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Shooting Guards

1) Steph Curry (PG/SG) – I’m taking Durant every time with the top pick. If you are fortunate enough to get a pick that falls between two and eight, then pick the player who fits your preferred build. There is very little difference between the next seven players. For now, I have Steph at two. It’s hard to argue against a player who has finished first-overall in total value three seasons in a row. Steph is a monster who fits just about every build. I prefer him in punt FT% or punt points, or if you’re not comfortable with either, punt blocks. Despite his all-time efficiency at the line, he’s a great fit for the punt FT% build because he brings everything that the punt FT% bigs do not. Elite scoring (25.3 PPG), very good assists (6.6 APG), close to league-leading steals (1.8 SPG), and I heard he’s not terrible from beyond the arc (4.1 3PG). He also fits the punt points build very well due to his efficiency. Curry actually had a down year from the floor last season (46.8 FG%), but it’s unlikely that his FG% continues to be that low. Curry shot 41.1% from deep last season, which incredibly, was the worst connection rate of his career. If he gets back to the mid-40s, where he had been the prior two seasons, that FG% is all of a sudden back to being elite.

2) James Harden (PG/SG) – After a MVP-level season at point guard, Harden moves back to the two with Chris Paul now in town. He’ll still be an elite fantasy option, but his line will look different. He won’t come close to averaging the 11.2 APG that he did in 2016-2017. The 7.5 APG that he averaged in 2015-2016 feels much more realistic. The biggest threat to Harden’s value is not Paul, but the quality of his team. The Rockets are going to be extremely good this season and will be involved in plenty of blowouts which could lead to drop in minutes (36.4 MPG). Mike D’Antoni has talked about resting Harden more this season so don’t expect 81 games either. Like Westbrook, Harden is a no-brainer for the punt FG% build. Even with Paul in town, it’s likely that he’ll still force you to punt turnovers as well (4.6 TOPG in 2015-2016).

3) Kawhi Leonard (SG/SF) – Getting Leonard at eight feels like a steal, but it goes to show how deep the top of the draft is this year. Kawhi has been a top-4 player in punt assists the past two seasons and barring injury, will be, at worst, a top-4 option in that build this season. Kawhi, Towns, Durant, and Davis will be the top-4 punt assists players in some order. That is very close to a lock. That was the top-4 last season, and fifth place wasn’t close. So, at worst, you’re getting the fourth-best player in your build at eight if you pick Leonard and punt assists. That’s a pretty good deal. I have Kawhi at eight because he’s the riskiest of the top-8 players. Anthony Davis has missed more games over the past two years, but with the Pelicans being a borderline playoff team next season, it’s unlikely he ever sits for rest purposes or with a minor injury.

4) Jimmy Butler (SG/SF) – Butler has been a top-15 player three seasons in a row and there’s no reason why he can’t maintain that type of production in Minnesota. Coach Thibodeau is going to play Jimmy a dangerous amount of minutes, so even with Karl-Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggins taking plenty of shots, that extremely nice all-around line should still be there. However, I have two issues with Jimmy. The obvious one is his health. Butler has only played over 70 games once in his last four seasons. My second issue with Butler is that he doesn’t fit that well into any build. You could argue that he’s a good fit for punt threes (1.2 3PG),  but that’s likely not going to be your first choice when choosing your draft strategy. Jimmy is a great Roto option, but he does take a hit in H2H formats. He should continue to excel on the defensive end (1.9 SPG, 0.4 BPG) and his offensive numbers could look similar to what he produced in 2015-2016 (20.9 PPG, 4.8 APG).

5) Klay Thompson (SG/SF) – Klay is a boring third-round pick, but boring is not necessarily a bad thing. Blowing an early-round pick is usually extremely difficult to recover from. If your studs aren’t performing, you’re going to need to hit late, which is never a guarantee. With Kevin Durant in Oakland, Klay’s ceiling is capped, but he is still a very good bet to return top-30 numbers. Only his backcourt partner was deadlier from deep (3.4 3PG) and Klay is one of the most efficient three-point bombers in the league (46.8 FG%, 85.3 FT%). Thompson is also a sneaky source of out-of-position blocks (0.5 BPG). If you are punting assists, Klay is one of your primary third-round targets.

