durant. That’s not to say he won’t be an elite source of out-of-position dimes, a talent that makes Green an excellent fit for the punt FT% build, but five assists per night is a more reasonable expectation. The drop in assists should come with a dip in turnovers (3.2 APG), and as always, Draymond is a lock to average well over one three, one steal, and one block per night.

8) Jimmy Butler (SG/SF) – Butler was one of free agency’s biggest losers as the additions of Dwyane Wade and Rajon Rondo all but guarantee that Jimmy won’t repeat last season’s top-15 finish. Wade is one of the most ball-dominant players in the league and Rondo is useless without the ball in his hands. Teams will dare the Bulls to beat them from the perimeter, something that Jimmy is not particularly good at (1.0 3PG on 31.2 3P%). Expect an increase in threes, but a decrease in most of his other counting stats.

9) Klay Thompson (SG/SF) – Klay will likely take the biggest hit of the Warriors’ four all-stars. The sharpshooter derives most of his value from his scoring (22.1 PPG) and his three-point proficiency (3.5 3PG). With Kevin Durant and his massive usage now in Oakland, it’s likely that both his scoring and threes see a small drop. His efficiency keeps his floor high (47.0 FG%, 87.3%), but Klay doesn’t do enough elsewhere (3.8 RPG, 2.1 APG, 0.8 SPG) to compensate for the upcoming drop in shot attempts.

10) Khris Middleton (SG/SF) – The Bucks’ swingman has quietly become one of the league’s best “3-and-D” players. Middleton was top-20 player over the last two months of the seasons and averaged a very useful 1.8 3PG and 1.7 SPG over the course of the year. Think Trevor Ariza with a little more scoring (18.2 PPG) and a lot more efficiency (44.3 FG%, 88.8 FT%). Those numbers fit very well into almost any build.

Note: Middleton has torn his hamstring and is expected to miss 6 months. He is not worth drafting and stashing unless your league has multiple IR slots. 

11) Carmelo Anthony (SF/PF) – The Knicks’ star is now 32 and is starting to show his age. Carmelo’s numbers have declined the past two seasons and the swingman only provided third-round value in 2015-2016. He’s been battling chronic knee pain for the past two years which is not something that is likely to get better with age. Melo is still a very good source of points (21.8 PPG), threes (1.5 3PG), and rebounds (7.7 RPG), but it’s hard to invest a high pick in a player who always seems to be struggling with injuries.

12) Trevor Ariza (SG/SF) – Ariza has turned himself into one of safest mid-round picks by posting top-40 value three years in a row. Over that span he has never averaged less than 2.3 3PM or 1.6 SPG. Ariza has also been an ironman of late and has only missed one game over the past two seasons. With Mike D’Antoni now manning the Rockets sideline, Ariza, like all of teammates, has a higher ceiling than usual this season. The Rockets played at the seventh fastest pace last season and it would surprise no one if they lead the league in that category in 2016-2017.

13) Jae Crowder (SF/PF) – Crowder was another one of 2015-2016’s biggest surprises and posted top-35 numbers that included 1.7 3PG and 1.7 SPG. Crowder was not asked to create much last season so Al Horford’s presence shouldn’t have a major impact on the swingman’s production. Crowder is built in the same mold as Khris Middleton and Trevor Ariza and is best deployed as part of the punt assists build (1.8 APG).

14) Gordon Hayward (SG/SF) – Hayward is a poor man’s Paul George, who provides solid, but not elite, scoring (19.7 PPG), threes (1.8 3PG), and assists (3.7 APG) while shooting poorly from the field (43.3 FG%). The swingman could see a small dip in his scoring due to the return of Alec Burks and George Hill, but Hayward’s floor remains high due to the heavy minutes that he sees (36.2 MPG).

15) Nicolas Batum (SG/SF) – Batum produces one of the league’s most unique lines and his out-of-position assists (5.8 APG) make him an excellent option for those unwilling to pay the premium that comes with most point guards. Batum’s FG% (42.7 FG%) and blocks (0.6 BPG) have been trending down which limits his upside, but the swingman’s appeal comes from his ability to fit into almost any build. His struggles from the field make him a natural fit for the punt FG% build and he’s also a great pick for the punt FT% build due to his dimes.

