Point Guards

1) Steph Curry (PG/SG) – No two players are better equipped to handle a drop in their counting stats than Steph Curry and Kevin Durant. The league’s newest dynamic duo both derive a huge amount of their value from the efficiency categories and should continue to dominate the FG% and FT% categories despite the incoming decrease in shot attempts. Steph could have a significantly worse season than his second MVP campaign and still finish atop the fantasy rankings. The difference in value between Curry and the Chris Paul, who finished sixth-overall in 2015-2016, was the same as difference between Paul and Evan Fournier, who finished 68th-overall. Durant’s presence will lead to a decrease in Steph’s scoring (30.1 PPG) and his impossibly high threes (5.1 3PG), but there’s no reason why the rest of his line won’t look similar to what it looked like last season. Steph is an outstanding fit for the punt FT% build as he is elite in all of the categories that the big men that you will be targeting later in the draft are deficient in.

2) Russell Westbrook (PG) – Westbrook will not finish in front of Kevin Durant and Kawhi Leonard in the rankings. This list assumes that you’re playing H2H and therefore can using punting strategies to minimize Westbrook’s weaknesses. If you’re playing Roto, don’t consider Westbrook until the middle of the first round. If you are lucky enough to be able to draft Westbrook and are playing H2H, punt FG% and then sit back and enjoy the fireworks. In 2014-2015, a season in which Durant only played 27 games, Russell averaged an absurd 28.1 PPG, 7.3 RPG, and 8.6 APG. Those monster numbers came on poor shooting (42.6 FG%) and with a league-worst 4.4 turnovers per game, but the positives vastly outweigh the negatives with Westbrook. There is some injury-related risk here. Westbrook may end up posting the highest usage rate of all time and it’s possible that the additional responsibility will cause his body to break down.

3) Chris Paul (PG) – Paul hasn’t finished lower than sixth-overall on a per game basis since 2006-2007 and is a completely reasonable option for anyone who missed out on a top-5 pick. The point guard provides elite impact not only in and assists (10.0 APG) and steals (2.0 SPG), but also at the line (89.3 FT% on 4.4 FTA). What makes Paul really standout from his first-round brethren is his low turnover rate (2.6 TOPG). High assists almost always mean high turnovers but that’s not the case with Paul. Teams focused on winning assists every week often struggle to win turnovers or are forced to punt the category. Paul allows you to be competitive in both. The Clippers’ lead guard is one of the best first-round options for the punt points build as his gaudy point guard stats come with impressive efficiency.

4) Kyle Lowry (PG) – If Lowry was more durable, I would gladly take the Raptors’ lead guard in the first round. Lowry gives you everything you could ask for in a first-round pick. He provides elite production in multiple categories (2.8 3PG, 2.1 SPG) while producing strong across-the-board numbers (21.2 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 6.4 APG). The problem is that he tends to fade as the season goes on and has a habit of picking up minor injuries that affect his production. Lowry’s decline wasn’t as obvious in 2015-2016 as it was the year before, but it was still very real. Over the last three months of the season, Lowry was only a top-25 option, in large part due to an elbow injury that bothered him throughout most of the second half of the season and into the playoffs. There’s a very good chance that Lowry, once again, finishes as fantasy’s fourth-ranked point guard, but it could be a bumpy ride.

5) Damian Lillard (PG) – Lillard’s 2014-2015 defensive improvement proved to be a mirage as the Blazer went back to being one of the league’s worse defenders in 2015-2016 and as a result, his fantasy value suffered (0.9 SPG). No player receives a larger bump by disregarding FG% than Lillard (41.9 FG%). Pairing Lillard with a big man like DeMarcus Cousins and punting FG% is one of the better options available to those picking late in the first round. The point guard is an excellent source of points (25.1 PPG), threes (3.1 3PG), assists (6.8 APG), and FT% impact (89.2 FT% on 6.2 FTA) and his lack of steals is negated by Cousins’ thievery (1.6 SPG). I wouldn’t worry too much about Evan Turner. His presence will likely lead to a small drop in Lillard’s assists, but it could also help bring down Lillard’s turnovers (3.2 TOPG).