6) C.J. McCollum (PG/SG) – Klay Thompson and McCollum are two of the best third-round targets for teams punting assists. McCollum has PG eligibility on Yahoo and provides owners with extremely efficient, high-volume scoring (23.0 PPG on 48.0 FG%). He is also deadly from deep (2.3 3PG) and takes good care of the ball (2.2 TOPG). His FT% is both puzzling and incredibly impressive. He came into the league a poor FT% shooter and only shot 67.6% from the line in his rookie year. He stayed below 70% in his sophomore year and then took a huge leap to 82.7% in his third year. Then he goes out and leads the league in FT% (91.2 FT%) in his fourth year. That type of improvement is unheard of. I’ve bet against McCollum’s FT% in the past, but I’m not going to do it this year. He may not lead the league in FT% again, but he should be a very good source of FT% impact in 2017-2018.

7) Victor Oladipo (PG/SG) – The Pacers are Oladipo, Myles Turner, and not much else. Darren Collison is a low-usage point guard and won’t be a threat to Oladipo’s usage. A return to his massive Orlando numbers is very possible. The shooting guard was a top-35 player in final season in Orlando and was flirting with first-round value near the end of the season. That season he averaged 16.0 PPG, 1.4 3PG, 3.9 APG, 1.6 SPG, and 0.8 BPG. Those numbers look very obtainable and he’s one of the best point guard options for those punting dimes.

8) Khris Middleton (SG/SF) – Middleton’s 2016-2017 campaign was remarkable. He tore his hamstring in preseason, beat his timeline by over a month, and then almost immediately became a mid-round player. Think about what he can do now that he’s fully healthy. Jabari Parker won’t return until February at the absolute earliest, so Middleton will be the clear second-option for the Bucks. The Buck is one of the best 3-and-D options available after the early rounds and was a top-30 player in 2015-2016. A second-round finish is not out of the question and it’s very possible that he matches or exceeds the 18.2 PPG, 1.8 3PG, 4.2 APG, and 1.7 SPG that he averaged two seasons ago. Middleton is also one of more underrated sources of FT% impact. In his last healthy season, he shot 88.8% from the line on 3.9 attempts a night.

9) Bradley Beal (SG) – It feels like there are a lot of risky picks in the third round this season. Beal finally had a healthy season in 2016-2017, but it’s still hard to be completely comfortable drafting Beal in the early rounds. The risk with Beal is not only injury-related. His jump in scoring (23.1 PPG) was accompanied by a massive efficiency improvement (48.1 FG%, 82.5 FT%). Often when a player’s efficiency increases this much (44.9 FG%, 76.7 FT% in 2015-2016), they regress slightly the next season. Beal is still young, so some of that improvement is likely permanent, but he’s not a lock to match his 2016-2017 numbers. The Wizard is great boon to your threes (2.9 3PG), but provides little on the defensive end (1.1 SPG, 0.3 BPG).

10) Gordon Hayward (SG/SF) – Hayward is coming off the best season of his career. A giant jump in efficiency lead to a third-round finish. His 47.2% success rate from the field was easily his highest since he became a premier player for the Jazz. He leaves the Jazz for a much more efficient Celtics offense, but unfortunately, that also means that he is no longer the first-option on his team. Kyrie Irving hurts Hayward’s ceiling and managers should stay away from Hayward until the fourth. Drafting Hayward in the third is drafting him at his ceiling, something you always want to avoid.

11) DeMar DeRozan (SG/SF) – I have the same problem with DeRozan that I do with Beal. The Raptor’s leading scorer is coming off of a season where his shooting improved significantly from almost every spot on the floor. He shot nearly 8% better from 10-16 feet last season despite increasing his volume from that distance. He had a slightly smaller increases from 16 feet to the three point as well. It’s not a lock that DeMar’s shooting regresses, but managers targeting DeRozan shouldn’t just assume that last year’s breakout season is the new normal for the Raptor. There’s talk of DeRozan improving his three-point shot this offseason (0.4 3PG on 26.6 3P%), but I’ll believe it when I see it. If you’re punting threes, DeMar is a must-grab. Punt threes teams often struggle with points and FT% and DeMar excels in both areas (27.3 PPG, 84.2 FT% on 8.7 FTA). You’ll have to find your defensive stats elsewhere though. The All-Star is still a lost cause on defense (1.0 SPG, 0.2 BPG).