16) Chandler Parsons (SF/PF) – Parsons received one of this offseason’s most ridiculous deals, but the versatile forward is a very good fit for a team in desperate need of shooting and playmaking. Parsons’ final 2015-2016 ranking of 80th-overall is deceptive as the small forward was actually an early-round asset over the last three months of the season. Over that span, the former Maverick averaged a very impressive 18.1 PPG on 51.3% shooting, 2.5 3PG, 5.7 RPG, and 3.2 APG. That shooting is unsustainable so don’t expect early-round production from Parsons, but a top-45 finish is possible.

17) Rudy Gay (SF/PF) – The Kings have been tossing around the idea of trading Gay and it’s possible that the swingman has played his last game in a Kings’ jersey. Usually, that level of uncertainty would tank a player’s value, but Gay has proven that he has the ability to provide at least mid-round in any situation. Rudy has been a top-60 option in Memphis, Toronto, and Sacramento. Gay is one of the best sources of points (17.2 PPG) available in the middle rounds and also provides above-average production in the defensive categories (1.4 SPG, 0.7 BPG).

18) Danilo Gallinari (SF) – Gallo just can’t stay healthy. The Nugget has missed at least 23 games in three of the past four seasons and his brittleness continues to more than offset his top-50 per game production. What makes Gallinari especially useful when he is on the court, is his FT% impact. The Italian hit 86.8% of the 8.2 free throws that he took each night in 2015-2016. The only players who had a larger positive impact on that category last season were James Harden and Kevin Durant. Gallo also provides very useful scoring numbers (19.5 PPG) and production from deep (1.6 3PG), but is a major drag on owners’ FG% (41.0 FG%).

19) Tobias Harris (SF/PF) – Harris hasn’t quite lived up to the sky-high expectations that came with his 2012-2013 late-season breakout, but the Piston has made himself into a dependable mid-round option. Tobias is an efficient scorer (14.7 PPG on 46.9 FG%), a solid rebounder considering who he is playing beside (6.7 RPG), and is a decent source of threes (1.1 3PG) from the power forward position. The Pistons signed Jon Leuer and drafted Henry Ellenson, but neither is a threat to Harris’ minutes.

20) DeMar DeRozan (SG/SF) – You know what you’re going to get with DeRozan. Lots of points (23.5 PPG) on middling efficiency (44.7 FG%), great numbers at the line (85.0 FT% on 8.4 FTA), and disappointing results from deep (0.6 3PG). Unless DeMar miraculously develops a three-ball, he will remain a high-floor, low-ceiling player. DeMar is a must-grab in the middle rounds for those punting threes.

21) Aaron Gordon (SF/PF) – Serge Ibaka’s arrival and the signing of Bismack Biyombo signals that the Magic are ready to move forward with Aaron Gordon at the three. The Magic don’t really have a go-to option on offense so Gordon’s usage could spike in his third NBA season. Gordon will be on every sleeper list and rightfully so. The high flyer gives you a little bit of everything and has the potential to join the one three/one steal/one block club this season. His only clear weakness is his free-throw shooting (66.8 FT%) which, mercifully, doesn’t come with a high draw rate (3.7 FTA36). Draft Gordon aggressively as you’re likely to have plenty of competition.

22) Thaddeus Young (SF/PF) – The Pacers are planning on picking up the pace and that should keep Thad’s value in the middle rounds as he adjusts to his new teammates. Young has been a top-40 option in three of the past four seasons and currently has little competition for minutes at the four. He produces a unique line and is an excellent fit for the punt blocks build (0.5 BPG) and for anyone in need of elite, out-of-position steals (1.5 SPG). As always, Thad’s FT% will be a mystery. Over the past five seasons, Young has shot as high as 77.1% from the line and as low as 57.4%.

23) Otto Porter (SF) – Porter was one of last season’s most obvious breakout candidates and lived up to hype by producing top-60 numbers in his third year in the league. Porter provides across-the-board production that includes 1.3 3PG, 5.2 RPG, 1.4 SPG, and an impressively low 0.9 TOPG. I don’t like to ignore turnovers in H2H leagues. Usually, the majority of the league does, and even being bad in that category, instead of completely punting the category, can be a huge advantage in the fantasy playoffs.

