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Punt Steals

As is the case with blocks, elite steals tend to be limited to a handful of players. What makes punting steals difficult to pull off is that most of those elite steals belong to point guards. You still want to be competitive in assists with this build so it’s important to aggressively target the few point guards who get a boost with this strategy. The impact of punting steals on point guard value can be enormous. Mike Conley finished outside of the top 70 last season without steals. Kemba Walker drops from the top 35 to the top 90. Tony Parker on the other hand gets a big boost. The only point guards more valuable in a punt steals scenario last season were Steph Curry and Chris Paul. This build, along with punting assists, is the ideal punting strategy for managers planning to select Carmelo Anthony (0.8 SPG last season) or one of the elite bigs available at the end of the first round. Most big men receive a significant bump with this build. Because of this, it is important to keep an eye on FT% while drafting.

Note: Yahoo Fantasy Basketball’s ranking is in parentheses. The round that I have listed each player in is the round that I would target them in.

R2) Derrick Rose (14) – Perfect fit for this build. 21.8 points, 7.9 assists, 1.4 threes but only 0.9 steals in 2011-2012. Should improve the scoring and threes as his jump shot has apparently improved. Solid impact at the line as well (81% on 6.1 FTA).

R2) Serge Ibaka (17) – Finished 4th overall last season without steals. We know about the blocks (3.0), but surprisingly solid from the line last season (75%). Only drawback is absolutely no assists (0.5).

R2) Dirk Nowitzki (22) – Dirk has always been a good fit for this build (0.7 steals). Top 20 FT% impact (86% on 3.6 FTA).

R3) Pau Gasol (28) – Very good source of assists for a non-PG (4.1). Scoring should rebound after career low 13.7 PPG last season. 0.5 SPG last season is right in line with his career average.

R3) Tony Parker (34) – Provides everything you need for this build (20.3 PPG, 7.6 APG, 52 FG%, 84 FT%, 0.8 SPG) except threes (0.4).

R3) Brook Lopez (32) – Should be unstoppable on offense this year due to the added bulk. Great source of points (19.5), blocks (2.1), and FG% (52%) but no steals (0.4).

R4) Damian Lillard (37) – Overrated this year but a good match for this build as high FT% (84%), threes (2.4), assists (6.5), and below average steals (0.9).

R4) David Lee (48) – Very good offensive stats but doesn’t produce on the defensive end (0.8 SPG, 0.3 BPG).

R4) Roy Hibbert (47) – Good source of big man stats (8.3 RPG, 2.6 BPG) and FG% should be closer to career average of 47%.

R5) Jose Calderon (56) – One of the few PGs who isn’t downgraded in this build (0.8 SPG). Averaged 7.1 assists last season and that number should go up in Dallas.

R5) Jonas Valanciunas (73) – He’ll breakout, but it won’t have anything to do with steals (0.3). Could average upwards of 14/9/2 on great percentages.

R5) Ryan Anderson (58) – Poor FG% (43%) but 2.6 3PG. Much better pick in 9-cat than 8-cat (1.2 TOs).

R6) Tyson Chandler (68) – FG% beast (64%), solid big man stats (10/10/1.2), and low steals (0.6).

R7) Gordon Hayward (93) – Averaged 30 MPG over the past two seasons but only 0.8 steals over that time. Should be the top option in Utah. Potential for 16/4/4. FG% (43%) is his only other negative.

R7) Steve Nash (77) – Should be better than last season with Dwight out of town and Kobe likely out to start the season. Percentages impact is lower these days due to lower volume, but still a good source of assists (6.7) and still no steals (0.6).

R7) Kevin Martin (84) – Career average of 0.9 SPG. Minutes should go up in Minnesota. Finished 71st overall last season in under 28 MPG.

R8) Spencer Hawes (120) – 7.2 RPG, 1.4 BPG in only 27 MPG. Minutes should increase as he’s the only warm body in the Sixers’s frontcourt. Averages more threes (0.4) than steals (0.3).

R9) Kyle Korver (108) – Cheap threes late (2.6) and is a lock to post top 40 value in this build.

R10) Robin Lopez (115) – Cheap blocks (1.4) and FG% (53%). Finished in the top 50 without steals last season. Pretty safe bet to start over Leonard.

R11) J.J. Redick (123) – Clippers’s wing rotation is crowded but top 20 FT% impact last season to go with 2.1 threes. The threes should be similar this year as should the lack of steals (0.5).

R12) Samuel Dalembert (138) – This is assuming Brandan Wright misses the start of the season due to a broken shoulder. If Wright is back by opening night, draft him here instead. Dally’s already drawing the ire of Carlisle but with Wright out, he has to play. Could flirt with 1.8 BPG and 8.5 rebounds. Career steals per 36 is only 0.7.

R13) Channing Frye (179) – Surprisingly already back on the court. His minutes are up in the air but he has that rare combo of threes and blocks. Career average of 0.5 SPG.

 

Follow me on Twitter @EliteFanBBall for the latest fantasy basketball news. I will gladly answer any fantasy basketball related questions that you may have. 

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