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Point Guards

1) Steph Curry (PG/SG) – I’m taking Durant every time with the top pick. If you are fortunate enough to get a pick that falls between two and eight, then pick the player who fits your preferred build. There is very little difference between the next seven players. For now, I have Steph at two. It’s hard to argue against a player who has finished first-overall in total value three seasons in a row. Steph is a monster who fits just about every build. I prefer him in punt FT% or punt points, or if you’re not comfortable with either, punt blocks. Despite his all-time efficiency at the line, he’s a great fit for the punt FT% build because he brings everything that the punt FT% bigs do not. Elite scoring (25.3 PPG), very good assists (6.6 APG), close to league-leading steals (1.8 SPG), and I heard he’s not terrible from beyond the arc (4.1 3PG). He also fits the punt points build very well due to his efficiency. Curry actually had a down year from the floor last season (46.8 FG%), but it’s unlikely that his FG% continues to be that low. Curry shot 41.1% from deep last season, which incredibly, was the worst connection rate of his career. If he gets back to the mid-40s, where he had been the prior two seasons, that FG% is all of a sudden back to being elite.

2) Russell Westbrook (PG) – Westbrook was dominant in six categories last season (31.6 PPG, 2.5 3PG, 10.7 RPG, 10.4 APG, 1.7 SPG, 84.5 FT% on 10.4 FTA) and will likely be dominant in six categories once again. Paul George replaces Victor Oladipo and while that will have a small negative effect on Westbrook’s numbers, don’t expect the MVP to go back to Durant-era numbers. George has always been a lower-usage player than Durant and Westbrook is not the same player that he was when he was playing 1-B to Durant’s 1-A. There’s not much to say here. Pick Westbrook, punt FG% and turnovers, and sit back and enjoy.

3) James Harden (PG/SG) – After a MVP-level season at point guard, Harden moves back to the two with Chris Paul now in town. He’ll still be an elite fantasy option, but his line will look different. He won’t come close to averaging the 11.2 APG that he did in 2016-2017. The 7.5 APG that he averaged in 2015-2016 feels much more realistic. The biggest threat to Harden’s value is not Paul, but the quality of his team. The Rockets are going to be extremely good this season and will be involved in plenty of blowouts which could lead to drop in minutes (36.4 MPG). Mike D’Antoni has talked about resting Harden more this season so don’t expect 81 games either. Like Westbrook, Harden is a no-brainer for the punt FG% build. Even with Paul in town, it’s likely that he’ll still force you to punt turnovers as well (4.6 TOPG in 2015-2016).

4) Chris Paul (PG) – Paul’s value is going to take a hit playing beside James Harden. There’s no doubt about that. That doesn’t mean that he’s suddenly not a viable first-round pick. He’ll likely see a small decrease in assists and scoring in his first season with the Rockets. I don’t expect the drop in dimes to significant as he’s now surrounded by a more talented supporting cast and is moving from a team that played at an average pace to one of the fastest-paced teams in the league. He could see a decent drop in scoring, but that should matter. That’s because if you’re drafting Chris Paul, you should be punting points. Only Kevin Durant and Anthony Davis were better than Paul last season in the punt points build. He still has top-5 potential in that build due to his assists (9.2 APG), elite steals (2.0 SPG), very solid threes (2.0 3PG), and outstanding efficiency (47.6 FG%, 89.2 FT%). If you pair Paul with Rudy Gobert, you having the makings of a punt points monster.

5) Damian Lillard (PG) –  Lillard probably won’t finish as a first-round player on a per game basis, but he will likely provide mid-second-round value and play when it counts. Since entering the league in 2012, the point guard hasn’t missed a game during the fantasy playoffs and has missed only 14 games in total. Just as he was last season, Lillard is best paired with DeMarcus Cousins. Starting with those two and punting FG% is a great solution to one of the biggest challenges in fantasy basketball: figuring out what the heck to do at the end of the first round. The All-Star guard is still one of the worst defenders in the league (0.9 SPG), but more than makes up for it on the offensive end (27.0 PPG, 2.9 3PG, 5.8 APG). What makes Lillard especially effective is his massive FT% impact (89.5 FT% on 7.3 FTA). Only Isaiah Thomas had a bigger positive impact on the FT% category in 2016-2017.