24) Evan Fournier (SG/SF) – Yahoo must think that Fournier passed away over the summer, because I can’t think of any other reason why they would rank last season’s 68th most valuable player outside of the top-200. Now that Victor Oladipo is in Oklahoma City, Fournier has a real chance to lead the Magic in scoring. The problem with Fournier is that he does almost nothing outside of putting the ball in the basket (15.4 PPG). He doesn’t pass the ball (2.7 APG), doesn’t hit the boards (2.8 RPG), and blocks about as many shots as you and I do (0.0 BPG). His huge role keeps his floor relatively high, but the holes in Fournier’s line limit his ceiling to the middle rounds.

25) Nikola Mirotic (SF/PF) – Mirotic is the biggest winner of the Bulls’ busy offseason. The additions of Dwyane Wade and Rajon Rondo leaves the Bulls woefully short on perimeter shooting and essentially forces Coach Hoiberg to start Mirotic at the four and play him heavy minutes. Mirotic was maddeningly inconsistent in 2015-2016, often flashing his early-round potential for a week, and following that week with two weeks of looking like a cut candidate. Despite the awful stretches that seemed to dominate Mirotic’s season, the big man still managed to provide top-90 value on the year because his game is incredibly fantasy friendly. Mirotic was a top-30 per minute player over the last two months of the season and averaged 14.1 PPG, 2.8 3PG, 4.7 RPG, 0.9 SPG, and 0.8 BPG over that span. He is an excellent fit for the punt FG% build (40.7 FG%) due to his poor shooting and his potential on the defensive end.

26) Marvin Williams (SF/PF) – Like Fournier, Williams is ranked outside of the top-200 on Yahoo. That will likely change by the time the season starts, but for now, owners can enjoy a huge discount on a veteran coming off the best season of his career. Williams finished within the top-50 last season and was even better down the stretch. Over the last three months of the season, Marvin was a top-40 player and averaged 2.1 3PG, 6.3 RPG, and 0.8 BPG and shot 47.9% from the field. Williams is an excellent fit for the punt points build and was a top-30 player in that build in 2015-2016.

27) Robert Covington (SF/PF) – Covington is currently the favorite to start at small forward for what should be an improved 76ers team. Coach Brown played around with Covington’s minutes last season, but despite that, the swingman was still able to finish within the top-70 for the second season in a row. Covington is one of the league’s best sources of threes (2.5 3PG) and steals (1.6 3PG) and is a sneaky source of boards as well (6.3 RPG). Make sure you heavy plenty of FG% anchors on you team if you draft Covington. Only a handful of players had a larger negative impact on FG% than Covington did in 2015-2016 (38.5 FG%).

28) Ben Simmons (SF/PF) – It’s hard to make any predictions about the Sixers’ rotation while both Nerlens Noel and Jahlil Okafor remain on the roster. One of the two will likely be gone by opening night, with Noel being the big man most likely to be moved. Regardless of who is on the roster on opening night, expect Simmons to be the focal point of the Sixers’ offense. The first-overall pick is an excellent passer for a big man, and the Sixers’ signing of combo guard Jerryd Bayless to start at point sends a strong message that the offense will be run through the rookie. Simmons’ popcorn stats are likely to be very good. In his only year at LSU, the big man averaged an impressive 19.2 PPG, 11.8 RPG, 4.8 APG, 2.0 SPG, and 0.8 BPG. The issue with Simmons, as it is with most rookies, is his efficiency. He shot efficiently from the field in college (56.0 FG%), but with the Sixers lacking scoring threats who can take away defensive attention, the rookie’s FG% will likely be mediocre. Simmons’ free-throw shooting is a much bigger issue. At LSU, the newest Sixer shot 67.0% from the line. That’s not terrible, but what is worrisome is the volume that is likely to accompany the mediocre shooting. Simmons got to the line 9.0 times a night in his freshman year and his ability to draw fouls all but guarantees that he’ll be a serious drag on FT% in his rookie campaign. Simmons is worth a mid-round pick and those punting FT% should aggressively target the rookie. He is an excellent fit for the build, not only due to his poor free-throw shooting, but also due to his outstanding out-of-position dimes and steals, two categories that you’ll be aiming to win consistently when punting FT%.

