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Shooting Guards

1) Steph Curry (PG/SG) – No two players are better equipped to handle a drop in their counting stats than Steph Curry and Kevin Durant. The league’s newest dynamic duo both derive a huge amount of their value from the efficiency categories and should continue to dominate the FG% and FT% categories despite the incoming decrease in shot attempts. Steph could have a significantly worse season than his second MVP campaign and still finish atop the fantasy rankings. The difference in value between Curry and the Chris Paul, who finished sixth-overall in 2015-2016, was the same as difference between Paul and Evan Fournier, who finished 68th-overall. Durant’s presence will lead to a decrease in Steph’s scoring (30.1 PPG) and his impossibly high threes (5.1 3PG), but there’s no reason why the rest of his line won’t look similar to what it looked like last season. Steph is an outstanding fit for the punt FT% build as he is elite in all of the categories that the big men that you will be targeting later in the draft are deficient in.

2) James Harden (SG/SF) – Harden’s upside is higher than ever now that Mike D’Antoni is in town. D’Antoni is most famous for his time in Phoenix, but he also worked his magic in New York, somehow turning Raymond Felton into an early-round asset before the portly point guard was traded to the Nuggets. Harden is the best building block for those looking to punt FG% (43.9 FG%), but the shooting guard can also force an owner to punt turnovers as well (4.6 TOPG). Harden has his warts, but I have him ranked second for a reason. He is a monster everywhere else (29.0 PPG, 2.9 3PG, 6.1 RPG, 7.5 APG, 1.7 SPG, 0.6 BPG, 86.0 FT% on 10.2 FTA).

3) Kawhi Leonard (SG/SF) – The differences between Roto and H2H are generally overblown. Kawhi is a monster in both formats. Only Steph Curry and Kevin Durant were more valuable than Kawhi last season and with those two stars now on the same team, Leonard has a real shot at finishing atop the fantasy rankings this year. Kawhi possesses the cleanest line in fantasy. The only category that he doesn’t provided above-average production in is assists (2.6 APG). This makes Leonard one of the best options for the punt assist build, but the league’s best defensive player fits well into most strategies thanks to his elite efficiency (50.6 FG%, 87.4 FT%, 1.5 TOPG), elite defensive stats (1.8 SPG, 1.0 BPG), and well-above-average scoring (21.2 PPG) and shooting from deep (1.8 3PG).

4) Giannis Antetokounmpo (PG/SG/SF) – I’m not sure what to do with the Greek Freak. On one hand, his late-season run absolutely justifies this ranking. Antetokounmpo was a top-15 player over the last two months of the season and averaged an outstanding 18.8 PPG, 8.7 RPG, 7.2 APG, 1.4 SPG, and 1.9 BPG over that period of time. However, the Bucks were well out of playoff contention at that point, Michael Carter-Williams was sidelined with an injury, and Giannis’ time as a point forward didn’t lead to many Bucks wins. Before his switch to point guard, Antetokounmpo was only a top-50 option. He’s a high-risk, high-reward pick and whether or not you think Giannis is worth an early second-round pick comes down to how much you trust Coach Kidd to keep Giannis at point guard all season long.

5) Jimmy Butler (SG/SF) – Butler was one of free agency’s biggest losers as the additions of Dwyane Wade and Rajon Rondo all but guarantee that Jimmy won’t repeat last season’s top-15 finish. Wade is one of the most ball-dominant players in the league and Rondo is useless without the ball in his hands. Teams will dare the Bulls to beat them from the perimeter, something that Jimmy is not particularly good at (1.0 3PG on 31.2 3P%). Expect an increase in threes, but a decrease in most of his other counting stats.

6) Klay Thompson (SG/SF) – Klay will likely take the biggest hit of the Warriors’ four all-stars. The sharpshooter derives most of his value from his scoring (22.1 PPG) and his three-point proficiency (3.5 3PG). With Kevin Durant and his massive usage now in Oakland, it’s likely that both his scoring and threes see a small drop. His efficiency keeps his floor high (47.0 FG%, 87.3%), but Klay doesn’t do enough elsewhere (3.8 RPG, 2.1 APG, 0.8 SPG) to compensate for the upcoming drop in shot attempts.