6) Giannis Antetokounmpo (PG/SG/SF) – I’m not sure what to do with the Greek Freak. On one hand, his late-season run absolutely justifies this ranking. Antetokounmpo was a top-15 player over the last two months of the season and averaged an outstanding 18.8 PPG, 8.7 RPG, 7.2 APG, 1.4 SPG, and 1.9 BPG over that period of time. However, the Bucks were well out of playoff contention at that point, Michael Carter-Williams was sidelined with an injury, and Giannis’ time as a point forward didn’t lead to many Bucks wins. Before his switch to point guard, Antetokounmpo was only a top-50 option. He’s a high-risk, high-reward pick and whether or not you think Giannis is worth an early second-round pick comes down to how much you trust Coach Kidd to keep Giannis at point guard all season long.

7) John Wall (PG) – Wall’s ceiling continues to be limited by his efficiency woes (42.4 FG%, 79.1 FT%, 4.1 TOPG), but the point guard remains a lock to return top-30 value and close to ten assists per night. He’s a very useful H2H option, and fits very well into both the punt FG% and punt FT% strategies. His counting stats are elite, especially now that he’s added a somewhat consistent threeball to his game (1.5 3PG). Wall’s assists are his biggest draw (10.3 APG), but his above-average rebounding for a point guard (4.9 RPG) and elite defensive stats (1.9 SPG, 0.8 BPG) are also extremely useful.

8) Kemba Walker (PG) – The diminutive point guard has quietly become one of fantasy’s most deadly weapons. Walker finished in the top-20 last season and has provided at least second-round value in the punt FG% build in each of the past four seasons. Kemba has turned one of his greatest weakness into a strength and hit 2.2 3PG last season. He is also a sneaky source of defensive stats and averaged a very useful 1.6 SPG and 0.5 BPG in 2015-2016. Last season, the only point guards more valuable than Kemba were Steph Curry, Chris Paul, Russell Westbrook, and Kyle Lowry.

9) Kyrie Irving (PG/SG) – Kyrie’s heroic finals performance masked what was a very forgettable season up until that point. Irving missed 29 games, mostly at the beginning of the season, and for the first time in his career, failed to post top-50 per game numbers. Expect the point guard to bounce back in 2016-2017. Irving has already proven that he can post early-round numbers playing beside LeBron and is only a year removed from a top-12 finish. Kyrie fits well into just about any build as he provides across the board production (19.6 PPG, 1.6 3PG, 4.7 APG, 1.1 SPG) on solid efficiency (44.8 FG%, 88.5 FT%).

10) Victor Oladipo (PG/SG) – Oladipo is the biggest beneficiary of Durant’s departure. Westbrook’s presence does cap Oladipo’s upside, but the shooting guard will still be worth consideration starting in the third round. Over the last three months of the 2015-2016 season, Oladipo was phenomenal, averaging an incredible 18.7 PPG, 1.4 3PG, 3.9 APG, and 1.9 SPG. Those numbers were good enough to rank Oladipo in the top-15 over that span. The shooting guard has first-round upside, but it would take an injury to his backcourt mate for that potential to be realized.

11) Eric Bledsoe (PG/SG) – Bledsoe has shown that he has early-round talent. He finished 24th-overall on a per game basis in 2015-2016 and provides strong production in points (20.4 PPG), threes (1.5 3PG), assists (6.1 APG), and steals (2.0 SPG). The problem is that he just can’t stay healthy long enough for those contributions to be relevant. The Suns’ point guard has missed nearly half the season two of the past three years and has spent most of the summer recovering from a torn left meniscus. Bledsoe has second-round upside, but his floor is much lower than most of the point guards available in the same range.

12) C.J. McCollum (PG/SG) – One of last season’s biggest breakout stars is poised to repeat his top-45 2015-2016 finish. Evan Turner will take some touches away from McCollum, but C.J. is a strong enough off-the-ball player that his scoring (20.8 PPG) and threes (2.5 3PG) shouldn’t suffer too much. Turner’s presence should lead to a decrease in McCollum’s dimes though (4.3 APG). McCollum’s FT% is also worth monitoring. The shooting guard hit 82.7% of his free throws in 2015-2016, but never managed to crack 70% from the line in his first two seasons in the NBA. That is a significant improvement and some regression wouldn’t be surprising.

13) Isaiah Thomas (PG) – The undersized lead guard has produced top-40 numbers in two of the past three seasons and should continue to be the engine that drives the Celtics’ offense. There’s been some talk of Marcus Smart having a larger role this season, but with Evan Turner now in Portland, Smart’s role can increase without Thomas’ suffering. Thomas should once again flirt with two threes per night (2.0 3PG) and is a great source of points (22.2 PPG) and assists (6.2 APG). Isaiah is one of the best options for those who passed on the early-round point guards.