29) Wes Matthews (SG/SF) – Matthews tore his Achilles late in the 2014-2015 season so it was hardly a surprise that his 2015-2016 campaign was his worst in years. Now over a year removed from his injury, the three-point bomber is a solid bet for a bounce back season. Matthews showed signs of improvement as the 2015-2016 season went on. He was a top-85 player over the last month of the season and was able to play 36.7 MPG over that span without his body breaking down. Before his Achilles injury, Wes had managed five straight seasons of top-60 production and that is a fair estimate of his ceiling. Matthews is a lock to provide over two threes per night (2.4 3PG) and should see his FG% rebound. His 2015-2016 mark (38.8 FG%) was, by far, the lowest of his career.

30) J.R. Smith (SG/SF)  – The gunner still hasn’t re-signed with the Cavaliers, but there are no indications that J.R. will be playing anywhere else when the season starts. Smith has finished within the top-100 six years in a row and it’s very likely that he makes it seven. Smith has a very high floor due to his elite threes (2.6 3PG). I always target Smith aggressively when punting FT% as his threes, steals (1.1 SPG), and scoring upside (12.4 PPG) tend to fit very well with a team that is usually heavy on bigs and point guards at this point in the draft. Targeting J.R. also makes it easier to draft turnover-prone players such as John Wall and Eric Bledsoe earlier in the draft (0.8 TOPG).

31) DeMarre Carroll (SF/PF) – Carroll’s first year with the Raptors was ruined by a knee injury that hindered his play all the way through to the Eastern Conference Finals. The swingman should be fully healthy when the season starts and will continue to have a massive role for Dwane Casey’s squad. The Raptors don’t move the ball like the Hawks do, so don’t expect a top-50 finish from Carroll, but he should be able to produce at least top-90 numbers if he can stay healthy. He is a “3-and-D” specialist (1.8 3PG, 1.7 SPG) who best fits into the punt points (11.0 PPG) and punt assist (1.0 APG) builds.

32) Danny Green (SG/SF) – The normally reliable sharpshooter was a disaster in 2015-2016, managing to only make 1.5 3PM and only hit 37.6% of his shot attempts. It can’t get any worse. Green’s role, a role that allowed him to post top-25 value in 2014-2015, remains unchanged, which makes him one of the best late-round options available. The end of the draft is all about chasing upside and few players currently available in the final rounds has as much as Green. The Spur is an outstanding fit for the punt points build and is always an excellent source of out-of-position blocks (0.8 BPG).

33) Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (SG/SF) – Expect big things on the defensive end from one of the few fantasy-relevant players on the Nets. Hollis-Jefferson’s rookie year was ruined by an ankle injury, but in the 29 games that he did manage to suit up for, the former Wildcat showed that he has early-round potential. You won’t find a better source of defensive stats late in the draft. Hollis-Jefferson posted some monster per minute defensive numbers in his rookie year (2.3 SP36, 0.9 BPG) and should see close to 30 MPG for the depleted Nets. He will also be an excellent source of out-of-position boards (9.0 RPG). If you’re punting points, target him very aggressively (9.8 PP36). He has top-30 potential in that build.

34) Jabari Parker (SF/PF) – The former second-overall pick has completely recovered from his rookie season ACL tear and should improve on his 2015-2016 top-115 finish. Parker got stronger as the year went on and managed to average 18.9 PPG, 6.1 RPG, and 1.1 SPG over the last two months of the season. Jabari’s inability to hit from the outside limits his upside (0.1 3PG), but the Buck is one of the few players available after the early rounds who can produce gaudy scoring numbers while having a positive impact on your FG%.

35) Andrew Wiggins (SG/SF) – Wiggins’ game just doesn’t translate to fantasy value. The only category that Wiggins provided above-average production in last season was points (20.7 PPG). He doesn’t hit the boards (3.6 RPG), doesn’t pass 2.0 (APG), and gets most of his points inside of the arc (0.7 SPG). Despite playing 35.1 MPG last season, Wiggins only managed to be a top-115 player. Karl-Anthony Towns and Zach LaVine should have larger roles this season so it’s unlikely that we see a Wiggins take a major leap. He’s a solid points league option, but is best left alone in category leagues at his current mid-round price.