7) Kyrie Irving (PG/SG) – Kyrie’s heroic finals performance masked what was a very forgettable season up until that point. Irving missed 29 games, mostly at the beginning of the season, and for the first time in his career, failed to post top-50 per game numbers. Expect the point guard to bounce back in 2016-2017. Irving has already proven that he can post early-round numbers playing beside LeBron and is only a year removed from a top-12 finish. Kyrie fits well into just about any build as he provides across the board production (19.6 PPG, 1.6 3PG, 4.7 APG, 1.1 SPG) on solid efficiency (44.8 FG%, 88.5 FT%).

8) Khris Middleton (SG/SF) – The Bucks’ swingman has quietly become one of the league’s best “3-and-D” players. Middleton was top-20 player over the last two months of the seasons and averaged a very useful 1.8 3PG and 1.7 SPG over the course of the year. Think Trevor Ariza with a little more scoring (18.2 PPG) and a lot more efficiency (44.3 FG%, 88.8 FT%). Those numbers fit very well into almost any build.

Note: Middleton has torn his hamstring and is expected to miss 6 months. He is not worth drafting and stashing unless your league has multiple IR slots. 

9) Victor Oladipo (PG/SG) – Oladipo is the biggest beneficiary of Durant’s departure. Westbrook’s presence does cap Oladipo’s upside, but the shooting guard will still be worth consideration starting in the third round. Over the last three months of the 2015-2016 season, Oladipo was phenomenal, averaging an incredible 18.7 PPG, 1.4 3PG, 3.9 APG, and 1.9 SPG. Those numbers were good enough to rank Oladipo in the top-15 over that span. The shooting guard has first-round upside, but it would take an injury to his backcourt mate for that potential to be realized.

10) Trevor Ariza (SG/SF) – Ariza has turned himself into one of safest mid-round picks by posting top-40 value three years in a row. Over that span he has never averaged less than 2.3 3PM or 1.6 SPG. Ariza has also been an ironman of late and has only missed one game over the past two seasons. With Mike D’Antoni now manning the Rockets sideline, Ariza, like all of teammates, has a higher ceiling than usual this season. The Rockets played at the seventh fastest pace last season and it would surprise no one if they lead the league in that category in 2016-2017.

11) Eric Bledsoe (PG/SG) – Bledsoe has shown that he has early-round talent. He finished 24th-overall on a per game basis in 2015-2016 and provides strong production in points (20.4 PPG), threes (1.5 3PG), assists (6.1 APG), and steals (2.0 SPG). The problem is that he just can’t stay healthy long enough for those contributions to be relevant. The Suns’ point guard has missed nearly half the season two of the past three years and has spent most of the summer recovering from a torn left meniscus. Bledsoe has second-round upside, but his floor is much lower than most of the point guards available in the same range.

12) C.J. McCollum (PG/SG) – One of last season’s biggest breakout stars is poised to repeat his top-45 2015-2016 finish. Evan Turner will take some touches away from McCollum, but C.J. is a strong enough off-the-ball player that his scoring (20.8 PPG) and threes (2.5 3PG) shouldn’t suffer too much. Turner’s presence should lead to a decrease in McCollum’s dimes though (4.3 APG). McCollum’s FT% is also worth monitoring. The shooting guard hit 82.7% of his free throws in 2015-2016, but never managed to crack 70% from the line in his first two seasons in the NBA. That is a significant improvement and some regression wouldn’t be surprising.

13) Gordon Hayward (SG/SF) – Hayward is a poor man’s Paul George, who provides solid, but not elite, scoring (19.7 PPG), threes (1.8 3PG), and assists (3.7 APG) while shooting poorly from the field (43.3 FG%). The swingman could see a small dip in his scoring due to the return of Alec Burks and George Hill, but Hayward’s floor remains high due to the heavy minutes that he sees (36.2 MPG).