14) Goran Dragic (PG/SG) – It’s easy to forget that Dragic is only two years removed from a top-30 finish. Dwyane Wade, and his massive usage, destroyed Dragic’s value, but now that Wade is back home in Chicago, we should see the former Sun return to his top-50 ways. Chris Bosh’s future is still up in the air, and if he was to miss significant time, which at this point looks likely, Dragic will be the first option for the Heat. Expect across-the-board improvement for Dragic in 2015-2016. The last time Dragic spent a full season as the central point of an offense he averaged 20.3 PPG, 1.6 3PG, 5.9 APG, and 1.4 SPG while shooting 50.5% from the field.

15) Ricky Rubio (PG) – Rubio is now surrounded by the most offensively gifted supporting cast that he’s ever had. The Spaniard has a very good chance to exceed his previous career high of 8.8 APG. Rubio’s shooting woes are not going anywhere (37.4 FG%), but those bricks come on low enough volume that he is useful outside of the punt FG% build. Rubio is best deployed in the punt FG% build or the punt points build (10.1 PPG). Without points, the point guard was a top-20 option in 2015-2016. As always, Rubio will be one of the league leaders in steals (2.1 SPG).

16) Mike Conley (PG) – Conley’s value has decreased as he has taken on a larger role on offense. Conley scores more (15.3 PPG) and hands out more dimes (6.1 APG) then he did when he was returning early-round value, but the additional offensive responsibility has come at the expense of Conley’s efficiency (42.2 FG%) and defensive impact. Conley’s bread and butter used to be his steals. In both 2011-2012 and 2012-2013, Conley averaged 2.2 SPG. Last season, he barely provided above-average production in that category and only managed to average 1.2 swipes per night. One thing that has improved as Conley has aged is his ability to take care of the ball. He was the only point guard in the league who averaged less than two turnovers per night while handing out at least six assists per game.

17) George Hill (PG/SG) – Hill is a perfect fit for the defensive-minded Jazz and is a massive upgrade on the combination of Trey Burke and Shelvin Mack that manned the position in 2015-2016. Hill should be able to improve on his top-80 2015-2016 finish now that he is no longer sharing a backcourt with Monta Ellis. He can play both guard spots so the return of Dante Exum should not worry those targeting Hill. The former Pacer has finished within the top-50 two of the past four seasons and could easily achieve that mark in 2016-2017.

18) Reggie Jackson (PG/SG) – Jackson is a good example of why the punt assists build is such an effective strategy. In order to draft Jackson this season, you’ll likely have to use a top-50 pick on him. Using a top-50 pick on a player who has never produced better than top-90 numbers, because he averages a handful of assists (6.2 APG), is never a good idea. You don’t get extra points for winning assists and managers need to avoid falling into the trap of overpaying for dimes. Jackson is close to undraftable at his current fourth-round ADP, but if you do manage to grab the point guard at a more reasonable price, expect above-average scoring (18.8 PPG) on below-average efficiency (43.4 FG%), solid threes (1.5 3PG), and disappointing swipes (0.7 SPG).

19) D’Angelo Russell (PG) – Russell had a disappointing rookie year both on and off the court. The young point guard’s outstanding potential hasn’t disappeared though and Kobe Bryant’s retirement should be a boon to his value. Russell will likely continue to struggle with his efficiency (41.0 FG%, 73.7 FT%), but with Kobe’s massive usage no longer holding him back, expect a spike in his counting stats (13.2 PPG, 1.6 3PG, 3.3 APG, 1.2 SPG). Two threes a night to go along with five dimes is a reasonable expectation for the sophomore.

20) Avery Bradley (PG/SG) – Bradley’s proficiency from deep (1.9 3PG) is especially impressive when you consider that he came into league without any semblance of a jumper. The defensive stalwart has turned himself into a solid, mid-round option and is coming off a top-65 finish in 2015-2016. Bradley is another one of the “3-and-D” wing options that the middle rounds of drafts tend to be filled with. He scores more than most of his “3-and-D” peers (15.2 PPG), but struggles to match them on the boards (2.9 RPG).

21) Zach LaVine (PG/SG) – Tom Thibodeau loves to play his starters as many minutes as they can handle and that bodes well for Wolves’ starting shooting guard. LaVine was a top-75 player over the last three months of the season and is one of the few players who can be deadly from deep (2.4 3PG over the final two months) without killing your FG% (47.9 FG% over the final two months). Kris Dunn will split his time between both guard spots, so it’s unlikely that the lottery pick will have a major impact on LaVine’s minutes.