36) Kent Bazemore (SG/SF) – After an extremely strong start to the 2015-2016 campaign, Bazemore faded badly down the stretch, and was only a top-150 option over the last three months of the season. Despite the late-season struggles, Bazemore remains a solid target at the end of the middle rounds due to his upside and the likelihood that he is handed a larger role in the offense now that Al Horford is in Boston. Regardless of what happens on the offensive end, Bazemore will be a consistent source of defensive stats. He provides above-average steals (1.3 SPG) and is a sneaky source of out-of-position blocks (0.5 BPG).

37) Luol Deng (SF/PF) – Deng is probably going to have a very good year for the Lakers. He was a top-80 player in his final year with the Heat and averaged a useful 12.3 PPG, 1.2 3PG, 6.0 RPG, and 1.0 SPG. He’s one of the few veterans on the roster and has been brought in to start. The problem is that we don’t know what is going to happen to Deng’s minutes when the Lakers are 15 games out of the playoffs and the fantasy playoffs are about to begin. Last season, the Lakers aggressively rested their veterans. Lou Williams was arguably the Lakers’ best player in 2015-2016 and was racking up DNP-CDs down the stretch. It’s very easy to picture Deng succumbing to the same fate in 2016-2017.

38) Al-Farouq Aminu (SF/PF) – Aminu’s line ended up looking much different than most predicted in his first season in Portland. Aminu suddenly became an excellent source of threes (1.5 3PG), but failed to produce the defensive stats (0.9 SPG, 0.6 BPG) that fueled his breakout season in Dallas. The versatile swingman did get better as the year went on. Aminu was a top-50 player over the last month of the season and averaged 12.6 PPG, 2.2 3PG, 6.4 RPG, 1.0 SPG, and 0.8 BPG over that span. His struggles with efficiency, and his counting stat upside, make him a strong fit for both the punt FG% (41.6 FG%) build and the punt FT% (73.7 FT%) build.

39) Kyle Korver (SG/SF) – I’m not ready to give up on Korver because it’s unclear if his disastrous 2015-2016 season was due to his slow recovery from ankle and elbow injuries or due to his advanced age. We’ll find out soon. Before Korver’s top-125 2015-2016 finish, the sharpshooter had posted three consecutive seasons of top-40 production. That type of potential isn’t common in the late-rounds and it makes Korver one of the best late-round targets for any build. He’s best matched with the punt points build due to his low scoring (9.2 PPG) and usually stellar percentages (48.7 FG%, 89.8 FT% in 2014-2015).

40) Rodney Hood (SG/SF) – Playing beside a NBA-level point guard should help Hood improve on his already stellar points (14.5 PPG) and triples (2.0 3PG) numbers. George Hill’s presence should help boost Hood’s below-average efficiency (42.0 FG%) as well. His ceiling is somewhat limited due to the lack of variety in his line (3.4 RPG, 2.7 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.2 BPG), but the Jazz’s sharpshooter still has top-80 potential.

41) Harrison Barnes (SF/PF) – Usually, I get excited when a role player is stepping into a much larger role, but that’s not the case with Barnes. In Golden State, he struggled to create his own shot and his efficiency was fairly pedestrian despite having nearly zero defensive attention paid to him. Here are his per 36 numbers and as well as the per 36 numbers of a mystery player:

Barnes: 13.6 PP36, 1.4 3P36, 5.7 RP36, 2.1 AP36, 0.7 SP36, 0.2 BP36, 46.6 FG%, 76.1 FT%, 1.0 TOP36

Player 2: 13.8 PP36, 1.4 3P36, 4.1 RP36, 2.2 AP36, 0.4 SP36, 0.2 BP36, 44.3 FG%, 84.0 FT%, 1.2 TOP36

Pretty similar numbers. Unfortunately, player 2 is Arron Afflalo. Barnes just isn’t very good. Expect his points to rise as he’ll be taking on a larger role in the offense, but I’m not sure that we’ll see more than minimal improvement in any other category. To make matters worse, his FG% is likely to dip due to the increase in volume and his turnover rate will likely spike now that he’ll be asked to create his own offense more often. Barnes, despite the incoming usage bump, is not a lock to be a top-100 player this season.