12) Gary Harris (SG/SF) – Gary Harris needs to be near the top of every manager’s wishlist. He can likely be had for a sixth or even seventh-round pick, but managers shouldn’t feel like they have to wait that long to scoop up Harris. He was a top-55 player last season, and was even better down the stretch. Over the last two months of the season, the shooting guard was a top-30 option. What makes Harris special, and what gives him early-round upside, is his efficiency. The Nugget hit over half his shots last season (50.3 FG%) despite many of his attempts coming from deep (1.9 3PG). Those punting points (14.9 PPG) or assists (2.8 APG) should pay especially close attention to Harris.

13) Trevor Ariza (SG/SF) – Another year, another top-40 finish for Ariza. His age (32) is a bit of a concern, but any slippage should cancelled out by the addition of an all-time great playmaker to his team’s backcourt. At this point, you know what you’re going to get from Ariza. He provides a ton of threes (2.4 3PG), elite steals (1.8 SPG), and helps you on the boards (5.7 RPG). He is also one of the better mid-round options for those looking to keep their turnovers under control (0.9 TOPG). He has top-25 upside in the punt points build, and is also a great addition to any team punting FG% (41.0 FG%), FT%, or assists.

14) Goran Dragic (PG/SG) – Dwyane Wade and his massive usage leaving South Beach did wonders for Dragic’s value. He was a top-55 player last season after failing to crack the top-100 in 2015-2016. Dragic has settled in as a mid-round point guard and continues to be one of the better sources of FG% impact from the point guard position (47.4 FG%). If you’re looking for a point guard who will help you everywhere but not truly standout in any category, Dragic is your guy. Last season, he averaged 20.3 PPG, 1.6 3PG, 5.8 APG, and 1.2 SPG. All of that looks repeatable outside of the scoring. Now that the Heat are back to full strength, his scoring numbers should take a small hit.

15) Nicolas Batum (SG/SF) – If Batum could hit a shot (40.3 FG%), he’d be a top-30 player. He is an excellent passer (5.9 APG), is reliable from deep (1.8 3PG), and is also a very good rebounder for a shooting guard (6.3 RPG). His ability to contribute positively in almost every category makes him a good fit for most builds, but besides punt FG%, he is most effective in punt FT% and punt points builds. Punt points is an obvious fit (15.1 PPG), but you need to plan carefully to fully maximize Batum in punt FT%. When you’re punting FT%, being strong in FG% is not a guarantee. You need to pair the obvious big man targets with plenty of point guards or high-assist players and that can drag down your FG% quickly. Batum is one of those players, so if you do select him, make sure that your other assist targets are reasonably efficient.

16) D’Angelo Russell (PG/SG) – I don’t expect Russell to finish this high in the rankings and you’ll want to stay away from the newest Net in Roto. His FG% (40.5 FG%) and turnovers (2.8 TOPG) are going to be ugly. However, he can still be an outstanding H2H weapon if paired with the proper build. I love the idea of starting a draft with either Harden or Westbrook and waiting until the fifth round to grab Russell. That gives you a few rounds to load up on stud big men who help keep you competitive in rebounds and blocks. Russell could be an early-round player in the punt FG%/turnovers punt build and will come at a mid-round price. He should average close to 20 PPG and 3.0 3PG as the Nets’ first option. He’ll also be a decent source of assists (4.8 APG) and an above-average producer in the steals column (1.4 SPG).

17) Patrick Beverley (PG/SG) – We’re about the find out what Beverley can really do. He’s played his entire career beside James Harden and will have a much bigger role than ever before with the Clippers. He’s not going to score much (9.5 PPG), but it’s very possible that his assists rise (4.2 APG) given the lack of quality passers in the Clippers’ backcourt. Beverley could end up a deadly punt points force. Last season, the defensive standout was a top-40 player in that build and has a very good chance to improve on that finish this season. Beverley is always solid from deep (1.6 3PG) and his defensive talents translate to the box score (1.5 SPG, 0.4 BPG). He posted some impressive rebounding numbers last season (5.9 RPG), but he is unlikely to repeat that feat now that he’s playing alongside DeAndre Jordan and Blake Griffin.