22) Dennis Schroder (PG) – Jeff Teague’s departure means Schroder’s minutes are about to go north of 30 a night and a top-70 finish is very doable for the young point guard. Schroder is an exciting player, but owners will need to keep their expectations in check. Schroder has not been a strong per-minute player in the past and his usage spike will be accompanied by a high-turnover rate (4.1 TOP36). He will be a much stronger play in 8-cat and a very nice option for those punting FG% (42.1%). Don’t worry too much about Jarrett Jack. Jack was serviceable last season for the Nets, but the track record of point guards who tear their ACLs in their thirties is not good. He’ll be strictly a backup for the Hawks and will have no value in standard leagues.

23) Jeff Teague (PG) – Teague was an inconsistent player with the Hawks, often following months of looking like an early-round player, with months of barely looking like a top-100 option. He’ll be an especially risky pick now that he’ll be forced to share the ball with notorious usage-hog Monta Ellis and Paul George. Teague does have a lot of weapons on offense, but his inconsistency makes him one of the least attractive point guards currently being drafted in the middle rounds.

24) Monta Ellis (PG/SG) – Monta no longer have it all. Ellis is coming off his worst regular season since his rookie year and appears to be declining. Monta averaged 18.9 PPG on 44.5% shooting in 2014-2015, but only managed 13.8 PPG on 42.7% shooting in 2015-2016. The Pacers’ acquisition of Jeff Teague doesn’t help matters. Teague will have the ball in his hands more often than George Hill did, which makes a bounce back season for Ellis unlikely. Despite his declining numbers, Monta remains a good fit the punt assists build and is one of the best sources of steals in the league (1.8 SPG).

25) Patrick Beverley (PG/SG) – If you’re are punting assists, and haven’t yet filled your point guard spot, Beverley should be near the top of your late-round wish list. James Harden is the Rockets’ de facto point guard and most of Beverley’s value comes from his ability to hit from deep (1.7 3PG) and his defensive prowess (1.3 SPG, 0.4 BPG). He doesn’t look to score (9.9 PPG), but that isn’t necessarily a bad thing. His lack of attempts limit the damage that his poor shooting from the floor (43.4 FG%) and line (68.2 FT%) can do. Beverley has been a top-100 player three seasons in a row and has top-75 potential now that Mike D’Antoni is running the show.

26) Jeremy Lin (PG/SG) – Lin has always been a poor per minute player and barely cracked the top-200 on a per minute basis in his lone season in Charlotte. In 2012-2013, his only season as an undisputed starter, Lin was able to provide top-90 per game value thanks to averages of 14.1 PPG and 6.1 APG. Those numbers look achievable, but Lin should not be considered before the seventh or eighth round of your draft due to his efficiency issues (41.2 FG%) and pedestrian supporting stats (1.0 3PG, 0.8 SPG).

27) Rajon Rondo (PG) – As you may have noticed, I do not have high hopes for the Bulls’ offense this season. It’s hard to fathom that a NBA front office could get together and decide that pairing three ball-dominant players who struggle to play off the ball and can’t shoot was a good idea. Rondo looked like his old self in his lone season in Sacramento, but his new teammates make another top-50 finish extremely unlikely. Wade completely destroyed Goran Dragic’s value in Miami and I expect his presence to have a similar effect on Rondo. Add in Jimmy Butler and it’s very likely that we’ll see a noticeable drop in Rondo’s league-leading assists (11.6 APG). It’s also likely that we’ll see a drop in his FG% (45.4 FG%) as teams will pack the paint against the Bulls and dare the guards to beat them from the perimeter. As always, Rondo will be one of the league’s best sources of assists and steals (2.0 SPG) and contribute little elsewhere.

28) Jordan Clarkson (PG/SG) – Clarkson fell victim to the Kobe Bryant retirement tour in 2015-2016 and only managed to provide top-115 value to his disappointed owners. The 2016-2017 campaign shouldn’t be quite as ugly for the shooting guard as the Mamba’s departure makes Clarkson one of the Lakers’ go-to options. Clarkson is a strong, late-round target for those punting assists. He has point guard eligibility and very little of his value is tied up in dimes (2.4 APG). Clarkson gives you everything else you’d hope for from a guard in his range (15.5 PPG, 1.4 3PG, 1.1 SPG) and should be a top-100 option this season. I have him ranked outside of the top-100 because his upside is limited by the presence of D’Angelo Russell and Brandon Ingram.