14) Nicolas Batum (SG/SF) – Batum produces one of the league’s most unique lines and his out-of-position assists (5.8 APG) make him an excellent option for those unwilling to pay the premium that comes with most point guards. Batum’s FG% (42.7 FG%) and blocks (0.6 BPG) have been trending down which limits his upside, but the swingman’s appeal comes from his ability to fit into almost any build. His struggles from the field make him a natural fit for the punt FG% build and he’s also a great pick for the punt FT% build due to his dimes.

15) Goran Dragic (PG/SG) – It’s easy to forget that Dragic is only two years removed from a top-30 finish. Dwyane Wade, and his massive usage, destroyed Dragic’s value, but now that Wade is back home in Chicago, we should see the former Sun return to his top-50 ways. Chris Bosh’s future is still up in the air, and if he was to miss significant time, which at this point looks likely, Dragic will be the first option for the Heat. Expect across-the-board improvement for Dragic in 2015-2016. The last time Dragic spent a full season as the central point of an offense he averaged 20.3 PPG, 1.6 3PG, 5.9 APG, and 1.4 SPG while shooting 50.5% from the field.

16) DeMar DeRozan (SG/SF) – You know what you’re going to get with DeRozan. Lots of points (23.5 PPG) on middling efficiency (44.7 FG%), great numbers at the line (85.0 FT% on 8.4 FTA), and disappointing results from deep (0.6 3PG). Unless DeMar miraculously develops a three-ball, he will remain a high-floor, low-ceiling player. DeMar is a must-grab in the middle rounds for those punting threes.

17) Evan Fournier (SG/SF) – Yahoo must think that Fournier passed away over the summer, because I can’t think of any other reason why they would rank last season’s 68th most valuable player outside of the top-200. Now that Victor Oladipo is in Oklahoma City, Fournier has a real chance to lead the Magic in scoring. The problem with Fournier is that he does almost nothing outside of putting the ball in the basket (15.4 PPG). He doesn’t pass the ball (2.7 APG), doesn’t hit the boards (2.8 RPG), and blocks about as many shots as you and I do (0.0 BPG). His huge role keeps his floor relatively high, but the holes in Fournier’s line limit his ceiling to the middle rounds.

18) George Hill (PG/SG) – Hill is a perfect fit for the defensive-minded Jazz and is a massive upgrade on the combination of Trey Burke and Shelvin Mack that manned the position in 2015-2016. Hill should be able to improve on his top-80 2015-2016 finish now that he is no longer sharing a backcourt with Monta Ellis. He can play both guard spots so the return of Dante Exum should not worry those targeting Hill. The former Pacer has finished within the top-50 two of the past four seasons and could easily achieve that mark in 2016-2017.

19) J.J. Redick (SG) – The sharpshooter is similar to Enes Kanter in that he excels in five categories and gives you absolutely nothing in the other four. Redick provides above-average production in points (16.3 PPG), threes (2.7 3PG), FG% (48.0 FG%), FT% (88.8 FT%), and turnovers (1.0 TOPG). He also does everything possible to sabotage your assists (1.4 APG), boards (1.9 RPG), and defensive stats (0.6 SPG, 0.1 BPG). Redick has been a top-70 player in each of his three seasons in Los Angeles and is best utilized in the punt assists build.

20) Reggie Jackson (PG/SG) – Jackson is a good example of why the punt assists build is such an effective strategy. In order to draft Jackson this season, you’ll likely have to use a top-50 pick on him. Using a top-50 pick on a player who has never produced better than top-90 numbers, because he averages a handful of assists (6.2 APG), is never a good idea. You don’t get extra points for winning assists and managers need to avoid falling into the trap of overpaying for dimes. Jackson is close to undraftable at his current fourth-round ADP, but if you do manage to grab the point guard at a more reasonable price, expect above-average scoring (18.8 PPG) on below-average efficiency (43.4 FG%), solid threes (1.5 3PG), and disappointing swipes (0.7 SPG).