18) Avery Bradley (PG/SG) – Bradley was sacrificed by the Celtics to make room for Gordon Hayward, but should continue to be a solid mid-round player in Detroit. He has no competition for playing time and the Pistons have indicated that they view Bradley as a core piece going forward. He should see enough minutes to maintain his 2016-2017 scoring rate (16.3 PPG) and will do plenty of damage from deep (2.0 3PG). Despite his defensive reputation, Bradley is only an average source of defensive numbers (1.3 SPG, 0.2 BPG). Owners shouldn’t expect a repeat of last season’s rebounding rate (6.1 RPG). Like Patrick Beverley, his rebounding is going to limited by his teammates. Bradley is a excellent fit for the punt assists build (2.2 APG) on Yahoo, but unfortunately he does lose some value in ESPN leagues. He does not have point guard eligibility on that platform.

19) Lou Williams (PG/SG) – It won’t take long for Doc Rivers to figure out that Williams is, by far, the best offensive guard on his roster and the minutes should follow. He likely won’t start, but as we’ve seen in the past that doesn’t matter. Lou was an afterthought in Houston, but should have a much bigger role with the Clippers. Before the trade to the Rockets, Williams was a top-60 player and a dominant force on offense. He only played 24.2 MPG with the Lakers, but still managed to average 18.6 PPG and 2.1 3PG. Those are excellent numbers, but what makes Lou truly valuable in his FT% impact. Before the trade, he was having a top-10 impact on the category (87.6 FT% on 6.3 FTA). He’s going to have a big role for the Clippers and those punting assists should target Williams very aggressively.

20) George Hill (PG/SG) – If Hill stays healthy, he could crush this ranking. The last time Hill had a role as large as what he’s stepping into in Sacramento, he was a top-35 player. The injury risk here is very real. Hill tends to get beat up as the season goes on and has failed to play 50 games in two of the past three seasons. There’s also some risk that the Kings shut down Hill at the end the season. The Kings will need to take advantage of the 2018 draft as they may not have their pick in 2019. When Hill is on the floor, he has the ability to provide good, but not great, production across-the-board. His 2016-2017 numbers look very repeatable. In his one year with the Jazz, the veteran averaged 16.9 PPG, 1.9 3PG, 4.1 APG, and 1.0 SPG to go along with very good percentages (47.8 FG%, 80.1 FT%).

21) Malcolm Brogdon (PG/SG) – Brogdon became one of the most unlikely Rookie of the Year winners in 2016-2017 and his strong play translated to quite a bit of fantasy value. He improved as the season went on and was a top-65 player after the All-Star break. Giannis Antetokounmpo runs the Bucks’ offense, but that doesn’t stop Brogdon from being a steady source of assists (4.3 APG). He doesn’t light the world on fire in any category, but he doesn’t hurt you anywhere either. Unlike most rookie point guards, he didn’t struggle the field (45.8 FG%) or with turnovers (1.5 TOPG) in his maiden season.

22) Jeremy Lin (PG/SG) – Lin was very good when he was on the court last season, but that wasn’t very often. He managed to be a top-80 per game player last season despite only playing 24.5 MPG. He’ll share the Nets’ backcourt with D’Angelo Russell this season. The arrival of Russell shouldn’t hurt Lin’s value too much. Both players are comfortable playing off the ball and both should start for the Nets. Lin should be able to better the 14.5 PPG, 1.6 3PG, 5.1 APG, and 1.1 SPG that he produced last season and is a quality mid-round option for those who want to avoid the point guard rush that usually takes place earlier in the draft.

23) Jamal Murray (PG/SG) – Murray is going to start for the Nuggets this year and have a big season. The question is how big. We know he score (16.5 PP36) and we know he can shoot the three-ball (2.3 3P36). He should also be good for five or so apples now that he’ll be a full-time starter. What will ultimately determine Murray’s value this season is his steals and his FG%. He was extremely mediocre in both in his rookie season. He only produced 1.1 SP36 and shot 40.5% from the floor. The good news is that both of those numbers went up as the year went along. He’s being overhyped on some sites and underrated on others like Yahoo. Eighth-round feels about right for Murray. I like his prospects this year, but there are plenty of quality point guards in the league these days and you shouldn’t reach too far for any of them.