42) Terrence Jones (SF/PF) – Jones gets a shot at redemption as he joins a Pelicans frontline that is incredibly thin behind injury-prone superstar Anthony Davis. Jones was one of the worst players in the league last season, but has almost always delivered the goods when given extended minutes. That should happen in New Orleans and that makes Jones a no-brainer late-round pick. Jones burnt a lot of owners last season, but like Nikola Mirotic, his upside cannot be ignored. The big man was a top-70 player in 2014-2015 and averaged 11.7 PPG on 52.8 FG%, 0.4 3PG, 6.7 RPG, and 1.8 BPG. Give him another chance.

43) Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (SF) – MKG has turned himself into an excellent player, but his improvement hasn’t translated to fantasy value. Kidd-Gilchrist missed all but seven games of the 2015-2016 schedule so it’s unclear if he has made any progress with his three-ball. In 2014-2015, the defensive stalwart was only a top-160 player due to his inability to hit from deep (0.0 3PG) and his surprising lack of steals (0.5 SPG). Those weakness makes MKG no more than a late-round options from those searching for above-average boards (7.6 RPG) and blocks (0.7 BPG) from the small forward position.

44) Josh Richardson (SG/SF) – Richardson had some value as a three-point specialist in his rookie year and posted top-100 value over the last two months of the season. Over that span, he hit a very useful 1.7 3PM and was a sneaky source of out-of-position blocks (0.7 BPG). A top-100 finish is very possible as he should see plenty of minutes at both the two and the three. Richardson is not a lock to be ready for opening night due to a sprained right MCL, so owners interested in the swingman need to be prepared to be down a man for the first week or two of the season.

45) Wilson Chandler (SG/SF) – Chandler, one of the league’s most injury-prone players, missed the entire 2015-2016 campaign after undergoing hip surgery last November. He returns to a Nuggets team that is suddenly extremely deep on the wing. Chandler should see time at both the three and the four, but the uncertainty surrounding his role, and his inability to stay healthy, leaves Chandler as no more than a late-round flier. If the swingman is able to carve out a 28 MPG role, he could provide top-100 numbers. Chandler was a top-85 player in 2014-2015 and averaged 13.9 PPG, 1.8 3PG, and 6.1 RPG.

46) Brandon Ingram (SF) – Ingram, despite his uncertain role and the poor track record of rookie wings, is worth a gamble in the later rounds. Ingram is an elite talent whose game projects to be extremely fantasy friendly. The Blue Devil can do it all and already has an NBA-level jumper (2.2 3PG). He will also, eventually, be one of the best sources of defensive stats from the wing position. At Duke, he averaged a very intriguing 1.1 SPG and 1.4 BPG. His efficiency, which was mediocre in college (44.2 FG%, 68.2 FT%), makes anything more than a top-100 finish in his rookie year unlikely, but he should be useful to those punting either FG% or FT%.

47) Will Barton (SG/SF) – Barton was a worthy contender for the Sixth Man of the Year Award in 2015-2016, but faded badly after a red-hot start to the season. Barton was only a top-150 option over the last three months of the season and the return of Wilson Chandler, and the drafting of Jamal Murray, leaves Barton’s role up in the air. Barton has shown that he can be effective in limited minutes, but it would take an injury or two to allow the swingman to replicate his top-85 2015-2016 finish. Most of Barton’s value comes from his scoring (14.4 PPG) and his ability to hit from deep (1.4 3PG).

48) Matt Barnes (SG/SF) – Barnes is an interesting late-round target as the 36-year-old played under the Kings’ new coach Dave Joerger in Memphis and has finished within, or close to, the top-100 four years in a row. Barnes is a threat from deep (1.6 3PG) and is an very good rebounder from the wing (5.5 RPG). Expect Barnes’ efficiency (38.1 FG%) to improve now that he is surrounded by more offensively talented teammates. If Rudy Gay is moved, grabbing Barnes late will likely result in a profit.

49) Mirza Teletovic (SF/PF) – Teletovic is an intriguing option late in the draft, especially now that Khris Middleton is expected to miss six months. The former Sun was a top-50 per minute player in Phoenix and should, at worst, have a large role off the bench given the Bucks’ need for shooting. Teletovic is an excellent three-point specialist (2.3 3PG) and could start for the Bucks now that Middleton is done for the foreseeable future. The sharpshooter was a top-100 player over the last two months of 2015-2016 despite only playing 27.2 MPG.

Follow me on Twitter @EliteFanBBall for the latest fantasy basketball news. I will gladly answer any fantasy basketball related questions that you may have.