6) John Wall (PG) – Wall had his best season yet in 2016-2017 and while his percentages are still mediocre (45.2 FG%, 80.1 FT%), he’s improved his efficiency enough to be a viable target at the end of the first round. He provides elite defensive numbers (2.0 SPG, 0.6 BPG) and is always a threat to lead the league in assists (10.6 APG). His three-ball is still below-average (1.1 3PG), but that is the easiest category to find late in drafts. I don’t love Wall at his current 9th-overall ranking on Yahoo. Ideally Wall will be your second-best player. Percentages impact that doesn’t come tied to a major flaw is very difficult to find after the early rounds. It’s important for your first-round pick to dominate at least one percentage category and Wall doesn’t do that.

7) Kyrie Irving (PG) – The move to Boston should be a net positive for Irving’s value. Kyrie’s biggest draw is that he has the ability to score very efficiently (47.3 FG%, 90.5 FT%) while being elite from deep (2.5 3PG). Irving will be the clear top-option on the Celtics and could see a bump in his already extremely impressive scoring totals (25.2 PPG). Isaiah Thomas had a higher usage rate that Irving last season and there’s been plenty of talk out of Boston that Kyrie will have an expanded role with his new team. I doubt we see a significant jump in his dimes (5.8 APG) as the Celtics have plenty of other options as far as playmakers go. Both Gordon Hayward and Al Horford are very good passers for their positions. Marcus Smart is another above-average playmaker who will be seeing an expanded role this season. There’s a lot to like here if Irving can stay healthy. Unfortunately, that is a legitimate question. The point guard has missed 39 games over the past two seasons.

8) Kyle Lowry (PG) – The Raptors’ best player would be a no-brainer first-round pick if he could find a way to not fade after the All-Star break. Lowry has returned first-round per game value the past two seasons, but missed the entire fantasy playoffs last season and struggled mightily during the fantasy playoffs in 2015-2016. The Raptor is one of biggest risk/rewards picks in the draft. He has extended stretches where the only point guards who can hang with him are Steph Curry, Russell Westbrook, and Chris Paul. That’s awfully enticing. If you do decide to take the risk and draft Lowry, you’ll be getting juicy production in nearly every category (22.4 PPG, 7.0 APG, 1.5 SPG) and elite numbers from deep (3.2 3PG). Expect some regression in the FG% department. Lowry shot 46.5% from the field last season, which was about 4% higher than what he shot in his first three seasons with the Raptors.

9) Kemba Walker (PG) – Kemba hasn’t finished outside of the top-25 in punt FG% in five years and has missed a total of four games over the past two seasons. His floor is extremely high and his ceiling isn’t bad either. Just two seasons ago, he posted first-round value when FG% is ignored. He’s usable outside of the build (44.3 FG%), but does carry some risk if you are planning on winning FG% as his previous career high from the floor was 42.6%. There’s not a lot to dislike in Kemba’s line. He scores (23.0 PPG), is elite from deep (3.0 3PG), and few point guards do a better job of not turning the ball over (2.1 TOPG). If you go with Russell Westbrook or James Harden early, pairing either one with Kemba and one of Myles Turner or Kristaps Porzingis will make for an excellent start to your draft.

10) Mike Conley (PG) – Conley’s expanded role on offense has done wonders for his fantasy value. After failing to crack the top-50 two seasons in a row, the Grizzlies’ point guard was a second-round player in 2016-2017. With the Grizzlies lacking any real offensive threats outside of Conley and Marc Gasol, there’s no reason to expect any regression from Conley. He is now a very good source of points (20.3 PPG) and three-pointers (2.5 3PG) and continues to be a very good option for those who want to be competitive in turnovers (2.3 TOPG). His dimes (6.3 APG), steals (1.3 SPG), and FT% impact (85.9 FT% on 5.3 FTA) remain solid as well.

11) C.J. McCollum (PG/SG) – Klay Thompson and McCollum are two of the best third-round targets for teams punting assists. McCollum has PG eligibility on Yahoo and provides owners with extremely efficient, high-volume scoring (23.0 PPG on 48.0 FG%). He is also deadly from deep (2.3 3PG) and takes good care of the ball (2.2 TOPG). His FT% is both puzzling and incredibly impressive. He came into the league a poor FT% shooter and only shot 67.6% from the line in his rookie year. He stayed below 70% in his sophomore year and then took a huge leap to 82.7% in his third year. Then he goes out and leads the league in FT% (91.2 FT%) in his fourth year. That type of improvement is unheard of. I’ve bet against McCollum’s FT% in the past, but I’m not going to do it this year. He may not lead the league in FT% again, but he should be a very good source of FT% impact in 2017-2018.