24) Seth Curry (PG/SG) – Curry was one of the more surprising 2016-2017 breakout players. He actually had a stretch in the middle of the season where he was putting up numbers that weren’t far off his brother’s. He was a top-50 player after the All-Star break and badly outplayed Wes Matthews. Curry is another strong punt assists point guard option (2.7 APG) and is one of the few players who can boost both your threes (2.0 3PG) and your FG% (48.1 FG%). Pair the younger Curry with strong rebounders and he hurts your boards more than most guards do (2.5 RPG).

25) Andre Iguodala (SG/SF) – Players like Iguodala are why I love the punt points build so much. That build puts so many more options in play and allows you to scoop up useful players with little competition. You probably could have grabbed Iguodala off the wire last season. If you did that, and were punting points, then you got a top-60 player for free. He was even better when it counted and was posting top-40 numbers without points during the fantasy playoffs. You’ll likely be able to wait until the end of the draft to grab Iguodala, but if you’re punting points, feel free to reach for him a round or two early.

26) Devin Booker (SG) – Booker is a trap and is going to be overdrafted in almost all drafts. There’s a lot more to fantasy than PPG and Booker hasn’t yet proven that he can be a consistent contributor outside of the scoring categories. He also hasn’t proven that he can be a valuable fantasy option when Eric Bledsoe is on the floor. Booker has finished hot in both of his seasons in the league, but those hot finishes came with Bledsoe in a suit. Despite playing 35.0 MPG and averaging 22.1 PPG and 1.9 3PG while shooting 83.2% from the line, Booker was barely a top-130 player last season. That goes to show how little he contributes everywhere else. A top-100 finish is not guaranteed. Stay far, far away at his current price.

27) Terrence Ross (SG/SF) – Ross’ role with the Magic was much larger than it was with the Raptors and the increased opportunity lead to a top-90 performance after the All-Star break. The swingman doesn’t contribute in enough categories to be more than a mid-round player, but if you’re in need of threes and defensive stats, you could do worse. After the All-Star break, Ross averaged 1.9 3PG, 1.4 SPG, and 0.5 BPG.

28) Darren Collison (PG/SG) – Assuming Collison beats out Cory Joseph for the starting job, which he should, he’ll be a reasonable option late in drafts for those who didn’t want to overpay for assists earlier. Collison has been a top-100 player three seasons in a row and had a top-50 peak in 2014-2015. Victor Oladipo will be the Pacers primary option in the backcourt which keeps Collison’s ceiling in check, but a repeat of Collison’s solid 2016-2017 season is doable. In his final season with the Kings, the point guard posted averages of 13.2 PPG, 1.1 3PG, 4.6 APG, and 1.0 SPG. Those numbers won’t win you any leagues, but when you combine them with Collison’s stellar percentages (47.6 FG%, 86.0 FT%), you have yourself a very useful player who is good value this late in the draft.

29) J.J. Redick (SG) – Redick is leaving one of the best offenses in the league, but his new digs aren’t too shabby either. The Sixers are pushing for the playoffs this season and Redick should be able to at least match the 28.2 MPG that he averaged in 2016-2017. The Sixers’ offense was terrible last year, but they did play at a top-5 pace and that should continue now that Markelle Fultz is lining up at point guard. Drafting Redick is a good way to boost your points (15.0 PPG), threes (2.6 3PG), and FT% (89.1 FT%) late in drafts. You’ll have to look for boards (2.2 RPG), dimes (1.4 APG), and defensive stats (0.7 SPG, 0.2 BPG) elsewhere.

30) Zach LaVine (PG/SG) – LaVine likely won’t be ready at the beginning of the season and will be brought along slowly once he does return. However, he shouldn’t be ignored if you play in a league with an IR spot. He was a top-60 player last season and is going to have a massive role with the Bulls once he does return to full strength, especially with Dwyane Wade looking like he’s headed out the door. He could be a difference maker during the fantasy playoffs and is a dream point guard option for those punting assists. He should eventually be a major boon to your points (18.9 PPG) and threes (2.6 3PG) and will help you in those categories without dragging down your FG% (46.0 FG). If you don’t play with an IR spot, then I would wait a little longer to grab LaVine.