29) Brandon Knight (PG/SG) – The combo guard was a top-75 per game player last season, but the emergence of Devin Booker and the return of Eric Bledsoe, destroys any chance of a repeat performance. Knight has always been a poor per minute player and that top-75 finish was only made possible by an unsustainable 36.0 MPG average. Expect two threes per night, a handful of assists, and around 16 PPG from Knight this season.

30) Elfrid Payton (PG) – The Orlando point guard is a mixed bag. He doesn’t score (10.7 PPG), doesn’t hit threes (0.4 3PG), and will drag down your FG% (43.6 FG%). However, assists are almost impossible to find at this point in the draft and Payton should be a very good source of them (6.4 APG) now that Victor Oladipo is in Oklahoma City. Payton was a top-100 player down the stretch of the 2014-2015 season and could approach those numbers now that he’ll have the ball in his hands more often.

31) Jrue Holiday (PG) – If you play in a league that has an IR spot, Jrue is a reasonable pick starting in about the eighth or ninth round. If you don’t, then he’s best treated as a late-round flier. The point guard is out for an indefinite period of time to start the season due to his wife falling ill. His return date is very much up in the air and it’s possible that he misses half the season. When he does return, it’s likely that Holiday provides at least top-65 value. Jrue has been a top-65 per game player three years in a row and is coming off a season in which he averaged 16.8 PPG, 1.3 3PG, 6.0 APG, and 1.4 SPG.

32) Eric Gordon (SG)  Gordon will come off the bench for Rockets and will, once again, be a trap for managers who failed to do their homework. The shooting guard is a good fit for D’Antoni’s offense and is a solid bet to break 2.0 3PM and be a top-90 per game player. Unfortunately, his per game numbers don’t really matter. Gordon hasn’t played in more than 64 games in any season since 2008-2009.

33) Deron Williams (PG) – Williams’ days as an early-round, albeit overrated, fantasy option are long gone. The Maverick’s game is deteriorating quickly and Williams is now no more than a late-round option for those desperate for assists. Deron barely posted top-100 per game numbers last season and has played in an average of 66 games over the past three seasons. Williams only provides above-average production in dimes (5.8 APG), from deep (1.5 3PG), and from the line (86.9 FT% on 3.2 FTA). The injury-prone point guard will drag down your boards (2.9 RPG), steals (0.9 SPG), and FG% (41.4 FG%).

34) Tyreke Evans (PG/SG) – Evans is not expected to be ready for the start of the season, which makes him a very risk pick for those playing in leagues without an IR spot. When he does return, he should have a significant role and post close to top-80 numbers. Expect extremely strong counting stats from Tyreke (15.2 PPG, 1.3 3PG, 5.2 RPG, 6.6. APG, 1.3 SPG) and to go along with disappointing efficiency numbers (43.5 FG%, 79.6 FT%, 2.9 TOPG). Tyreke is someone I would look to move near the trade deadline. The Pelicans are likely to be well out of the playoff race by the time the fantasy playoffs roll around and Tyreke, and his bad knees, will be a shutdown candidate.

35) Dwyane Wade (PG/SG) – Stay far away from Wade at his current seventh-round price. The Heat legend barely cracked the top-100 last season despite sporting a top-5 usage rate. Now that he is playing beside Rajon Rondo and Jimmy Butler, his scoring (19.0 PPG), and other counting stats, are a lock to decrease. Wade is no longer a difference-maker on the defensive end (1.1 SPG, 0.6 BPG), and it does not appear that a Jason Kidd-like, late-career shooting renaissance is on its way (0.2 3PG). Wade is a great bet to be one of fantasy’s most overdrafted players.

36) Marcus Smart (PG) – Smart is a difficult player to target outside of the punt FG% (34.8 FG%) build. Smart only shot 8.7 times per night in 2015-2016, but still managed to have the third largest negative impact on the category, trailing only Emmanuel Mudiay and the corpse of Kobe Bryant. Even in the punt FG% build, he is only a decent late-round target. Without FG%, Smart was a top-90 player in 2015-2016. A top-70 finish in that build is possible this season, just don’t expect much production outside of threes (1.0 3PG), assists (3.0 APG), and steals (1.5 SPG).

37) Darren Collison (PG) – Collison would be a top-75 pick if he wasn’t looking at a lengthy suspension to start the year. The point guard pleaded guilty to a misdemeanor domestic violence charge over the summer and is about to have the league come down on him hard. The NBA hasn’t had a major domestic violence issue come up recently, but given how other leagues have treated similar issues, it would not be a surprise to see Collison suspended for 20 games or more. He should start once he returns to the lineup. The Kings signed Ty Lawson, but it’s unlikely that he plays well enough to unseat Collison. The last time Collison was the undisputed starter for the Kings, he posted top-50 numbers. Collison is one of the league’s most efficient point guards (48.6 FG%, 85.8 FT%) and could be a difference maker down the stretch for managers who think they can handle the early-season hit.