12) Victor Oladipo (PG/SG) – The Pacers are Oladipo, Myles Turner, and not much else. Darren Collison is a low-usage point guard and won’t be a threat to Oladipo’s usage. A return to his massive Orlando numbers is very possible. The shooting guard was a top-35 player in final season in Orlando and was flirting with first-round value near the end of the season. That season he averaged 16.0 PPG, 1.4 3PG, 3.9 APG, 1.6 SPG, and 0.8 BPG. Those numbers look very obtainable and he’s one of the best point guard options for those punting dimes.

13) Ricky Rubio (PG) – Is the jumper finally there? It might be. Rubio averaged 1.0 3PG over the last three months of the 2016-2017 campaign and is coming off his best shooting season ever (40.2 FG%). That FG% is still ugly, but if he can maintain that, or improve it slightly, a top-30 finish is possible. He’s still an incredibly source of assists (9.1 APG) and steals (1.7 SPG) and the move to Utah shouldn’t change that. Rudy Gobert is one of the league’s best pick-and-roll finishers and the Jazz are a much more dangerous team from deep than the Wolves were.

14) Eric Bledsoe (PG) – If Bledsoe was on a better team, he’d be ten spots higher. As we saw last season, the Suns are not afraid to shut him down. He’s another player who is extremely hard to trust despite his outstanding per game production. When he is on the court, Bledsoe’s line looks like John Wall’s without the elite assists. He is a very good scorer (20.0 PPG), solid from deep (1.7 3PG), and gives you everything else you would expect from a top-end point guard (6.8 APG, 1.3 SPG, 84.1 FT% on 6.9 FTA). Bledsoe is also a solid source of out-of-position blocks (0.5 BPG).

15) Goran Dragic (PG/SG) – Dwyane Wade and his massive usage leaving South Beach did wonders for Dragic’s value. He was a top-55 player last season after failing to crack the top-100 in 2015-2016. Dragic has settled in as a mid-round point guard and continues to be one of the better sources of FG% impact from the point guard position (47.4 FG%). If you’re looking for a point guard who will help you everywhere but not truly standout in any category, Dragic is your guy. Last season, he averaged 20.3 PPG, 1.6 3PG, 5.8 APG, and 1.2 SPG. All of that looks repeatable outside of the scoring. Now that the Heat are back to full strength, his scoring numbers should take a small hit.

16) D’Angelo Russell (PG/SG) – I don’t expect Russell to finish this high in the rankings and you’ll want to stay away from the newest Net in Roto. His FG% (40.5 FG%) and turnovers (2.8 TOPG) are going to be ugly. However, he can still be an outstanding H2H weapon if paired with the proper build. I love the idea of starting a draft with either Harden or Westbrook and waiting until the fifth round to grab Russell. That gives you a few rounds to load up on stud big men who help keep you competitive in rebounds and blocks. Russell could be an early-round player in the punt FG%/turnovers punt build and will come at a mid-round price. He should average close to 20 PPG and 3.0 3PG as the Nets’ first option. He’ll also be a decent source of assists (4.8 APG) and an above-average producer in the steals column (1.4 SPG).

17) Jrue Holiday (PG) – Jrue is one of riskier players in the draft due to his injury history, but with the Pelicans having only a handful of legitimate NBA players on their roster, his per game numbers are guaranteed to be very good. He was a top-65 player over the last two months of the season, so the Pelicans’ acquisition of DeMarcus Cousins was not a major issue. I wouldn’t worry about Rajon Rondo either. Jrue has no problem playing off the ball and will just play more minutes at the two if the Rondo signing works out. That will likely lead to a small drop in assists (7.3 APG), but could also lead to more shot attempts for Holiday (15.4 PPG, 1.5 3PG). Jrue is a sneaky source of out-of-position blocks (0.6 BPG) and is an above-average thief (1.5 SPG).