31) Andrew Wiggins (SG/SF) – Let’s take a look at Wiggins’ 2016-2017 line:

23.6 PPG, 1.3 3PG, 4.0 RPG, 2.3 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.3 BPG, 45.2 FG%, 76.0 FT%, 2.3 TOPG

Now take your hand and cover his scoring average. You’ll notice that there is almost nothing else to like in that line. His three-point shooting might look impressive, but 1.3 3PG is now very average. Wiggins hasn’t provided above-average value in any non-points category the past two years. That is an impressive feat for someone who is among the league leaders in minutes played. Given Wiggins’ need to score to be relevant in fantasy circles, the arrival of Jimmy Butler is a very bad thing. Wiggins has yet to post top-100 numbers for a season and there’s a good chance that his streak continues in 2017-2018. He is laughably overpriced at his current mid-round ADP.

32) Joe Ingles (SG/SF) – Ingles is the biggest beneficiary of Gordon Hayward’s departure and needs to be on everyone’s sleeper list. If you are punting points, this man needs to find a way onto your team. Without points, Ingles has top-70 potential. His numbers as a starter last season were very good. The Australian produced 2.0 3PG, 1.5 SPG, 4.0 RPG, and 3.4 APG in the games he started. As a bonus, Ingles is very sturdy. He’s only missed four games in his career.

33) Evan Fournier (SG/SF) – You’ll notice that many of the upcoming players are players who have been very good fantasy options in the past but have fallen on hard times as of late. At this point in the draft, it doesn’t matter if the player that you pick busts. There will be plenty of quality free agents available early in the season to replace those players. So swing for the fences and don’t settle for a player with a top-135 floor and a top-110 ceiling. Fournier followed up his top-70 2015-2016 by falling on his face. He was only a top-125 player last season despite taking on a larger role on offense. The Magic signed Jonathon Simmons this offseason, but Fournier should still have a major role as the team is absolutely starved for scoring. Only the Sixers were worse than the Magic on offense last season. The swingman should be a quality source of points (16.9 PPG) and threes (1.9 3PG), and if his efficiency returns to 2015-2016 levels (46.2 FG%, 83.6 FT%), he’ll likely be a top-100 player.

34) Tyler Johnson (PG/SG) – Johnson is in the same position as the other Johnson on the Heat roster. He is coming off of a very good season, but with the Heat returning to full health, his role, and minutes, are up in the air. Justise Winslow’s return will move some of Josh Richardson’s minutes to the two and Dion Waiters will see plenty of minutes at shooting guard as well. How this will all shake out is yet to be determined and the Heat will have one of the more interesting training camps this year. Johnson is good defensive player (1.2 SPG, 0.6 BPG) who is also proficient from deep (1.3 3PG). He is a good fit for the punt assists build due to his point guard eligibility and his lack of dependence on dimes to boost his value (3.2 APG).

35) Tim Hardaway Jr. (SG/SF) – How you value Hardaway depends on what you think the Knicks will do with Carmelo Anthony. Hardaway’s value is very dependent on his scoring numbers and obviously Carmelo’s presence is going to have a very large impact on Hardaway’s PPG. If Melo is moved, a top-100, even top-85 finish, is very possible. If he’s not, then Hardaway’s floor gets a little scary. He’s a risky player given his lack of statistical diversity. If you do draft Hardaway, you’ll be doing it for his scoring (17.5 PPG over the last two months of the season) and threes (2.1 3PG over the last two months of the season).

36) Dwyane Wade (PG/SG) – Wade carries even more risk than usual this season and that is saying something. He’s in a no-win situation. If he stays with the Bulls, he’ll be a major shutdown candidate at the end of the season. If he’s bought out or moved, then his role is likely to decrease. Neither is ideal, but a move would be for the best since some production is better than no production. Wade’s 2016-2017 was very encouraging. After years of seeing his defensive numbers decline, they were back with a vengeance in Chicago (1.4 SPG, 0.7 BPG). Those numbers suggest that Wade still has plenty left in the tank physically. His efficiency continued to drop (43.3 FG%), but that was to be expected given the how poorly last season’s Bulls’ roster fit together. Grab Wade late if you need scoring (18.3 PPG) and defensive stats and are comfortable gambling on his health during the fantasy playoffs.

37) Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (SG) – Caldwell-Pope is a poor per minute player whose value is dependent on playing huge amounts of minutes. Fortunately for KCP, he should continue to play huge minutes with the Lakers. If you need points (13.8 PPG), threes (2.0 3PG), and steals (1.2 SPG), you could do worse late. If you do decide to jump on the KCP train, make sure you have plenty of FG% already on your roster (39.9 FG%).