21) Avery Bradley (PG/SG) – Bradley’s proficiency from deep (1.9 3PG) is especially impressive when you consider that he came into league without any semblance of a jumper. The defensive stalwart has turned himself into a solid, mid-round option and is coming off a top-65 finish in 2015-2016. Bradley is another one of the “3-and-D” wing options that the middle rounds of drafts tend to be filled with. He scores more than most of his “3-and-D” peers (15.2 PPG), but struggles to match them on the boards (2.9 RPG).

22) Zach LaVine (PG/SG) – Tom Thibodeau loves to play his starters as many minutes as they can handle and that bodes well for Wolves’ starting shooting guard. LaVine was a top-75 player over the last three months of the season and is one of the few players who can be deadly from deep (2.4 3PG over the final two months) without killing your FG% (47.9 FG% over the final two months). Kris Dunn will split his time between both guard spots, so it’s unlikely that the lottery pick will have a major impact on LaVine’s minutes.

23) Wes Matthews (SG/SF) – Matthews tore his Achilles late in the 2014-2015 season so it was hardly a surprise that his 2015-2016 campaign was his worst in years. Now over a year removed from his injury, the three-point bomber is a solid bet for a bounce back season. Matthews showed signs of improvement as the 2015-2016 season went on. He was a top-85 player over the last month of the season and was able to play 36.7 MPG over that span without his body breaking down. Before his Achilles injury, Wes had managed five straight seasons of top-60 production and that is a fair estimate of his ceiling. Matthews is a lock to provide over two threes per night (2.4 3PG) and should see his FG% rebound. His 2015-2016 mark (38.8 FG%) was, by far, the lowest of his career.

24) J.R. Smith (SG/SF)  – The gunner still hasn’t re-signed with the Cavaliers, but there are no indications that J.R. will be playing anywhere else when the season starts. Smith has finished within the top-100 six years in a row and it’s very likely that he makes it seven. Smith has a very high floor due to his elite threes (2.6 3PG). I always target Smith aggressively when punting FT% as his threes, steals (1.1 SPG), and scoring upside (12.4 PPG) tend to fit very well with a team that is usually heavy on bigs and point guards at this point in the draft. Targeting J.R. also makes it easier to draft turnover-prone players such as John Wall and Eric Bledsoe earlier in the draft (0.8 TOPG).

25) Danny Green (SG/SF) – The normally reliable sharpshooter was a disaster in 2015-2016, managing to only make 1.5 3PM and only hit 37.6% of his shot attempts. It can’t get any worse. Green’s role, a role that allowed him to post top-25 value in 2014-2015, remains unchanged, which makes him one of the best late-round options available. The end of the draft is all about chasing upside and few players currently available in the final rounds has as much as Green. The Spur is an outstanding fit for the punt points build and is always an excellent source of out-of-position blocks (0.8 BPG).

26) Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (SG/SF) – Expect big things on the defensive end from one of the few fantasy-relevant players on the Nets. Hollis-Jefferson’s rookie year was ruined by an ankle injury, but in the 29 games that he did manage to suit up for, the former Wildcat showed that he has early-round potential. You won’t find a better source of defensive stats late in the draft. Hollis-Jefferson posted some monster per minute defensive numbers in his rookie year (2.3 SP36, 0.9 BPG) and should see close to 30 MPG for the depleted Nets. He will also be an excellent source of out-of-position boards (9.0 RPG). If you’re punting points, target him very aggressively (9.8 PP36). He has top-30 potential in that build.

27) Monta Ellis (PG/SG) – Monta no longer have it all. Ellis is coming off his worst regular season since his rookie year and appears to be declining. Monta averaged 18.9 PPG on 44.5% shooting in 2014-2015, but only managed 13.8 PPG on 42.7% shooting in 2015-2016. The Pacers’ acquisition of Jeff Teague doesn’t help matters. Teague will have the ball in his hands more often than George Hill did, which makes a bounce back season for Ellis unlikely. Despite his declining numbers, Monta remains a good fit the punt assists build and is one of the best sources of steals in the league (1.8 SPG).