18) Patrick Beverley (PG/SG) – We’re about the find out what Beverley can really do. He’s played his entire career beside James Harden and will have a much bigger role than ever before with the Clippers. He’s not going to score much (9.5 PPG), but it’s very possible that his assists rise (4.2 APG) given the lack of quality passers in the Clippers’ backcourt. Beverley could end up a deadly punt points force. Last season, the defensive standout was a top-40 player in that build and has a very good chance to improve on that finish this season. Beverley is always solid from deep (1.6 3PG) and his defensive talents translate to the box score (1.5 SPG, 0.4 BPG). He posted some impressive rebounding numbers last season (5.9 RPG), but he is unlikely to repeat that feat now that he’s playing alongside DeAndre Jordan and Blake Griffin.

19) Avery Bradley (PG/SG) – Bradley was sacrificed by the Celtics to make room for Gordon Hayward, but should continue to be a solid mid-round player in Detroit. He has no competition for playing time and the Pistons have indicated that they view Bradley as a core piece going forward. He should see enough minutes to maintain his 2016-2017 scoring rate (16.3 PPG) and will do plenty of damage from deep (2.0 3PG). Despite his defensive reputation, Bradley is only an average source of defensive numbers (1.3 SPG, 0.2 BPG). Owners shouldn’t expect a repeat of last season’s rebounding rate (6.1 RPG). Like Patrick Beverley, his rebounding is going to limited by his teammates. Bradley is a excellent fit for the punt assists build (2.2 APG) on Yahoo, but unfortunately he does lose some value in ESPN leagues. He does not have point guard eligibility on that platform.

20) Elfrid Payton (PG) – Like his teammate Aaron Gordon, Payton looked like a completely different player after the All-Star break. Payton has always been a triple-double threat (13.3 PPG, 6.6 RPG, 7.7 APG over the last two months of the year), but has been held back by his lack of three-ball and his efficiency. He still can’t shoot (0.5 3PG), but he made major strides in the efficiency department last year. His FG% jumped to 47.3% and the 69.2% that he shot from the charity stripe was easily the highest connection rate of his career. He’s an obvious fit for the punt threes and punt FT% builds.

21) Lou Williams (PG/SG) – It won’t take long for Doc Rivers to figure out that Williams is, by far, the best offensive guard on his roster and the minutes should follow. He likely won’t start, but as we’ve seen in the past that doesn’t matter. Lou was an afterthought in Houston, but should have a much bigger role with the Clippers. Before the trade to the Rockets, Williams was a top-60 player and a dominant force on offense. He only played 24.2 MPG with the Lakers, but still managed to average 18.6 PPG and 2.1 3PG. Those are excellent numbers, but what makes Lou truly valuable in his FT% impact. Before the trade, he was having a top-10 impact on the category (87.6 FT% on 6.3 FTA). He’s going to have a big role for the Clippers and those punting assists should target Williams very aggressively.

22) George Hill (PG/SG) – If Hill stays healthy, he could crush this ranking. The last time Hill had a role as large as what he’s stepping into in Sacramento, he was a top-35 player. The injury risk here is very real. Hill tends to get beat up as the season goes on and has failed to play 50 games in two of the past three seasons. There’s also some risk that the Kings shut down Hill at the end the season. The Kings will need to take advantage of the 2018 draft as they may not have their pick in 2019. When Hill is on the floor, he has the ability to provide good, but not great, production across-the-board. His 2016-2017 numbers look very repeatable. In his one year with the Jazz, the veteran averaged 16.9 PPG, 1.9 3PG, 4.1 APG, and 1.0 SPG to go along with very good percentages (47.8 FG%, 80.1 FT%).

23) Dennis Schroder (PG) – Schroder isn’t as good as his numbers suggest, but that doesn’t matter in fantasy. What does matter is that he’s going to be one of the league leaders in usage this season. He had a usage rate of 27.5% last season, which is a level usually reserved for All-Star-level players. With the Hawks gutted, that number is going way up. Expect some big lines accompanied by poor efficiency. Most of Schroder’s value is going to come in the form of points (17.9 PPG) and dimes (6.4 APG). His threes should increase as well (1.3 3PG), but don’t expect anything on defense (0.9 SPG, 0.2 BPG) and be prepared for your turnovers to take a massive hit if you draft the Hawk (3.2 TOPG).