38) Reggie Jackson (PG/SG) – Jackson never fully got over the knee tendinitis that cost him the first 21 games of the season. The point guard only played 27.4 MPG last season and was droppable after Christmas. Jackson’s game is not fantasy-friendly, but he should much better this season now that he’s healthy. His complete lack of defensive stats (0.7 SPG, 0.1 BPG) and his terrible rebounding (2.2 RPG) have always plagued him. In fact, Jackson has only cracked the top-100 once in his career. However, you usually can’t find assists like Jackson’s in the final rounds (5.2 APG). He can also help you win points (18.8 PPG in 2015-2016) and is always a big help at the free-throw line (86.6 FT%).

39) Allen Crabbe (PG/SG) – Crabbe could not have asked for a better team to be traded to. He’ll see plenty of minutes and is joining a team that was not shy about putting up triples. The Nets didn’t connect from deep at a high rate, but they sure did hoist them at a high rate. Only the Rockets, Cavaliers, and Celtics took more threes than the Nets did last season. Crabbe should start for the Nets at small forward and his role makes 2.5 3PG a real possibility. Like most three-point specialists, his upside is limited by the lack of variety in his game. Besides points, threes, very low turnovers (0.8 TOPG), and respectable percentages (46.8 FG%, 84.7 FT%), Crabbe brings almost noting to the table (3.3 RPG, 1.5 APG, 0.7 SPG, 0.3 BPG).

40) Rodney Hood (SG/SF) – The Jazz will look to Hood to make up much of the scoring that they lost when Gordon Hayward left for Boston. Expect both his minutes (27.0 MPG) and shot attempts (11.3 FGA) to increase. Hood was barely a top-200 player last season, but he did crack the top-95 in 2015-2016 when he played 32.2 MPG. He can be a top-100 player due to his scoring (16.9 PP36) and threes (2.6 3P36), but his lack of defensive stats (0.9 SP36, 0.2 BP36), keep his ceiling out of the middle-rounds.

41) Buddy Hield (SG) – Hield is another player who will help you win points and threes and leave you wishing that he contributed in more categories. Hield was given all the freedom he could ask for after the somehow ending up as the main piece coming back to the Kings for DeMarcus Cousins. The results were decent. Hield was a top-120 player over the last two months of the season and averaged 14.1 PPG and 2.3 3PG over that span. What gave him value is that he did it pretty efficiently (47.4 FG%, 80.4 FT%). Maintaining that kind of efficiency while making over two threes a night is not easy, so Hield may not be able to replicate his hot finish to the year. If Buddy is every going to break into the middle-rounds, he’s going to have to find at least one more category to be a consistent contributor in. Right now, what that category could be is not clear. His defensive stats were non-existent in his rookie year (0.5 SPG, 0.1 BPG) and he hasn’t shown a willingness to pass the ball (1.5 APG).

42) Danny Green (SG/SF) – Green’s value is very build-dependent. Last season, he was a borderline top-80 option in punt points. If you weren’t punting points, he was only a top-120 option. His threes (1.7 3PG), steals (1.1 SPG), and out-of-position blocks (0.8 BPG), keep his floor high, but his days of having a mid-round ceiling appear over. The Spurs didn’t add anything to their backcourt this season so Green’s minutes are safe.

43) Kent Bazemore (SG/SF) – Bazemore didn’t come close to matching his 2015-2016 top-75 finish last season. He experienced a major drop in his rebounding rate (3.1 RPG) and saw his efficiency plummet (40.8 FG%, 70.8 FT%). His rebounding should improve with Dwight Howard in Charlotte, but his percentages are harder to predict. The Hawks will be lacking quality offensive options next season which will make it hard for Bazemore to score efficiently. He’s also only had one season in the league where he shot better than 71% from the charity stripe. Expect very good defensive stats from Bazemore (1.3 SPG, 0.7 BPG) to go along with respectable triples (1.3 3PG).

44) Norman Powell (SG/SF) – It looks like this is the year that Powell finally gets the minutes that he’s long deserved. He’ll battle C.J. Miles for the Raptors’ starting small forward spot and should see plenty of run regardless of where he starts the game. Powell is already a very good player, but if he’s going to make an impact on the fantasy scene, he’s going to have to improve his per minute production. He was only a top-200 per minute player last season and produced mediocre numbers in the categories that he’s going to have to excel in in order to crack the top-100 (1.5 3P36, 1.3 SP36, 0.4 BP36). For now, he’s only a late-round flier.