28) Andrew Wiggins (SG/SF) – Wiggins’ game just doesn’t translate to fantasy value. The only category that Wiggins provided above-average production in last season was points (20.7 PPG). He doesn’t hit the boards (3.6 RPG), doesn’t pass 2.0 (APG), and gets most of his points inside of the arc (0.7 SPG). Despite playing 35.1 MPG last season, Wiggins only managed to be a top-115 player. Karl-Anthony Towns and Zach LaVine should have larger roles this season so it’s unlikely that we see a Wiggins take a major leap. He’s a solid points league option, but is best left alone in category leagues at his current mid-round price.

29) Kent Bazemore (SG/SF) – After an extremely strong start to the 2015-2016 campaign, Bazemore faded badly down the stretch, and was only a top-150 option over the last three months of the season. Despite the late-season struggles, Bazemore remains a solid target at the end of the middle rounds due to his upside and the likelihood that he is handed a larger role in the offense now that Al Horford is in Boston. Regardless of what happens on the offensive end, Bazemore will be a consistent source of defensive stats. He provides above-average steals (1.3 SPG) and is a sneaky source of out-of-position blocks (0.5 BPG).

30) Patrick Beverley (PG/SG) – If you’re are punting assists, and haven’t yet filled your point guard spot, Beverley should be near the top of your late-round wish list. James Harden is the Rockets’ de facto point guard and most of Beverley’s value comes from his ability to hit from deep (1.7 3PG) and his defensive prowess (1.3 SPG, 0.4 BPG). He doesn’t look to score (9.9 PPG), but that isn’t necessarily a bad thing. His lack of attempts limit the damage that his poor shooting from the floor (43.4 FG%) and line (68.2 FT%) can do. Beverley has been a top-100 player three seasons in a row and has top-75 potential now that Mike D’Antoni is running the show.

31) Jeremy Lin (PG/SG) – Lin has always been a poor per minute player and barely cracked the top-200 on a per minute basis in his lone season in Charlotte. In 2012-2013, his only season as an undisputed starter, Lin was able to provide top-90 per game value thanks to averages of 14.1 PPG and 6.1 APG. Those numbers look achievable, but Lin should not be considered before the seventh or eighth round of your draft due to his efficiency issues (41.2 FG%) and pedestrian supporting stats (1.0 3PG, 0.8 SPG).

32) Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (SG) – Coach Van Gundy trusts KCP more than anyone else on the Pistons and it shows in the minutes that the shooting guard plays. Only James Harden, Jimmy Butler, and Kyle Lowry averaged more minutes per game than Caldwell-Pope did last year (36.7 MPG). KCP is a poor per minute player, but his huge role allows him to be a very good source of threes (1.5 3PG) and steals (1.4 SPG). His lack of per minute production limits his upside so don’t target the Piston until the later rounds.

33) Kyle Korver (SG/SF) – I’m not ready to give up on Korver because it’s unclear if his disastrous 2015-2016 season was due to his slow recovery from ankle and elbow injuries or due to his advanced age. We’ll find out soon. Before Korver’s top-125 2015-2016 finish, the sharpshooter had posted three consecutive seasons of top-40 production. That type of potential isn’t common in the late-rounds and it makes Korver one of the best late-round targets for any build. He’s best matched with the punt points build due to his low scoring (9.2 PPG) and usually stellar percentages (48.7 FG%, 89.8 FT% in 2014-2015).

34) Rodney Hood (SG/SF) – Playing beside a NBA-level point guard should help Hood improve on his already stellar points (14.5 PPG) and triples (2.0 3PG) numbers. George Hill’s presence should help boost Hood’s below-average efficiency (42.0 FG%) as well. His ceiling is somewhat limited due to the lack of variety in his line (3.4 RPG, 2.7 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.2 BPG), but the Jazz’s sharpshooter still has top-80 potential.