24) Isaiah Thomas (PG) – If I was drafting right now, I’d stay far, far away from Thomas unless you are getting a serious discount. His hip sounds like a legitimate issue and some of the rhetoric that has been thrown around about the injury is downright scary. If by some miracle he is reasonable healthy going into the season, he is a solid option in the third round. Last year, the diminutive point guard was a first-round player, but that is obviously not repeatable now that he is playing beside LeBron. Kyrie was a high-usage player so Thomas should still have plenty of opportunities, but his line is much more likely to look like his 2015-2016 line (22.2 PPG, 2.0 3PG, 6.2 APG) than last year’s line. Thomas should continue to be one of the better sources of FT% impact (87.1 FT% on 6.6 FTA in 2015-2016) assuming he is relatively healthy whenever he does return.

25) Jeff Teague (PG) –  Teague was a top-45 player in 2016-2017, but he’s about to lose a ton of value and usage now that he’s playing beside Jimmy Butler, Karl-Anthony Towns, and Andrew Wiggins. He’ll still play plenty of minutes for Wolves, but his teammates will keep his ceiling low. Don’t expect Teague to approach the 7.8 APG that he averaged in 2016-2017. Jimmy Butler often ran the Bulls’ offense and that will likely happen in Minnesota as well. His scoring numbers should drop too (15.3 PPG). He’s a safer option that then the rookie point guards in this range, but his ceiling isn’t as high.

26) Lonzo Ball (PG) – Ball’s rookie season is probably going to be a circus. Luke Walton wasn’t afraid to bench D’Angelo Russell and you can guess what’s going to happen if he does the same to Ball. The off-court stuff could be messy, but the on-court stuff shouldn’t be. Ball has great vision and great size and should post at least a couple of triple-doubles this season (6.0 RPG and 7.6 APG at UCLA). He also has shown some signs of being a very strong contributor on the defensive end (1.8 SPG, 0.8 BPG) and has a chance to be very good from three (2.2 3PG). Lonzo fits best in the punt points build as he wasn’t much of a scorer in college (14.6 PPG). He should shoot something respectable from the field as he was very efficient in his only year at UCLA (55.1 FG%) and is not the type to throw up bad shots. The free-throw line will be another matter. His solid shooting from deep and the field didn’t translate to the charity stripe in his freshman year (67.3 FT%).

27) Malcolm Brogdon (PG/SG) – Brogdon became one of the most unlikely Rookie of the Year winners in 2016-2017 and his strong play translated to quite a bit of fantasy value. He improved as the season went on and was a top-65 player after the All-Star break. Giannis Antetokounmpo runs the Bucks’ offense, but that doesn’t stop Brogdon from being a steady source of assists (4.3 APG). He doesn’t light the world on fire in any category, but he doesn’t hurt you anywhere either. Unlike most rookie point guards, he didn’t struggle the field (45.8 FG%) or with turnovers (1.5 TOPG) in his maiden season.

28) Jeremy Lin (PG/SG) – Lin was very good when he was on the court last season, but that wasn’t very often. He managed to be a top-80 per game player last season despite only playing 24.5 MPG. He’ll share the Nets’ backcourt with D’Angelo Russell this season. The arrival of Russell shouldn’t hurt Lin’s value too much. Both players are comfortable playing off the ball and both should start for the Nets. Lin should be able to better the 14.5 PPG, 1.6 3PG, 5.1 APG, and 1.1 SPG that he produced last season and is a quality mid-round option for those who want to avoid the point guard rush that usually takes place earlier in the draft.

29) Jamal Murray (PG/SG) – Murray is going to start for the Nuggets this year and have a big season. The question is how big. We know he score (16.5 PP36) and we know he can shoot the three-ball (2.3 3P36). He should also be good for five or so apples now that he’ll be a full-time starter. What will ultimately determine Murray’s value this season is his steals and his FG%. He was extremely mediocre in both in his rookie season. He only produced 1.1 SP36 and shot 40.5% from the floor. The good news is that both of those numbers went up as the year went along. He’s being overhyped on some sites and underrated on others like Yahoo. Eighth-round feels about right for Murray. I like his prospects this year, but there are plenty of quality point guards in the league these days and you shouldn’t reach too far for any of them.

30) Markelle Fultz (PG) – Fultz remains a better long-term prospect than Lonzo Ball both on the court and in the fantasy realm, but the Laker will be in a much better position in his rookie season. Joel Embiid will be the focal point of the Sixers’ offense and the offense will run through Ben Simmons at times as well. Fultz likely won’t average more than 5 APG, but he can still be a very valuable fantasy asset, especially in the second half of the season. His game projects to be very fantasy-friendly. In his only year at Washington, this year’s first-overall pick averaged 23.2 PPG, 2.1 3PG, 5.9 APG, 5.7 RPG, 1.6 SPG, and a very intriguing 1.2 BPG. Expect some very tasty popcorn stats this season that is accompanied by some poor efficiency. He shot 47.6% from the field in college and is likely to be in the low 40s in his rookie season. He’s also surprisingly bad at line (64.9 FT%) and like most rookie point guards, he’s going to struggle with turnovers (3.2 TOPG).