45) Eric Gordon (SG) – Gordon won the Sixth Man of the Year award because he had an exceptionally hot start. He was extremely mediocre in the New Year and didn’t even hold top-150 value over the last three months of the season. The arrival of Chris Paul doesn’t help matters and Gordon should see his role and minutes shrink. Gordon will be great from deep (3.3 3PG) and will score more than most players available after the middle rounds (16.2 PPG), but he’s not going to return value on his current eighth-round price.

46) Andre Roberson (SG/SF) – Roberson was probably on-and-off your waiver wire all season long last year. His lack of scoring (6.6 PPG) scares off managers who place too much value on the points category. He’s never going to be a scorer, but he can be a very effective asset in the right situation. If you ignored points last season, he was a top-100 player. If you punted both points and FT%, he was a top-60 option. I strongly prefer Roberson in the double-punt over just a regular punt points build. The FT% hit that accompanies Roberson is significant (42.3 FT%). Despite only averaging 1.4 FTA, only one wing player had a larger negative effect on the category. That was LeBron James who got to the line an average of 7.2 times a night. The arrival of Paul George shouldn’t have a significant impact on Roberson’s outlook as almost all of his value comes on the defensive end (1.2 SPG, 1.0 BPG) and on the boards (5.1 RPG).

47) Brandon Ingram (SG/SF) – Ingram was a disappointment as a rookie both on the court and in fantasy. His efficiency was horrendous (40.2 FG%, 62.1 FT%) and he couldn’t get anything going on the defensive end either (0.6 SPG, 0.5 BPG). He’s got a long way to go. Fortunately, at his current 11th-round price, the risk is minimal. He’s still an elite prospect whose college numbers suggest will be a very good fantasy asset one day. I’m rather gamble on Ingram than someone like Courtney Lee who may have a higher floor, but whose ceiling is very low.

48) Will Barton (SG/SF) – Danilo Gallinari’s move to Los Angeles opens up some minutes for Barton and he’ll be worth a look late on draft day. Barton slipped last season, but was a still a top-120 option who helped owners in the points (13.7 PPG) and threes (1.5 3PG) columns. He can also be a sneaky source of blocks (0.5 BPG) and assists (3.4 APG). Barton will need to improve his swipes (0.8 SPG) to crack the top-100 this season.

49) J.R. Smith (SG/SF) – The normally reliable Smith is coming off of a lost season. He missed almost all of training camp and preseason and then sat out 41 games, mostly due to a fractured thumb. Before last season, the three-point bomber had been a top-100 player in both of his seasons with the Cavaliers. With Isaiah Thomas looking like he’ll miss time, Smith should see a few more touches and could find himself within the top-100 once again. Like most of the wings available this late, most of Smith’s value is going to come from threes (2.3 3PG) and steals (1.0 SPG). His FG% was laughably bad last season (34.6 FG%), but last season was first time since the 2005-2006 season that Smith failed to break 40%. He’s a lock to improve to improve his shooting. How much he does will determine how high he rises in the rankings.

50) Wes Matthews (SG/SF) – So far, no notable player has been able to overcome a torn Achilles. Matthews’ hasn’t been able to get back to his pre-injury efficiency levels (39.3 FG%) and that has tanked his value. He really struggled down the stretch of last season and even his triples output faltered (1.6 3PG over the last two months of the season). Matthews will compete with Seth Curry for playing time and if he continues to struggle, Curry could surpass him for good.

51) Tyreke Evans (SG/SF) – Ben McLemore is going to miss the start of the season and that will give Evans an opportunity to get off to a hot start. Even when McLemore returns, Evans will be, at worst, the team’s sixth man. This is a good landing spot for Evans, the only question is, and it’s a big one, is whether or not he can stay healthy for a full NBA season. Evans has only played 65 games in total the past two seasons. The Kings even limited his minutes last year and it didn’t help. If Tyreke can finally stay healthy, he can post some flashy popcorn stats. His 2015-2016 per game numbers were excellent and give you an idea of what he can do when he’s feeling good (15.2 PPG, 1.3 3PG, 5.2 RPG, 6.6 APG, 1.3 SPG).