38) Jerryd Bayless (PG/SG) – The journeyman has always been useful when given extended minutes and should start alongside the Sixers’ young studs. Bayless looks like he’ll be worth a late-round pick, just don’t expect many dimes from the combo guard. Ben Simmons will run the Sixers’ offense and Bayless will be used more as a spot up shooter than as a creator. Bayless has turned himself into a weapon from deep (1.9 3PG) and is a great target late for those punting assists and looking to fill their point guard spot.

39) Kris Dunn (PG) – Dunn looked like a no-brainer mid-round selection until the Wolves scooped him up with the fifth pick of the draft. The Wolves were rumored to be shopping Ricky Rubio, but now seem content with holding onto the still only 25-year-old point guard. Rubio’s continued presence stops Dunn from a solid, mid-round option and makes the rookie no more than a late-round flier. However, he does have quite a bit of upside as his game is fantasy friendly and he should see minutes in the high twenties right out of the gate. Dunn will likely be an elite source of steals (2.5 SPG) and is a good bet to chip in four or five assists every time he takes the floor. Dunn’s jumper is serviceable, but don’t expect more than one triple per night in his rookie year. Like most rookie lead guards, expect Dunn to have issues with efficiency and to struggle with turnovers (3.5 TOPG).

40) Tyler Johnson (PG/SG) – Johnson was an intriguing late-round pick before the Josh Richardson injury. Now that Richardson is unlikely to be ready for the start of the season, Johnson is firmly in the standard league conversation. Johnson is hard to get a read on as an injury limited his sophomore campaign. However, the Heat paid the third-year player too much to just sit on the bench. He should see minutes at both guard spots and has shown the ability to score efficiently (48.8%) and create a little bit (3.3 AP36). Don’t expect more than average numbers from deep (1.1 3P36) and on the defensive end (1.0 SP36).

41) Emmanuel Mudiay (PG) – Mudiay had a historically terrible rookie year and didn’t come close to being worth a standard league roster spot. The point guard failed to produce top-300 value in 9-category leagues due to the numerous holes in his line. Mudiay was the least efficient player in the league (36.4 FG%, 67.0 FT%), was a turnover machine, and was a below-average source of points (12.8 PPG). I rank Mudiay here because of his counting stat upside. Mudiay has the ability to contribute across the board, especially in assists (5.5 APG) and on the defensive end (1.0 SPG, 0.5 BPG). If you do choose to gamble on Mudiay late, make sure you are punting at least one of the percentages.

42) Derrick Rose (PG) – It’s hard to understate how bad Derrick Rose was last year. The Bulls’ offense was absolutely horrendous when Rose was on the court. How bad are we talking? When Rose was on the court, the Bulls had a worse offense than the historically terrible 76ers. Despite that, it wasn’t an awful trade for the Knicks. The former MVP only has one year left on his contract, so the Knicks can just let him walk if he continues his downward spiral. From a fantasy standpoint, Rose is only a final-round flier. Rose couldn’t even crack the top-200 in 2015-2016, provides nothing outside of points (16.4 PPG) and mediocre dimes (4.7 APG), and, as always, will be a good bet to miss large chunks of the season. The Knick will also drag down your FG% (42.7 FG%), steals (0.7 SPG), and threes (0.7 3PG).

43) Tim Frazier (PG) – Jrue Holiday is expected to miss a large chunk of the regular season which makes Frazier a great bet to be this season’s Mo Williams. Mo was able to provide borderline top-50 numbers while Kyrie Irving recovered his knee injury, and while Frazier won’t quite reach those heights, top-100 production that comes with plenty of dimes is very possible. Over the final month of the 2015-2016 season, a month in which Holiday only played in 5 games, Frazier was a top-90 option and averaged a very useful 7.5 APG and 1.4 SPG. You could do worse with your last pick in the draft.

44) Ty Lawson (PG) – Like Tim Frazier, Lawson is unlikely to hold much long-term value, but is a solid bet to be useful early in the season. Darren Collison is looking at a lengthy suspension and Lawson will start in his place. The troubled point guard has shown no signs of returning to his prior form so keep your expectations in check. Don’t expect more than a handful of points, a steal, and five or six assists per night from Lawson.

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