31) Seth Curry (PG/SG) – Curry was one of the more surprising 2016-2017 breakout players. He actually had a stretch in the middle of the season where he was putting up numbers that weren’t far off his brother’s. He was a top-50 player after the All-Star break and badly outplayed Wes Matthews. Curry is another strong punt assists point guard option (2.7 APG) and is one of the few players who can boost both your threes (2.0 3PG) and your FG% (48.1 FG%). Pair the younger Curry with strong rebounders and he hurts your boards more than most guards do (2.5 RPG).

32) Marcus Smart (PG) – I’ve never been a big believer in Smart. If he wasn’t a Celtic, he wouldn’t have received nearly as much hype as he has over the past couple of years. He’s a very good defender, but his offense continues to be a mess. That being said, he has a massive opportunity in front of him. With Avery Bradley in Detroit, he should set a career-high in minutes played this season. Smart is a punt FG%-only player. He posts some useful numbers, but his line isn’t good enough to justify the gigantic FG% hit. If you are punting FG%, then Smart can be a very good source of defensive stats (1.6 SPG, 0.4 BPG) and can provide you with a handful of threes (1.2 3PG) and assists (4.6 APG).

33) Darren Collison (PG/SG) – Assuming Collison beats out Cory Joseph for the starting job, which he should, he’ll be a reasonable option late in drafts for those who didn’t want to overpay for assists earlier. Collison has been a top-100 player three seasons in a row and had a top-50 peak in 2014-2015. Victor Oladipo will be the Pacers primary option in the backcourt which keeps Collison’s ceiling in check, but a repeat of Collison’s solid 2016-2017 season is doable. In his final season with the Kings, the point guard posted averages of 13.2 PPG, 1.1 3PG, 4.6 APG, and 1.0 SPG. Those numbers won’t win you any leagues, but when you combine them with Collison’s stellar percentages (47.6 FG%, 86.0 FT%), you have yourself a very useful player who is good value this late in the draft.

34) Zach LaVine (PG/SG) – LaVine likely won’t be ready at the beginning of the season and will be brought along slowly once he does return. However, he shouldn’t be ignored if you play in a league with an IR spot. He was a top-60 player last season and is going to have a massive role with the Bulls once he does return to full strength, especially with Dwyane Wade looking like he’s headed out the door. He could be a difference maker during the fantasy playoffs and is a dream point guard option for those punting assists. He should eventually be a major boon to your points (18.9 PPG) and threes (2.6 3PG) and will help you in those categories without dragging down your FG% (46.0 FG). If you don’t play with an IR spot, then I would wait a little longer to grab LaVine.

35) Dennis Smith Jr. (PG) – Smith was dynamite in summer league and should be a serious contender for the rookie of the year award. He doesn’t have the long-term upside that Markelle Fultz and Lonzo Ball do, but he could be better as a rookie. He’s going to have a fairly large role for Mavericks. He’ll start, and if he can convince Coach Carlisle to play him 30 MPG, he has a shot at finishing in the top-80. He should be a good source of points (18.1 PPG), assists (6.2 APG), and steals (1.9 SPG) as soon as he steps on the court for his first NBA game. However, his college stats suggest that he could struggle with the efficiency (45.5 FG%) and turnovers (3.4 TOPG) like almost all rookie point guards do.

36) Rajon Rondo (PG) – The fifth-best player on the Pelicans’ roster may be Ian Clark. That is not ideal and it also means plenty of minutes for Rondo. Jrue Holiday is very comfortable playing off the ball and the two should share the Pelicans’ backcourt regularly. Rondo had an up-and-down 2016-2017 campaign, but did find some consistency after the break and posted top-60 numbers down the stretch. One of the big myths surrounding Rondo is that he’s a great fit for the punt FT% build because he struggles at the line (60.0 FT%). He’s not. Punting is about much more than just looking up which players receive the biggest boosts when a category is ignored. You want your punt FT% point guard targets to be strong in points, steals, assists, and threes, as those are the categories that the big men you will be targeting are weak in. Rondo only brings the goods in two of the categories. If you’re punting FT%, aim for guards who hit threes and score before you start eyeing Rondo.