35) Bradley Beal (SG) – The Wizards decided to give Beal the max this summer even though the shooting guard has played in an average of 59 games over the past two season and has said that he may have to be on a minutes limit for the rest of his career. I’m sure this will end well. Beal continues to be one of fantasy’s most overrated players. The injury prone guard has never finished better than 82nd-overall and was barely a top-100 player in the 55 games that he played in last season. Mediocre per game production and a habit of missing huge chunks of the season is never a good combination. When Beal is on the floor, expect above-average scoring (17.4 PPG) and threes (1.9 3PG) and not much else. The shooting guard provides little on the defensive end (1.0 SPG, 0.2 BPG) and scores on below-average efficiency (44.9 FG%, 76.7 FT%). Beal isn’t someone you target in drafts. He’s someone you scoop up at a discount after he falls.

36) Gary Harris (SG) – Harris, very quietly, had an excellent sophomore season for the Nuggets and was one of the better waiver wire pickups of 2015-2016. The shooting guard was a top-65 player over the last two months of the season and averaged a very useful 14.3 PPG, 1.5 3PG, and 1.4 SPG over that time frame. It’s hard to see Harris repeating that performance now that the Nuggets are healthy and rookie Jamal Murray is on the roster. Harris will likely start, but he’ll be the fourth or fifth option whenever he is on the floor.

37) Jordan Clarkson (PG/SG) – Clarkson fell victim to the Kobe Bryant retirement tour in 2015-2016 and only managed to provide top-115 value to his disappointed owners. The 2016-2017 campaign shouldn’t be quite as ugly for the shooting guard as the Mamba’s departure makes Clarkson one of the Lakers’ go-to options. Clarkson is a strong, late-round target for those punting assists. He has point guard eligibility and very little of his value is tied up in dimes (2.4 APG). Clarkson gives you everything else you’d hope for from a guard in his range (15.5 PPG, 1.4 3PG, 1.1 SPG) and should be a top-100 option this season. I have him ranked outside of the top-100 because his upside is limited by the presence of D’Angelo Russell and Brandon Ingram.

38) Brandon Knight (PG/SG) – The combo guard was a top-75 per game player last season, but the emergence of Devin Booker and the return of Eric Bledsoe, destroys any chance of a repeat performance. Knight has always been a poor per minute player and that top-75 finish was only made possible by an unsustainable 36.0 MPG average. Expect two threes per night, a handful of assists, and around 16 PPG from Knight this season.

39) Tyreke Evans (PG/SG) – Evans is not expected to be ready for the start of the season, which makes him a very risk pick for those playing in leagues without an IR spot. When he does return, he should have a significant role and post close to top-80 numbers. Expect extremely strong counting stats from Tyreke (15.2 PPG, 1.3 3PG, 5.2 RPG, 6.6. APG, 1.3 SPG) and to go along with disappointing efficiency numbers (43.5 FG%, 79.6 FT%, 2.9 TOPG). Tyreke is someone I would look to move near the trade deadline. The Pelicans are likely to be well out of the playoff race by the time the fantasy playoffs roll around and Tyreke, and his bad knees, will be a shutdown candidate.

40) Dwyane Wade (PG/SG) – Stay far away from Wade at his current seventh-round price. The Heat legend barely cracked the top-100 last season despite sporting a top-5 usage rate. Now that he is playing beside Rajon Rondo and Jimmy Butler, his scoring (19.0 PPG), and other counting stats, are a lock to decrease. Wade is no longer a difference-maker on the defensive end (1.1 SPG, 0.6 BPG), and it does not appear that a Jason Kidd-like, late-career shooting renaissance is on its way (0.2 3PG). Wade is a great bet to be one of fantasy’s most overdrafted players.

41) Buddy Hield (SG) – Next to Ben Simmons, Hield is arguably the most NBA-ready prospect in this year’s draft class and should be worth a look late. While I normally stay far away from rookie wings on draft night, Hield’s three-point prowess is hard to ignore. Buddy averaged an incredible 4.0 3PG on 45.7 3P% during his senior season at Oklahoma and his three-point shooting should allow him to hold late-round value. His landing spot could not have been better. Eric Gordon is in Houston and his departure leaves Buddy with as many minutes as he can handle. He’s a better target in points leagues than he is in category leagues as the majority of his value will come from his threes and scoring (25.0 PPG). Hield doesn’t project to be much of a creator (2.0 APG) or a force on the defensive end (1.1 SPG, 0.5 BPG).