37) Tyler Johnson (PG/SG) – Johnson is in the same position as the other Johnson on the Heat roster. He is coming off of a very good season, but with the Heat returning to full health, his role, and minutes, are up in the air. Justise Winslow’s return will move some of Josh Richardson’s minutes to the two and Dion Waiters will see plenty of minutes at shooting guard as well. How this will all shake out is yet to be determined and the Heat will have one of the more interesting training camps this year. Johnson is good defensive player (1.2 SPG, 0.6 BPG) who is also proficient from deep (1.3 3PG). He is a good fit for the punt assists build due to his point guard eligibility and his lack of dependence on dimes to boost his value (3.2 APG).

38) Dwyane Wade (PG/SG) – Wade carries even more risk than usual this season and that is saying something. He’s in a no-win situation. If he stays with the Bulls, he’ll be a major shutdown candidate at the end of the season. If he’s bought out or moved, then his role is likely to decrease. Neither is ideal, but a move would be for the best since some production is better than no production. Wade’s 2016-2017 was very encouraging. After years of seeing his defensive numbers decline, they were back with a vengeance in Chicago (1.4 SPG, 0.7 BPG). Those numbers suggest that Wade still has plenty left in the tank physically. His efficiency continued to drop (43.3 FG%), but that was to be expected given the how poorly last season’s Bulls’ roster fit together. Grab Wade late if you need scoring (18.3 PPG) and defensive stats and are comfortable gambling on his health during the fantasy playoffs.

39) Reggie Jackson (PG/SG) – Jackson never fully got over the knee tendinitis that cost him the first 21 games of the season. The point guard only played 27.4 MPG last season and was droppable after Christmas. Jackson’s game is not fantasy-friendly, but he should much better this season now that he’s healthy. His complete lack of defensive stats (0.7 SPG, 0.1 BPG) and his terrible rebounding (2.2 RPG) have always plagued him. In fact, Jackson has only cracked the top-100 once in his career. However, you usually can’t find assists like Jackson’s in the final rounds (5.2 APG). He can also help you win points (18.8 PPG in 2015-2016) and is always a big help at the free-throw line (86.6 FT%).

40) Allen Crabbe (PG/SG) – Crabbe could not have asked for a better team to be traded to. He’ll see plenty of minutes and is joining a team that was not shy about putting up triples. The Nets didn’t connect from deep at a high rate, but they sure did hoist them at a high rate. Only the Rockets, Cavaliers, and Celtics took more threes than the Nets did last season. Crabbe should start for the Nets at small forward and his role makes 2.5 3PG a real possibility. Like most three-point specialists, his upside is limited by the lack of variety in his game. Besides points, threes, very low turnovers (0.8 TOPG), and respectable percentages (46.8 FG%, 84.7 FT%), Crabbe brings almost noting to the table (3.3 RPG, 1.5 APG, 0.7 SPG, 0.3 BPG).

41) Patty Mills (PG) – The Australian has always been a very intriguing player. He has always posted very good per minute numbers, but hasn’t taken off like his per minutes numbers would suggest when given extended run. With Tony Parker out at least another four months, Mills will have his best opportunity yet to establish himself as a starting-caliber player in the NBA. He should see minutes in the upper 20s and that should make him an excellent source of threes (3.0 3P36). He should also be able to provide owners with low-end assist numbers (5.7 AP36) to go along with average steals numbers (1.4 SP36). Don’t panic if Mills doesn’t start for the Spurs. Popovich likes Mills with the second unit and where Mills starts the game won’t have a major impact on playing time.

42) Derrick Rose (PG) – The Isaiah Thomas situation is looking dire and Rose could end up starting a significant chunk of games for the Cavaliers. He should be roster worthy as long as Thomas is out, but don’t expect him to be able to replicate the top-90 numbers that he posted after the All-Star break. Rose won’t come close to matching his 2016-2017 25.7% usage rate playing beside LeBron James and Kevin Love. The drop in usage guarantees that almost all of his counting stats will fall. I wouldn’t expect Rose to provide owners with anything more than a decent scoring average (18.0 PPG) and low-end assists (4.4 APG). Once Thomas returns, Rose will be droppable.