42) Jerryd Bayless (PG/SG) – The journeyman has always been useful when given extended minutes and should start alongside the Sixers’ young studs. Bayless looks like he’ll be worth a late-round pick, just don’t expect many dimes from the combo guard. Ben Simmons will run the Sixers’ offense and Bayless will be used more as a spot up shooter than as a creator. Bayless has turned himself into a weapon from deep (1.9 3PG) and is a great target late for those punting assists and looking to fill their point guard spot.

43) Josh Richardson (SG/SF) – Richardson had some value as a three-point specialist in his rookie year and posted top-100 value over the last two months of the season. Over that span, he hit a very useful 1.7 3PM and was a sneaky source of out-of-position blocks (0.7 BPG). A top-100 finish is very possible as he should see plenty of minutes at both the two and the three. Richardson is not a lock to be ready for opening night due to a sprained right MCL, so owners interested in the swingman need to be prepared to be down a man for the first week or two of the season.

44) Wilson Chandler (SG/SF) – Chandler, one of the league’s most injury-prone players, missed the entire 2015-2016 campaign after undergoing hip surgery last November. He returns to a Nuggets team that is suddenly extremely deep on the wing. Chandler should see time at both the three and the four, but the uncertainty surrounding his role, and his inability to stay healthy, leaves Chandler as no more than a late-round flier. If the swingman is able to carve out a 28 MPG role, he could provide top-100 numbers. Chandler was a top-85 player in 2014-2015 and averaged 13.9 PPG, 1.8 3PG, and 6.1 RPG.

45) Devin Booker (SG) – Booker’s late-season breakout didn’t translate to more than late-round fantasy value. Despite playing 35.3 MPG over the last three months of the season, the rookie was only a top-175 option over that time frame. Over those three months, Booker posted some impressive popcorn stats (18.5 PPG, 1.7 3PG) that were more than offset by his inability to contribute anything on the defensive end (0.6 SPG, 0.4 BPG) and his poor shooting from the floor (40.3 FG%). The nature of Booker’s line, and the return of Eric Bledsoe and Brandon Knight, make it unlikely that the sophomore cracks the top-100. He will be most effective in points leagues where his shortcomings aren’t nearly as detrimental.

46) Will Barton (SG/SF) – Barton was a worthy contender for the Sixth Man of the Year Award in 2015-2016, but faded badly after a red-hot start to the season. Barton was only a top-150 option over the last three months of the season and the return of Wilson Chandler, and the drafting of Jamal Murray, leaves Barton’s role up in the air. Barton has shown that he can be effective in limited minutes, but it would take an injury or two to allow the swingman to replicate his top-85 2015-2016 finish. Most of Barton’s value comes from his scoring (14.4 PPG) and his ability to hit from deep (1.4 3PG).

47) Tyler Johnson (PG/SG) – Johnson was an intriguing late-round pick before the Josh Richardson injury. Now that Richardson is unlikely to be ready for the start of the season, Johnson is firmly in the standard league conversation. Johnson is hard to get a read on as an injury limited his sophomore campaign. However, the Heat paid the third-year player too much to just sit on the bench. He should see minutes at both guard spots and has shown the ability to score efficiently (48.8%) and create a little bit (3.3 AP36). Don’t expect more than average numbers from deep (1.1 3P36) and on the defensive end (1.0 SP36).

48) Matt Barnes (SG/SF) – Barnes is an interesting late-round target as the 36-year-old played under the Kings’ new coach Dave Joerger in Memphis and has finished within, or close to, the top-100 four years in a row. Barnes is a threat from deep (1.6 3PG) and is an very good rebounder from the wing (5.5 RPG). Expect Barnes’ efficiency (38.1 FG%) to improve now that he is surrounded by more offensively talented teammates. If Rudy Gay is moved, grabbing Barnes late will likely result in a profit.

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